Russian monthly los...
 
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Russian monthly losses as reportet by MoD of Ukraine

 
Max Beckhaus
(@max-beckhaus)
  February* März* April* Mai Juni Juli August Total 1.9.22  
Personel 5710 10252 7538 7200 5050 5280 7320 48350 Personel
Tanks 198 394 434 335 216 191 229 1997 Tanks
APV 846 812 813 872 393 275 334 4345 APV
Artillery 77 201 173 208 137 136 183 1115 Artillery
MRLS 24 64 63 56 39 13 28 287 MRLS
AA 7 41 32 14 11 12 36 153 AA
Aircrafts 29 94 69 16 9 6 11 234 Aircrafts
Helicopters 29 82 44 20 11 4 15 205 Helicopters
UAV 3 89 153 274 126 91 115 851 UAV
cruise missiles 6 39 37 38 23 31 22 196 cruise missiles
ships 2 4 2 5 2 0 0 15 ships
vehicles 365 824 607 494 320 302 327 3239 vehicles
special equipment 3 16 13 17 12 21 22 104 special equipment

*Estimates based on the view early reports.

Based on:

https://www.mil.gov.ua/en/news/

For triangulation:

Equipment:

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

Personel:

https://timenote.info/en/person/list?order=4&category_id=320&start=7700

E.g. Tanks: Oryx 1190

My view:

Western agencies reguarly estimate russian manpower losses at about half those reported by Ukraine. That would put russians killed at around 25000 and casualties at about 75000. It is obvious that russia has manpower problems, i personally would guess, that the truth is anywhere between 50% and ukrainian numbers, may be 65%.

The truth about tanks etc. is probably anywhere between Oryx and Ukraines numbers.

Planes are sure to be overestimated a lot, due to the nature of aircombat. Very often it is unkown if a plane was actually hit or downed. The british MoD guessed that 55 russian aircraft where downed.

If you watch and analyse the numbers a lot, like i did, it is pretty obvious that the numbers from feb. to apr. are pretty wild, as was the fight. If you watch ukrainians in action today, you see them actually taking fotos for validation. I beliebve that the ukrainian numbers are pretty good and consitent from mai on and can be used to meassure intensity of the fighting and triangulate russian losses.

Quote
Topic starter Posted : September 28, 2022 16:53
Cossack reacted
Max Beckhaus
(@max-beckhaus)
Juli August September Total 1.10.22
Personel 5280 7320 11260 59610
Tanks 191 229 357 2354
APV 275 334 604 4949
Artillery 136 183 282 1397
MRLS 13 28 49 336
AA 12 36 23 176
Aircrafts 6 11 30 264
Helicopters 4 15 21 226
UAV

91

115 158 1009
cruise missiles 31 22 50 246
ships 0 0 0 15
vehicles 302 327 547 3786
special equipment 21 22 27 131

 

The ukrainian counteroffensive brought a serious uptick in russian casulties. And this will probably only be getting worse, with the untrained drafted russians being thrown into combat. The insuing bloodbath for russian soldiers may either break the russian army or the Kremlin.

Right now the russian army looks broken allready.

ReplyQuote
Topic starter Posted : October 4, 2022 13:41
Max Beckhaus
(@max-beckhaus)
  July August September October  
Personel 5280 7320 11260 12860 Personel
Tanks 191 229 357 344 Tanks
APV 275 334 604 552 APV
Artillery 136 183 282 333 Artillery
MRLS 13 28 49 47 MRLS
AA 12 36 23 21 AA
Aircrafts 6 11 30 12 Aircrafts
Helicopters 4 15 21 31 Helicopters
UAV 91 115 158 406 UAV
cruise missiles 31 22 50 151 cruise missiles
ships 0 0 0 1 ships
vehicles 302 327 547 357 vehicles
special equipment 21 22 27 23 special equipment

 

October brought new maximums in personel, artillery, UAVs and cruise missiles.

September and october brought losses for russia comparable to march. Hard to see how russia could keep this up for long.

 

ReplyQuote
Topic starter Posted : November 1, 2022 21:56
Max Beckhaus
(@max-beckhaus)
  July August September October November  
Personnel 5280 7320 11260 12860 16970 Personnel
Tanks 191 229 357 344 217 Tanks
APV 275 334 604 552 376 APV
Artillery 136 183 282 333 174 Artillery
MRLS 13 28 49 47 12 MRLS
AA 12 36 23 21 13 AA
Aircrafts 6 11 30 12 4 Aircrafts
Helicopters 4 15 21 31 4 Helicopters
UAV 91 115 158 406 147 UAV
cruise missiles 31 22 50 151 134 cruise missiles
ships 0 0 0 1 0 ships
vehicles 302 327 547 357 298 vehicles
special equipment 21 22 27 23 9 special equipment

 

November is the by far worst month concerning losses in personnel in only 30 days. There is also a considerable down tick in equipment lost. Russia is basicly exchanging bodys for equipment.

Russia also obviously stopped using aircrafts and helicopters in dangerous zones. There is a no fly zone in place for those.

Ukraine reports shooting down of 285 cruise missiles in october and november compared to only 246 in the 7 months befor. It is obvious that Russia can not keep this up for long.

This post was modified 4 days ago by Max Beckhaus
ReplyQuote
Topic starter Posted : December 1, 2022 12:43