The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 28th June 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Bilohorivka, Rozdolivka
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Ukrainian 28th Mechanized Brigade advanced towards Kurdyumivka. (source)
- Soldiers of 28th Mechanized Brigade raised a flag at a water station just west of Kurdyumivka. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Orikhovo-Vasylivka
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Avdiivka
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Marinka, Pobieda, Novomykhailivka, Rivnopil
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Kherson Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Full map of Ukraine
overview map of current situation in Ukraine
This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and geolocated footage.
We also thank the following Twitter users for their geolocations and amazing work: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya and the team at @geoconfirmed.
Russian and Ukrainian losses by Oryx
Russian losses as reported by Ukrainian MoD.
Kherson 2.0
If i should bet, i would bet, after another month of this, we will have liberation season in August, just as we had it after September and October in November `22. No prediction, just a guesstimate.
Ukrain open a new meat grinder in the south. They can easily destroy the bridge between oleshky and the island.
But they choose to let russian sending more mechanized units in the kill box.
And russia who learn nothing continue to collaborate with ukrain to destroy russian army.
Its crazy
Same thing by klishivka they crossed the canal with tanks and drove down the Russian lines destroying there positions. Now the second battle for fort Mushroom has begun. But unlike when the Russians took it and still had to take the big fortifications on the hill, going the other way the Ukrainians can by pass the hill by taking fort mushroom and force the Russians to withdraw from the city or fac
e envelopment In both the fortification and the city. Not looking good for the Rus in Bahkmut direction.
You know, with Wagner and Surovikin, who were the biggest dorn in the foot of Ukraine, eliminated, and Prigozhin and Putin both weakened, the real winner of the Ruski Putsch is the west (and maybe also the potato Luka). Less Ruski propaganda, a higher possibility of another Putsch in Poccia and a less effective Russian military that still keeps Shoigu is the best thing that could’ve happened
But this is only a snapshot. With Putin, the advantage is that you now know what he is doing and you know you will get it. But sooner or later there will be a time after Putin. Since you have to reckon with everything with Russia, it can happen that the successor is an even greater critic of the West and has even more Stalinist traits.
The only thing that brings long-term positive changes is regime change. But this requires an opposition that no longer exists in Russia.
I know. But democracy is dead in Russia, the west cannot hope for a liberal revolution like in Serbia, because essentially everyone in Russia wants a dictatorship and because Russia, unlike Serbia, was never free in its history. The best thing that can happen is that Putin stays on power but is severely weakened and that’s exactly what happened. Also Kadyrov got humiliated and I like that
I’m not sure that so many in Russia want a dictatorship. I think the common people want nothing more than freedom. The problem is that these people are prisoners of their own state. They have come to terms with the situation and made arrangements because they know that if they publicly demand something else, they will be arrested.
But that’s exactly why Russia will eventually fall apart, because more and more systemically important, smart people are leaving the country and never coming back.
The current elite will eventually die out. What is left of Russia when there is no longer anyone who can take over the posts. Russia is falling apart because nobody can prevent it.
Good luck draining Russia of its smart people, the Soviet Education system left them with the most educated population in Europe and maybe Earth, they have twice as many engineers the USA has and their curriculum is much thougher and impressive than American colleges
Not sure on long term.
All this start because russia finaly understand that they need to put all their fighting group under an unified command. It was one of the major weakness of russian army.
But they won’t get rid of this weakness. Putin won’t allow a competent, unified command who could easily overthrow him. The disorganization of Russian army is what Putin truly wants.
Bingo. Putin’s first priority is staying in power. Winning the war is second. (Preventing Russian conscripts from getting killed doesn’t even make the top 10).
I am not sure. I think he really want to let his name in russian history in a positiv way.
He is at the end of his life.
All right I am off to vacation for a couple of weeks. I’ll be curious to see what will have changed on the frontline. Until then adios.
If there are fights around Ocheretuvate then the doors to Tokmak will be opened soon !
