The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 24th February 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Stelmakhivka
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Dibrova, Kreminna, Bilohorivka, Rozdolivka, Fedorivka
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Wagner mercenaries captured Berkhivka settlement north of Bakhmut. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Zaliznianske, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Dubovo-Vasylivka, Berkhivka, Yahidne, Bakhmut, Ivanivske, Chasiv Yar, Dyliivka
Bakhmut City
the city of Bakhmut
- The enemy has broken through Ukrainian lines and entered the northern part of Yahidne. The settlement is now contested. (source)
- Given the Russian advance in the north, it’s safe to assume Ukrainian defenders retreated, at least partially, from the northern outskirts of Bakhmut.
- Fighting continues on the north-eastern outskirts of the city. (source)
- Wagner mercenaries managed to advance by a few houses on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut (source)
- The enemy also has success on the southern outskirts, where they advanced north towards the city center. (source)
- On the south-western side, the enemy reached the dacha area. (source)
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- Based on the reports of Ukrainian General Staff, it seems Ukrainian forces conducted a counter-attack towards Vasylivka and regained some previously lost positions.
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Novobakhmutivka, Vasylivka, Avdiivka, Vodyane, Nevelske
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- Russian forces advanced towards Pobieda and reached a nearby farm, where they met fierce resistance and were forced to retreat. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Marinka, Pobieda, Novomykhailivka, Vuhledar, Prechystivka
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Kalanchak Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
Looking for an interactive map? We got you covered. Visit our original Deployment map.
If you would like to use our maps in your project, video or any other media, please visit Invasion maps page for more information.
This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
Frankly speaking I was expecting Bakhmut to fall by the end of February. However Bakhmut still holds and allows UA defenders to bind plenty of RU forces there. I am really impressed by UA defence forces.
They keep retreating and are going to be encircled. Not sure what is so impressive about that.
This is only possible because NATO isn’t sending enough weapons
If they keep retreating they, by definition, are not going to be encircled…
There is no reason to believe that a substantial amount of Ukrainian forces will be encircled.
There is plenty of time yet for a withdrawal and things in Bakhmut look like a deliberate withdrawal.
Wagner reportedly entered Dubovo-Vasilivka. Awaiting confirmation.
Any news on kreminna ? Our local news had article that russians attacked with 3 company and lost 1 and Garden gnome(kadyrov) had to move 200 soldiers there to keep surviving russians in line aka not surrender or retreat?
Fighting continues in the forest area south of it.
Russian only have small gain near dvorichna. They fail to repulse ukr to all their important position.
For me its strange. Russia cant be so weak.
Wagner officially in control of Yahidne https://t.me/RVvoenkor/39148
画风突变
A U.S. Marine fighting in the International Legion said that when a Ukrainian soldier fights on the frontlines in Bakhmut, their life expectancy is around four hours.
https://www.newsweek.com/bakhmut-life-expectancy-near-four-hours-frontlines-ukraine-russia-1782496
it is a common problem with singularities and it is mindlessly (and ill-willed) exploited by the poop-media like Newsweek, Sun, Fox (etc.). You should never treat singular testimony as a source for prediction or evaluation. It is great in literature and the literature (or similiar forms of artistic expression) is an important but it also error generator as test or measure.
While this testimony may have no statistical or predictive value, it suggests soldiers who continue being thrown in the Bakhmut meat-grinder are sent to an almost certain death.
As long as general Miley’s observation holds true, that Russians have about double the casualties of Ukraine, it is still a way to attritional victory.
I don’t remember Gen. Milley saying Russians have twice as many casualties. Can you please share a link?
Last real Rammstein, or the one in Brussels with nato, press conference there after.
Milley on Russian casualties: “the last time I reported out publicly [in November] I said it was well over 100,000. I would say it’s significantly well over 100,000 now.” Milley did not estimate Ukraine’s military losses.
https://nypost.com/2023/01/20/russia-has-significantly-more-than-100000-casualties-in-ukraine-milley/
And do you believe that?
Believe what?
That death in Bakhmut comes very fast? Yes, I do
Do you mean, for Russians that are sent in the first human waves of the assault ?
lots of Russians dying too of course.
Do you believe that the life expectancy of Ukrainian soldiers in Bakhmut is literally 4 hours?
You believe that Russia has 140.000 dead in a year. That’s 390 dead per day. If this is plausible then yes 4 hours at Bakhmut is also plausible. Especially if we take under account the report of German intelligence service that every day only at Bakhmut Ukraine loses 3 digits number soldiers.
Yes, that’s plausible that Russia has 140 dead in a year, I have already explained it.
A “4 hours life expenctancy” is not plausible. Do the maths: Bahmut holds since July, that’s 8 months = 1440 * 4hours. Assuming there are 10 000 defenders in Bakhmut (there used to be more), that have to be replaced every 4 hours, it would mean 14 millions dead soldiers.
