Invasion Day 326 – Summary

The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 15th January 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).

Sloboda Front

includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river

Svatove direction

  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the area of Makiivka and Ploschanka. Neither attack was successful.

Siverskyi Donets

overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity

  • The enemy attempted to push Ukrainian forces away from Chervonopopivka and the recently gained positions near Kreminna. They didn’t succeed.
  • Ukrainian defenders repelled Russian attack on both Bilohorivka settlement.
  • Russian forces conducted a recon by force in the area of Verkhnokamyanske and Spirne. They retreated upon contact.
  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the direction of Rozdolivka, without success.

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

  • Wanger mercenaries managed to advance into the western outskirts of Soledar and captured Salt Mine no. 7.
  • The capture of the salt mine marks the end of the battle of Soledar for now.
  • Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack in Soledar and partially towards Krasna Hora. The enemy advanced and controls the area alongside railway between Krasna Hora and Soledar
  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions near Klishchiivka and Mayorks. Neither attack was successful.

Note: Sil is actually part of Soledar town, but given the fact that Ukrainian General Staff reports Sil and Soledar separately, I’ll keep it the same way.


Bakhmut City

the city of Bakhmut

  • The enemy advanced into the Bakhmut outskirts east of Tavr Meet Plant.
  • Russian troops also made gains in the south-eastern outskirts and reached the nearby pond.
  • The advance visually confirms that Russians fully control Ivanhrad.

Avdiivka Front

includes the vicinity of Avdiivka

  • Russians attempted to break through Ukrainian lines near Novobakhmutivka and Krasnohorivka. Both attacks were repulsed.
  • The enemy attacked Ukrainian positions near Vodyane, without success.

Donetsk Front

includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast

  • Heavy fighting persist in Marinka.
  • The enemy assaulted towards Pobieda and Velyka Novosilka, but Ukrainian defenders managed to repel both attacks.

Zaporizhzhia Front

includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

  • No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.

Kalanchak Front

includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka

  • No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.

Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

 


Looking for an interactive map? We got you covered. Visit our original Deployment map.

If you would like to use our maps in your project, video or any other media, please visit Invasion maps page for more information.

This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.

 
 
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Patrick

Ukraine gives Russia list of names of 800 seriously injured servicemembers held in Russian captivity, demanding their unconditional return in accordance with Geneva Convention: Local News Outlet via Suspilne

The number of POWs on both sides is another issue that’s wrapped in the fog of war…

Patrick

And Russia has apparently provided a list of 200 servicemen held in Ukrainian captivity. Interesting 4 times less. That’s according to the Turkish Ombudsman who is trying to facilitate new POW exchanges.

Patrick

UKR MOD morning report: Ukrainian military repelled Russian attacks near Bilohorivka of Luhansk region and Verkhnokamyanske, Krasnopolivka, Spirne, Sil, Bakhmut, Klischiyivka, Novobakhmutivka, Velyka Novosilka, Prechystivka, Krasnohorivka, Pobyeda, Novomykhaylivka, Vodyane, Mayorsk and Maryinka of Donetsk region
Prechystivka is intriguing. Potential new front?

gougou

700 000 Ukrainians mobilized, tons of NATO ammunitions and equipments but they still cannot advance or launch counter offensives to Zaporija ? Donetsk city ? Melitopol ? What are they waiting for ? Cold and frozen mud to move the vehicles or more ammunition from us ?

Tristan

The warmer weather (which means mud is not frozen) explains a lot. Russian mobilization also helps them, even if they are throwing mobiks to the meat grinder just to slow down Ukrainian attacks (or advance a few km to claim symbolic victory).

But if the West (read, Germany) finally decides do give the heavy stuff Ukrainians need for counter-attacks (tanks and IFVs), that would be something.

gougou

Exact, I do not understand the slowness of Germany … I mean everyone else is giving or promising fast deliveries of heavy weapons but Germany is like a snail… what do they fear ? I mean all their equipement will be better in UKR hands than rusting in a obscure depot for thousand years in Germany…..

Matthias

Because we don’t want the headline “German tanks roll against Russia” again? Germans do have a very (too?) sensitive antenna for these historical allegories. In addition, Chancellor Scholz seems to have some serious legal problems and one of the key witnesses sits high&dry in Moscow under the protection of the Kreml

Droll

But we (in Czechia) think that it is only the traditional alliance between Germany and Russia, which has always applied to the division of countries between them. German tanks against Russia did not occur to me, I see it more like Ribbentrop–Molotov…

Noelle

The reality (about which nobody is talking about) is that G demilitarised itself so eagerly in the beginning of the century (but you know “evil militaristic NATO!”) that today Slovakia (working metaphor) would conquer it with no problem. Add decades of negligence, political messing around and RU substantial influence. Bundeswehr is a mess. The tragic story is: there is no tanks to give.

