The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 28th February 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Novoselivske
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Makiivka, Ploschanka, Dibrova, Kreminna, Bilohorivka, Spirne, Berestove, Vasyukivka,
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, Berkhivka, Yahidne, Bakhmut, Ivanivske,
Bakhmut City
the city of Bakhmut
- Wagner mercenaries captured the northern outskirts of Bakhmut. Ukrainian troops, due to the development on the western flank, withdrew from the area. (source)
- Fighting continues on the eastern outskirts, where the enemy is slowly pushing west.
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- Russian forces tried to advance towards Avdiivka from the direction of Opytne, but they drove into a Ukrainian minefield and lost at least four BMPs. (source)
- The footage above however also shows that the enemy controls the area between Opytne and the nearby swampy area.
- Elements of Ukrainian 53rd Mechanized Brigade arrived to the area of Avdiivka, likely to replace either 36th Marine Brigade or 110th Mechanized Brigade. We’ll learn soon enough.
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Kamyanka, Avdiivka, Vodyane, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Marinka, Vuhledar
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Kalanchak Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
Looking for an interactive map? We got you covered. Visit our original Deployment map.
If you would like to use our maps in your project, video or any other media, please visit Invasion maps page for more information.
This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
Apparently reservists have not yet seen action, wonder what Gerasimov is planning to do with them, although probably he’s just using them to replace the losses.
What reservists ?
The 150k that are just finishing up training in Russia
And do we have reliable information about that number ?
We don’t know how many men Russia mobilize since September. We also don’t know how many were already sent to Ukraine (we can only assess it is likely more than 150k). So we don’t have any idea of how many mobiks are still training in Russia, or the quality of the training, etc.
If you have any reliable information, please share.
Officialy, they were 150k in november.
People didnt want to see that WE are in march now. They need to Dreams to this second army of 150k mobiks . Fairy tales.
??? Explain me how they are not deployed seeing the Vuhledar catastrophic failures … These russians mistakes are not from professional soldiers, lack of training and basic deployment tactics as well as low moral resistance is the fabrication mark of mobilized men
CSIS estimates: 60,000 to 70,000 Russian combat fatalities in one year. They include regular Russian soldiers, Rosgvardiya, Federal Security Service, Federal Guard Service; fighters from DPR, LPR; and contractors from PMCs, such as Wagner.
Total KIA, WIA and MIA estimated at 200,000 – 250,000.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukrainian-innovation-war-attrition
That´s also consistent with UK/USA officials and about MoD Ukraine numbers *3/2, so half for “real” fatalities and times 3 for total casualties. This seems to be the ball park of western estimates in general.
Interesting article about Russian soldiers MIA
https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/02/28/russia-s-vanished-combatants
Losses as reported by Oryx:
https://militaryland.net/forum/russian-invasion-2022/losses-as-reported-by-oryx/
Russian monthly losses as reported by MoD Ukraine:
https://militaryland.net/forum/russian-invasion-2022/russian-monthly-losses-as-reportet-by-mod-of-ukraine/#post-432
Not to be that guy but the Ukrainian MoD also claims 600k casualties on the Russian side, they clearly can’t be trusted.
Well, you are that guy :p Don’t worry, you’re fine.
As far as I know, Ukrainian MoD only claims ~150k dead russians. Their estimate of the killed soldiers is a bit high, but plausible. But we’ve talk about it already.
I have made a detailed analysis of the military losses (Russian/ukrainian). You can check it here.
150k deaths is far too high, probably half of that is true, CSIS claims Russia suffered 200k-250k casualties in total in the last year, having more than half of that in deaths is not plausible.
150k death is the upper limit (I personally believe it is closer to 100k), and Russian may have suffer more than 200k-250k casualties. I have read several testimonies and analysis that indicate that the injured/dead ratio is about 2:1 in this war. Most estimates (e.g. CSIS, Volya, british intelligence) have a WIA/KIA ratio close to 2:1.
Also i don’t know who you are, why should i trust you analysis?
I don’t claim any expertise.
But unlike CSIS (and other), I explained the methodology, the different ways to have estimates based of verifed data. So you don’t have to trust me, you can check by yourself.
We discussed about your verified data the other time. Those data come from Ukrainians, Belarusians and Russians doctors, journalists or social media that claim they have information. The problem is that they are biased and the sites that are giving the information are also biased. The verified data of dead Russians is only 14000. Definitely more than that but that is the verified.
No. Verified data come from OSINT – Oryx, KIU, etc.
If you actuall read what I read, I consider Volya media’s estimate the same way I consider CSIS or British intelligence reports: an estimate we cannot verify, but is supposed to be done by informed, professional people.
Why don’t you actually read what I wrote before criticizing it ?
Ok, so what are the numbers that British Intelligence give about dead Russian soldiers because last time I saw was 43000. How many are for Volya and how many for CSIS?
Where did they claim that ? Any source (s) , proofs ? I am a bit concerned by people launching irrealistic numbers like that without saying at least one source
They can be “trusted” since they are consistent in their estimations.
they are consistent at for example doubling documented Oryx numbers on tanks and apvs. So they are probably also consistent on their fatality estimation. This meens they are a good indicator on what is happining at the frontline. Obviously it is an estimation and very probably and over estimation, but consistent in that.
Wagner Group owner Prigozhin denies Ukrainian forces planning withdrawal from Bakhmut, adds Ukrainian reinforcements arriving and Ukrainian units continuing defense of city: Corporate Photo via VK.
Nah reinforcements arriving to help out the rear is always a sign that withdrawal is planned, but with the fast advances Russia makes in bakhmut this might only be of little help.
Russia always sends in reinforcements and withdraws just a couple of days or weeks later. See what happened in Lyman or Kherson. There were reports of reinforcements and like a week later they all withdrew.
I do not understand why there are still UKR staying in Bakhmut ? Do the UKR commandment really want a second Mariupol scenario ? Or will they withdraw to Sloviansk / Kramatorsk to save their lives and equipments …. I mean Bakhmut has no more strategical value, it is just a minor city , 70% destroyed …. Yes it will please russian propaganda for a while until the next UKR counter offensive …
I think it is pretty clear that they are withdrawing. Just not all at once, which would probably be the best way to lose all the units at the same time.
It won’t be like Mariupol. If they have to retreat, it will be like svierodonetsk / lysyshansk. Maybe a bit more difficult, since Russians have more men this time, but so far the Ukrainian generals did a great job, they’ll know when to retreat.
I hope they will cover the retreat with massive artillery strikes on the Wagner rats …. Some Thunderbolts A10 will be interesting in this case
and Moskaljow?
Probably logic is that if they retreat then another city will become next Bakhmut. Its russian way of capturing cities to bomb them to rubble so it becomes easier to conquer and then move on.
Exactly, that reasoning makes most sense.
Wrong it let time to organize further defenses and avoid mistakes from Bakhmout….. Kramatorsk is wider and more fortified than Bakhmout
Russians geolocated here: http://deepstatemap.live/#16/48.5696/37.9694