The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 18th March 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).

Sloboda Front

includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Hryanykivka

Siverskyi Donets

overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity

  • Russian forces managed to advance closer to the ruins of Spirne settlement. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Dibrova, Kuzmyne, Kreminna, Verknokamyanske, Spirne

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

  • Ukrainian forces probed Russian defense in the vicinity of Mayorsk. They lost two M113s and retreated to original positions. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Hryhorivka, Bakhmut, Ivanivske, Klishchivka

Bakhmut City

the city of Bakhmut

  • Wagner mercenaries attempted to cross Bakhmutovka river, but were met with accurate artillery fire. (source)
  • The enemy is advancing from the south and is about to reach the center of Bakhmut. (source)

Avdiivka Front

includes the vicinity of Avdiivka

  • Russian forces advanced south of Krasnohorivka, confirming that Vesele village is no longer under Ukrainian control. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Kamyanka, Avdiivka, Sieverne, Pervomaiske, Nevelske

Donetsk Front

includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Marinka

Zaporizhzhia Front

includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast

  • Ukrainian forces conducted a recon by force south of Novodanylivka. They lost three vehicles and retreated to the original positions. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Kalanchak Front

includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka

  • No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.

Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

 


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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.

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John

The biggest mistake the Ukrainians made was not firing HIMARS at Mariupol over the weekend….

san4es

To shoot Putin, you have to know where he is going. Ukrainian intelligence has screwed up. Or maybe its Western counterparts just didn’t give the information …

Max Beckhaus

Shooting Putin is a dumb idea. He is offering the Ukrainian people the biggest price they were longing for, for a very, very long time: Freedom.
Putin will go down as one of the great fathers of modern, western Ukraine with this enormous stupidity.
Ukraine does not want to kill Putin, because the next Russian leader could be much worse for them AND they would raise the probability of a much

Max Beckhaus

worse leader a lot, with killing him, e.g. it could trigger nuclear eskaltaion. Ukraine is very happy with him alive, believe me.

Kay

link removed (reason: unreliable source)

Plus Leo 2, Abrams, Stryker, Challenger, Marder, Cheetah, AMX-10, Archer, CV-90, Caesar… It can also be seen that most Ukrainian soldiers return from training in the same period. So all weapon systems should also be on the ground at the same time….

I am looking forward to the counteroffensive, which has probably never happened before

Last edited 1 year ago by Jerome
Triglav

Guys I think it’s time to start asking the question: but what if Bakhmut doesn’t fall?

Max Beckhaus

Than Russias Offensive failed utterly. Next step: Whining for a truce, which will also fail. Next step: New mobilization round, rince and repeat.
Funny that Xi appears just in the moment where Russias offensive culminates… Now i understand, why they made this senseless offensive, to build pressure and grab more land befor the “chinize” truce. Well that will fail bad. The Russians are so obvious

san4es

The city is surrounded and supplies are delivered there by dirt roads sunk in mud under shelling. Why would anyone want to take the city? This is a perfect example of an animal in a trap

Max Beckhaus

Jear, why would anyone ever want to take a city in a war… Idiotic Russians, why did they take Mariupol, Svertedonezk and Lysychanks, should have just stayed put. Sorry, I can´t take that serious.

Last edited 1 year ago by Max Beckhaus
san4es

Were all these towns supplied through one shotgunned road?

Tristan

If Russian don’t want to take the city, why are they assaulting Bakhmut north, east and south ? Urban warfare is very costly for the attacker, but the russian do it (and suffer losses accordingly).

san4es

Of course, the Ukrainians have no losses. Given the shell hunger and fire power ratio. Have you seen the videos about shipping to Bakhmut?

Tristan

I’m pointing a flaw in your logic. Answer the point.

You claim that Russians don’t want to take the city. But they are assaulting it, losing a lot of men in those assault. Why are they attacking, if they don’t want to take the city ?

Max Beckhaus

Dear San4es, even IF the loss ratio is 1 to 1, which is a hugh stretch concerning facts defending citys, even with big ammunition problems, it would be worth defending or taking it. The problem for defenders is the danger of encirclement, envelopment, where you can not retreat anymore. That did not happen.

san4es

The idea is simple. They should attack to pull as many Ukrainian troops into Bakhmut as possible. Take them out of Kremenna, Avdeevka, Zaporizhzhya.

Max Beckhaus

And offer a symbol of resistance/defeat for free? War is a extension of politics… If the Russia fails to conquer Bakhmut, the internal price political price will be enormous.

Last edited 1 year ago by Max Beckhaus
Tristan

But how could Ukrainians pull troops into Bakhmut if, as you claim, “the city is surrounded” ?

And if, unlike what you said, the city is not surrounded and Ukrainians can indeed send more troops there, is this a good idea for Russia to do have heavy casulaties in Bakhmut (NATO reports a 5:1 kill ratio in favor of Ukrainians), just hoping Ukrainians will have to send more troops ?

Patrick

According to UKR MOD, RU attack was repelled near Berdychi. The absence of any mention of Stepove could indicate the latter has been captured.

Сумський котик

Ось тепер я повністю впевнений у неупередженісті та об’єктивності ваших зведень, бо наразі ви повідомляєте і про невдалі атаки ЗСУ, а не тільки про невдачі рашистських окупантів. Це важливо при нерухомості лінії фронту. Дякую за вашу працю, Джероме!

Max Beckhaus

Nothing new to me, but welcome in the club. 🙂

JJ Gonzo

Thanks for finally marking Vesele with red dot. This shows how critical is the situation of Avdiivka (Penis Dushilin’ s and his milicias main goal since start od this war)

kris

Hi Jerome. I’ve added a link to another Ukrainian analyst who reports more activity along the Zaporizhzhia front: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOSoJfrbud4

xdfgiopkoig

Love your maps and updates. Just wanted to let you know there is something wrong with your map legend as the line icons don’t match the discription. Keep up the good work and hopefully this mess will be over sooner than later.

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