Tristan

The problem is not so much that they don’t wan’t to give their tanks; the problem is that they are blocking other countries that are willing to give theirs !

Max Beckhaus

I am pretty confident that we will let others send lepards within this week, at least. My guess is that we will send some too. Yes, concerning our military stocks we are actually stretching them hard to keep up. In total support measured in money we are second only to usa. Are we slow? Oh yes! But we have a ‘nie wieder’ to get over and we stand with ukraine. Yes, looking at you, france.

Karl

Wirklich? Das ist gut. Deutschlands Haltung ist diesmal wichtig. Darf ich fragen: warum glauben Sie, dass Deutschland der Ukraine Panzer geben wird?

GOUGOU

Ja Deutschland MUSS so viel Waffen und Rüstung zu UKR geben ! Die Nachbarn ( Poland, Slovakei und Frankreich ) zeigen dass sie “Cojones” haben und dass sie UKR unterstützen …. DE scheint absolut schwach aus….

Eleonora

Putin is not the problem, the US and the german green party is the problem. They want a new global dictatorship, Putin fight for the freedom, the ukrainian should switch the sides and fighte against the US and the green-left germany. We all should support the fight for freedom against the US and the green totalitaristic ideas.

Max Beckhaus

Interessant dass Frankreich es in die Aufzählung mit Polen schafft. Dazwischen liegen Welten und mit Sicherheit auch Deutschland.
Wir werden Panzer schicken, weil es nach den Lieferungen der Britten unmöglich ist Polen die Lieferung zu verbieten. Wenn damit deutsche Panzer sowieso in die Ukraine gehen, ist es nur eine Frage der Zeit, wann auch wir es tun.
Es macht dann aber politisch wenig Sinn

Max Beckhaus

noch zu warten. Den Gruenen und der FDP kann das scholz dann kaum erklären und den europäischen Partnern im Osten sowieso nicht.

Eleonora

again german tanks shall kill ppl in easteurope in the name of a totalitaristic ideology … What is wrong with this country germany?

ConcernedFllwr

2nd time: Propaganda, obviously. Pure Kremlin narrative. Does not contribute whatsoever to what is intended by this website.

Colin

Their history.

Matthias

Well, this is a war of attrition. A soldier can only die once, so the Ukrainians are wise to stick to their tactics. In addition, I believe that NATO countries won’t give away all this stuff without having a say how/where/when it is used (as in: there is a lot of military advisory from western countries)

Noelle

Please write to Zaluzny about your masterful plan.

If you really look at the numbers (not prole mises) the help until now is kind of homeopatic. Enough to keep going, even muster an assault on unprepared and stupidly arrogant and incompetently led forces (Kharkiv) but not enough to get even real parity in hardware.
So – yes. They need more. Really *more*. –>

Noelle

and there are serious logistical issues to master, too.

real IFVs (‘boxes on tracks’ were better than nothing and they are useful, still – they are not up to the job needed), tanks and aviation (about we “the concerned West”) are still shy about. There is some progress – every time when RU “eliminates” another 3-y old “nazi” something is pushed on the rails. How many of these “nazis” must die?

INEXORABLE

Something I do not understand : Ukrainian forces succeed to push in Izium / Lyman and Kherson region very fast and with tremendous results, regaining lost territories ten times faster than the russians did…. But now I see that Ukrainian forces are not are stuck and cannot go through russian lines anymore ? Is this an issue with logistic and winter conditions ? Mud and rain preventing offensives

Colin

More pro ruzzian troops.

Patrick

Several factors: (1) Ukraine’s successes were more Russia’s mistakes; (2) more Russian troops on the ground now; (3) better coordination between Russian units (although problems persist); (4) “Stupid” Russians can actually learn

Noelle

more meat in the fry. To make even very weak unit to r

Noelle

–> missclick, sorry –>
to rout you need to inflict some damage. You also have less opportunity to manouver if the troop saturation is higher. Weather impaires both sides. Ukr is slowly going into Kreminna but slowly.
(if they would throw few thousands convicts into the grinder, you’d see “better progress”)

Karl

I don’t think Russia’s recent gains are surprising. After they successfully retreated from Kherson, the mobilization, and months of bloody battle in Donbas, Russians managed to advance, just like what they have done after retreating from Kyiv. The question is, can they take the advantage of this and force the Ukrainians to abandon fortified cities (Bakhmut and Avdiivka) by enveloping?