Edit: plausible that Russia has 140 000 dead soldiers in a year (I forgot the k).
And 3 digit caualties /day may sounds impressive, but I doesn’t mean 999 KIA/day. It can also mean that Ukrainians in Bakhmut have, every day, 30 KIA and 90 WIA (so 120 casualties/day – a 3 digit number).
You have every right to believe in fairy tales
It’s strange that you call “fairy tales” analysis backed by visual evidences and data science. While you believe than “only a few thousand mobiks died” -> that’s a fairy tale.
Where is the analysis in your funny 30 daily Ukrainian deaths in Bakhmut? It’s a fairy tale you like believing in.
The analysis I am refering to is what I explained about Russian/ukrainian losses (their ration, the probable numbers, how reliable Ukr MoD announcement are, etc).
“your funny 30 daily Ukrainian deaths” -> you misundertood me. I just said that “a 3 digit figure” may only mean 30 deaths/day. I never said that was the actual number.
I would love a link of this analysis to see what are the data that they take under consideration for such an outcome. The other time at BBC were talking about 43.000 dead according to British Intelligence. What kind of data do they use that has such a difference from the Ukrainian one?
You can look at Ragnar Gundmundsson’s website (Google him). I tried to post the link, but if I do so, my comment is rejected.
I am sorry but this is the most biased thing I have ever seen. It’s based on Russian, Ukrainian and Belarusian scientists, journals doctors etc. Do we now who are they? Do you know what they support? Medusa is journalists. Do they contribute to the data? The study from University of Uppsala saying that there is great misinformation about the casualties from both sides is definitely on the spot.
Biased? Maybe. Their numbers are quite high for both armies. They give a 2:1 ratio (which is lower than the 3:1 ratio of equipment losses), so the story they tell is not in favor of Ukraine.
The report was 40 days old when Bakhmut wasn’t even surrounded. 100 dead per day is 4000 in 40 days. Now Bakhmut is almost surrounded. The past 3 weeks that the Russians have advanced and attack from 3 directions definitely there are more losses for both sides, but the discussion is about the claim of the American volunteer for life expectancy of 4h. To me even if it’s not 4h definitely it’s low.
To put it in prospective, Germans suffered 185k deaths during Barbarossa, an operation which involved close to 4 million men, Russia is not even close to those numbers how can they have more deaths? Ukraine developed literal space marines who kill the enemy before he even gets conscripted with their wheat producing economy?
Barbarossa lasted only 5 months (22th june – december 5th, 1941), and the technology was kite different back then. There wasn’t HIMARS that could kill 500 mobiks in a single strike. So I am not sure you can compare the two.
But if your argument is that Barbarossa involved more people, please say how many men did Russia send to Ukraine in total. I’d like to know that number.
Rus fire 20.000 artillery shells per day. 1/100 to find target, means that 200 shells find target. That’s just 1%. 2-3 people to die with every successful shot, that’s between 400-600 dead PER DAY. Here is your 500 people that Ukraine managed to kill ONCE (I believe you refer to the incident with the barracks). I’ll half it to 0.5% success. That’s 250 dead. 250×365=91.250. Same kind statistics!
If you have any serious study (not numbers you invented) that estimates how many soldiers are killed by artillery each day, I’d like to read it.
Meanwhile, I remind you that in May-June 2022, Russians were firing 5x more shell per day, and it didn’t destroy the ukrainian army.
Serious study? How about some history? In WW1 60% of the casualties were caused by artillery according to the American National WW1 museum and memorial. The battle of Somme lasted 141 days and the casualties were 620.000 for the Allies and 440.000 for the Germans. I mention WW1 because all analysts say it resembles to this war.
I don’t think it is fair to compare current war with WW1, but let’s go with it.
There were 10 millions soldiers killed in, WW1, so 6 millions killed by artillery. There were 1.3 billion shells fired, so that’s about 216 shells/death. 20k shells/ day means less than 100 death /day, not 500.
One more thing : currently, Russians fire about 10k shells per day, not 20k.
The accuracy of artillery in WW1 isn’t the same and you know that. The shells fired were 900 mil not 1.3 bil. That’s 150 shells per death with WW1 accuracy. I said 100 shells to kill 2 people and the halved the percentage. So basically more or less the 250 people per day only from shelling isn’t far from from reality. Plus the Ukrainian MoD says 20.000 per day. Don’t be picky on their “data”.
The accuracy is not the same, but the concentration of troops is not the same neither. Compared to WW1 trenches, today’s trenches are almost empty. On average, I guess artillery fire does less death /shell today than during WW1.
And there were 1.3 billion shells fired. If you talk just about the western front, scale down the number of deaths too in your calculation.
Don’t think so. Concentration isn’t the same but still if you have a group of 10 – 15 people an a shell falls 10 m away the outcome is going to be 1-2 dead.
And they died more in trench and bunker than in openfield during offensive ?