It seems that UKR want to take over the T0401 road
Direction of. Not around. Russia have small fortifications in this area. Ukrain cant reach ocheretuvate fast.
Exactly, let’s not overestimate every advance – Ukraine needs to capture at least one of the nearby villages to progress, otherwise the Ruskies can just spray new mines over the fields
Did you have informations about what happens between robotyne and verbove?
Ua declare progress in this area.
so is this counteroffensive started or Ukraine is waiting for something?
For now, it is important to destroy logistics, warehouses, command posts, base points, which is being done. There are local battles with the involvement of about 3 battalion tactical groups, in the shelter of the 1st line of defense. The area is heavily mined, which is why the advance is not fast enough and as effective as it would be desirable.
The fighting is heavy and losses on both sides are about 1 to 1 (we are talking about equipment).
In my opinion, the main month of confrontation will be August. There we will already see whether the counter-offensive was successful or not.
The right opportunity.
They are working on their EW systems and air defence systems before moving out from cover.
Also trying to take out kreminal kuntzz ammo dumps and communications ndetworks.
Its starts . And an all the front , russian are moving direction moscow.
I feel like you’re just being obtuse on purpose repeatedly asking this question. You know it’s been about 3 weeks that UA has generally been on the attack. Advances are slow due to relatively stiff resistance by RU, the countless mines deployed, the fact that any advance by UA is checked by loss of air defense coverage, and their own lack of air support. The losses would be catastrophic otherwise.
I am asking because it was announced long time ago and from Jerome’s report nothing is showing that so I hope that this is happening behind the scene and it is not again propaganda.
May be you have to open your eyes?
Frontline is moving at 9 places. And i doesnt count all smalls gains.
Looks like the 117th was moved up as was the 46th Air mobile brigade artillery group that leaves only the 41st 44th 13th Jaeger and 38th marines that are completely uncommitted of the counter offensive brig adds and only 3 offensive guard brigades uncommitted.
I don’t even have the 44th in my book. But I am also missing: 22, 32, 60, 61, 115 Mech and the rest of the 46th and potentially if ready the 21, 41 and 62.
What is your source for this information…? There can be a variety of reasons why you can’t find or hear from some units. Especially since you are 1000 km away and only have the open source information that everyone knows. If a brigade doesn’t appear anywhere, that doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist, just that the deployment is in an unknown location. Reserve brigades are only used when they are need
A new unit can also be deactivated again after training and the soldiers can be accommodated in other units. Not all companies of a brigade fight at the same place, but can be distributed over the entire front.
I stick with those Brigades that Jerome mentioned as being made ready for the offensive. Of those not deployed to the frontline are: 13, 22, 32, 38, 60, 61, 115 and the rest of the 46th. Lev brought in the 44th and then there are the offensive guard brigades and the 3 Mech brigades with unkown readiness. In short, the source is Jerome.
The 115th fought in Siwersk
https://tinyurl.com/37wj59ak
The 22nd no longer exists
https://tinyurl.com/4b2c8k6c
Others are still in the consolidation phase. Many offensive operations, especially in the east, are carried out by brigades and battalions that have been fighting at the front since the beginning.
Two different 22nd Mechanized Brigades, just please take a look on our site and don’t believe everything what’s on Wikipedia.
https://militaryland.net/ukraine/armed-forces/22nd-mechanized-brigade/
6 of 9 of the offensive guard are all along the front from Kamianske to kharkiv. Like 3 by Kremmina I believe.
And the 22nd is in bakhmut.
Sounds like there running out of reserves Unless its only portions of each brigade.
So we still have 13, 61, 115, 44? if you are correct, 21, 41, and 62 with unkown status and i personally do not have much info on those assault brigades other than that Asov is in the south.
Now, if 32 is releaving the 92nd, that would make me nervous if i would be Russian, e.g. the 25th showed up as a surprise. Anyways, many Brigades have not been in serious combat missions yet.
32 is by svatove 60 by Kharkiv