Colin

Remember – Routs are not retreats.

Zakking_Verde

You just believe what you want to believe

Colin

And volunteers are not mercenaries.

gougou

Ukrainian retreat tactically … Soledar and Bakhmut are only small cities without any strategical importance…. Russians will face the harsh reality of Ukrainian warriors when trying to push to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk…no need to stay in Soledar, just winning time with fixing Wagner groups together and bomb them afterwards

John Doe

If Bakhmut and Soledar are “ only small cities without any strategical importance“, why do thousand of Ukranian soldiers die for it?

ConcernedFllwr

Please provide source for “*thousands* [for Bakhmut and Soledar]”

Patrick

Well it’s clearly not 200 or 300… The level and intensity of fighting is such that thousands is not an exaggeration. You don’t really need hard evidence. There are plenty of articles in the western press.

Noelle

I am really not impressed by ‘Western Press’, the bar for journalism is quite low nowadays even in supposedly prestigeous papers. Also the Western Gaze is very strong in these – not always in such ridiculoius ways as in case of Mearsheimer (or completely clownish/clinical like Petersen) in which case the most intelligent in competent parts are spaces between the words – still the quality —>

Noelle

—> leaves a lot to be desired.

A lot of this is a part of degradation of audience problem and intentional quality downgrade but the matter of particularity of Western (in numerous forms, ‘The West’ is not a singular object) imaginations should not be underestimated.

Hundreds.. yes it is believeable. If you say ‘thousands’ (in these last weeks) there would not be a many left. –>

Noelle

—>
and there is a question how much of the loses are irreversible, question about late loses (RU has horrific records there) etc.

Patrick

I agree with your diagnostic of the press. Standards are falling in line with the quality and level of education of the public at large. As for losses, I tend to believe in the meatgrinder allegory, which suggests exceptionally high rates of irretrievable losses, but that’s a subjective view obviously.

COLIN

250 ukr casualties per day is estimated on the eastern front. Say 200 WIA and 50 KIA per day. It all mounts up.

GOUGOU

Thousands ? Send me sources and reports … yes they suffer heavy casualties but there are only ten UKR bataillons deployed around Bakhmut / Soledar, about 10 000 men…. It means that this area has very minor importance and the defense against Russians cannon fodder wave is done to concentrate Wagner and mobiks in these area when other more important occuped places will be liberated in the spring

Anna

What kind of Russian gains are we talking about? The non-complete conquest of a completely destroyed settlement of only 10,000 people (almost all of them left before the Russian advancement) and a bunch of small one-story houses after almost one year? Anyone would be embarrassed to put that down in a resume of military achievements. FYI Kharkiv oblast more than 2.5 million, Kherson city 300,000

Roffe

Ruzzia has no gains and victories to speak of in ukraine, bring death povery and destruction. Whatever Ruzzia manages to occupy they’ve turned into poverty, depopulated wastelands and rubble they won’t bother restoring. That is the sad disgusting legacy and doctrine of a pety Ruzzian KGB bureaucrat leader stuck in the cold war era, with schooling in subversion, blackmail and cohersion.

Karl

Right, they lost much more than what they have got, but at least the Russians can threaten Bakhmut and Sieversk this time. I am not saying that Russians are going to win this war, however, well, they may successfully break through the Ukrainian line of defense this time.

Patrick

I have to disagree. Storming and taking a well-defended city of 12.31 km² in 2 weeks is no small achievement in military terms. The number of civilians is irrelevant to measure success

Noelle

wm… you should check your calendar. They were attacking the Soledar *much* longer than ‘2 weeks’.

Patrick

I meant from the moment they reached the outskirts and the onslaught started. I know they started bombing months ago.

Noelle

they were ‘on the outskirts of Soledar’ since September, give or take a few days. And I understand the emotions of the last weeks but that was another – this time successful – of such operations. Soledar, just like Bakhmut were stormed with various (until now) effects literaly for months in the ‘throw enough shit and smth will break eventually’ fashion.

COLIN

Thers has been solid fighting at bakmutski àmd soledar for months.
I believe it wad the TOS-1A thermobaric rockets destroye ukr defence lines.
Horrific and devastating weapon.

Hologram

Allways falsifying the reality… are you an iSW analyst ?