I assume more in battlefield but not sure about the level of fortifications at Ukraine. In WW1 were quite complex and deep. But as I said in another comment you can’t compare the accuracy of today’s artillery with 110 years ago.
Remind me how big is the Ukrainian army?
At the moment, probably around 500k men for the regular army. Plus the police, the boarder guard, etc
So 90.000 or 100.000 dead wouldn’t destroy the Ukrainian army. Yes? And we know that they continue recruiting to replenish losses and train more men.
Yes, the Ukrainian army could sustain 100k death. But we have no reason to believe they actually have so many dead soldiers.
FYI, the highest estimate for Ukraine (volya media, Jan 31st) is 65k KIA/MIA/POW .
What is the allegiance of Volya media? Ukrainian, “independent”/opposition Russian, pro-government Russian? Only in the 40 days between mid June and end July Arakhamia said that Ukraine was having 300 to 500 dead soldiers daily which is between 12000 to 20000. That’s just a bit more than a month!! Battle intensity dropped but you can’t claim just 65000 dead if officially someone accepts the above
Volya media is a group of idenpendant Russian / Bielorussian journalists, opposed to Putin and Lukachenko. They say their estimates are based on field reports and other sources in both armies. Their estimates show higher casualties numbers than other estimates, both for Russian and Ukrainian armies.
Independent and opposing to Putin and Lukashenko doesn’t go together. I don’t believe that there is anyone independent in this conflict because we are talking about Russia which is considered one of the global superpowers. Since EU and USA intervened at the conflict and there are billions that are spent from each side, none is independent.
140k deaths is not plausible, if that was true then Russia should’ve suffered close to 600k casualties in total, that is impossible (that’s 3 times the manpower they had deployed in the region in 2022, you truly believe that?)
Already explained, see my other messages for the explanation.
For your information, Volya media estimated Russia’s losses (until 31st january) 133-137k KIA/MIA/POW and ~300k WIA.
By russian official source, russian deployed somethning around 450k or 500k in 2022. But consider its not all what they send .
Number of volontary (or “volontary” )who join regular army IS not known for example. And some dpr/lpr was killed on the front without their name put on any list.
And maybe your ratio IS not good. When you forbiden your troops to retreat before, thé night, they died.
Not literally but he is not an armchair general. He saw many comrades dying in combat and he knows first-hand about the very short life expectancy in Bakhmut.
the point is that such brave and literature-worthy metaphors are useless and often counterproductive. Sure – loses are definitelly high, higher than in any other location. But such statements are ridiculous. You can die with the whole squad in such area in 15 min after deployment. You can also be lucky and got rotated 3 times. ‘General’ he is not, disgruntled grunt – maybe.
Depends if there is shelling or not.
The flaw in your claim is that it is an article from Newsweek. Newsweek is a tabloid newspaper that tends to exaggerate and the texts are much sensationalized. The interview is therefore anything but serious. If Ukrainian soldiers would really not survive longer than 4h there, I wonder why this American of all people survived.
If he was not there at all, his statements are more than questionable.
I am starting to be confident, that mobilization will not save Russia from more defeats this year. I believe most of zaporizhia and Kherson will liberated this year. I got 2 main reasons: 1) I believe Russia still overestimates it’s own combat power and 2) we all, including Russia, still underestimate Ukraine.
Selon votre carte, UK recule de victoires en victoires. Exactement l’armée allemande en 44 !
Non la carte montre que le front ne bouge plus vraiment depuis les dernières offensives ukrainiennes. Et ce malgré des Russes attaquant tout azimut depuis des mois.
Ils gagnent, mais ce sont de petites victoires, et c’est une minuscule portion du territoire Ukrainien.
Ni d’un côté ni de l’autre on ne sait réellement à quel point les armées se préservent. Bon les russes depuis le début de l’année ne semblent plus vraiment se préserver et sont passés à l’offensive quitte à sacrifier un bon paquet d’homme. L’Ukraine attend à priori le printemps pour bouger.
Non l’armée ukrainienne préfére juste abandonner des villages inutiles stratégiquement…. Sauver des vies en se repliant sur des positions plus sécurisées en arrière est intelligent pas comme les russes fonçant têtes baissées pour prendre 10 Km2 en deux semaines et étendre leurs lignes logistiques… l’Ukraine les récupère dans quelques semaines #Izium/Lyman/ Kherson 🙂
Maybe I dont understand the map, but it would be great if we saw highgrounds and lowgrounds. For example UA counterattacked and regained highground positions. Or this city is on a high ground so its a good defensive position. Another example: UA retreated from lowgrounds to highgrounds for a better defensive positions
The “highgrounds” in southern Ukraine are basically glorified mounds, i doubt there are many advantages to them.
the control of the highs is very important in areas like vulhedar, bakmut, avdiivka, vesele, spirne, novoselike, …
When I Googled “Topographic map of Ukraine, I got over 2 million hits. That should occupy you for the rest of today.