Invasion Day 322 – Summary

The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 11th January 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).

Sloboda Front

includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river

Kupyansk direction

  • The enemy conducted a recon by force near Hryanykivka and retreated after a brief skirmish.

Svatove direction

  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the area of Stelmakhivka, but didn’t succeed.

Siverskyi Donets

overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity

  • Ukrainian forces repulsed an enemy attack in the area of Chervonopopivka and Kuzmyne.
  • Russian troops attempted to advance in the area of Spirne, and towards Rozdolivka and Vesele. All attacks were repelled.
  • The attacks on both Bilohorivka settlements (in Luhansk and Donetsk Oblast) were successfully neutralized.

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

  • Wagner mercenaries advanced in Soledar and reached the city center.
  • The enemy published two photos and one video, supposedly showing them inside a salt mine. However, it is impossible to find the exact position.
  • Russian troops also bypassed Soledar from the south and entered the south-western outskirts, near the Salt mine no. 4.
  • As of writing this summary, there is no concrete evidence that Russian forces captured Soledar. The town remains marked as contested.
  • The enemy tried to gain full control over Pidhorodne, but didn’t succeed.
  • Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks in the vicinity of Klishchiivka, Kurdyumivka and Soledar.

Bakhmut City

the city of Bakhmut

  • Due to Russian focus on Soledar, the intensity of fighting around Bakhmut has decreased. The combat continues in the industry area east of Bakhmut.

Avdiivka Front

includes the vicinity of Avdiivka

  • Russian troops tried to advance in the area of Vodyane, without success.
  • The enemy conducted a recon by force near Nevelske, but retreated upon contact.

Donetsk Front

includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast

  • The enemy tried to seize a new position in the direction of Krasnohorivka, but didn’t succeed.
  • Heavy fighting continue in Marinka.
  • Russian forces probed Ukrainian defense at Pobieda and Preschystivka, but retreated upon contact.

Zaporizhzhia Front

includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

  • No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.

Kalanchak Front

includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka

  • No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.

Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

 


Looking for an interactive map? We got you covered. Visit our original Deployment map.

If you would like to use our maps in your project, video or any other media, please visit Invasion maps page for more information.

This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.

 
 
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v3rAx44

Well,can you make next map’s designation more standardized? Like mark the Btn’s designation on the block’s right lower corner and under the Bre’s designation. =)

Riley

Hey, new to this page and its really good, i love the updates.
I was wondering whether you have any idea from the casualty rates in the Bakhmut area? And Ukraine in gerneral, because some sources say that both sides are both sides are suffering heavy casualties, some say Ukraine is descimating Russia all over Ukraine. And some say that there are attrition rates of 8:1 in Bakhm in favour of RU

Riley

Im more inclined to believe the, biths ides taling massive casualties narrative, due to the fog of war and it just seem the most logical and likely.
Very few people say that Ukraine is suffering an 8:1 attrition rate in Bakhmut and 10:4 or 5:1 ( i forget which one it is) all over Ukraine in favour of RU.
But i just wanna know what you guys think?

Tristan

There is fog of war, so yes it is difficult to have a good idea of the casualties. But logically, the ratio is in favor of Ukraine (Ukrainians are in defense). There are photos of fields with dozens of dead russians; no comparable proof of casualties for the ukrainians. So your 8:1 ratio in favor of RU is completely wrong. Ukraine is winning.

MeNeutral

Logically Russia has a firepower advantage of artillery like what? 7 to 1 Ukraine said I think. So It is stupid to say that Russia suffers more losses then Ukraine.
Doesn’t matter that they are defending, they are defending whilst being bombare constantly, whilst Russia only pushes once in a while. Fog of war rules right now, but Russia is definitely not suffering more losses

Tristan

Not anymore. Since July, russian artillery firepower is drastically reduced because their logistics (and the HIMAR threat) does not allow the kind of firepower they had in April-May-June. And even at that time, Russian had more losses than Ukrainians.

The most fravorable (for russia) casualties estimates are:

  • for ukaine : 30k KIA, 70k WIA
  • for russia: 60k KIA, more than 100k WIA
Max Beckhaus

i think early november general milley, chief of staff usa, talked about well above 100k casualties for Russia and about the same for Ukraine. It is highly likely that this woiuld have changed in favour of ukraine the last 2 months.

Tristan

The situation hasn’t drastically changed the last 2 months. Russian may suffer more casualties now because the conscripts are more likely to die and the “suicide waves” tactics employed by Wagner, but that’s not my point.

Gen. Milley’s sentence is well known, but we don’t know how he figured out that number. To have a better estimate, you have to look at the whole picturelike in this article.

Patrick

So, you know better than Gen Milley? Amazing…

Tristan

Gen Milley can be wrong, or lie, or simplify (100 000 is the right order of magnitude), it doesn’t change the fact that russians military have way more casualties than ukrainians. They have more material losses, they attack fortified positions directly, so yeah, obviously they have more casualties. The only unknown is “how many times more” ? 2 times ? 3 times ? More ?

freedom day

Check that big group of 4 encircled on the photo, check the guy on the east of that group of 4, now check the helmet. yha those bodies are probably of ukrainians. Being in defense is terrible if the opponent has high observation points uav coverage and a 10 to one artillery superiority. ukraine has to send in troops to positions to hold the place, whilst wagner just harasses a little

Max Beckhaus

The end of Sergej Surowikin may mark the end of the strategic bombing of the energy infrastructur. At least that will have to slow down soon anyways… but it may mean that it is actually over.

Robert

The strategic bombing of the energy infrastructur has become increasingly ineffective anyway and already slowed down before.

Triglav

I think the main reason is that the number of Russian cruise missiles has dropped considerably. My theory: it always took Russia a week to assemble cruise missiles from other parts of the country, which were meant for defence, to launch a large enough wave, so at least some missiles wouldn’t be intercepted. I think this is the first time Russia actually ran out of a type of munition

Noelle

while he is writing nonsense (‘concerned trolling’?) there is some merit – most of these dead on RU side are no-people. So if RU loses wagnerites by thousands and Ukr it’s own soldiers by hundreds or dozens it’s not a ‘good trade’ really.
People sometimes asks ‘when Russians will feel the loses’, particularly ‘normal Russians’. Well, the ghastly answer is – ‘start around 1 mln.’

Andreas

You indicated that the 6th battalion of the 7th SOF center is located in Bakhmut, but they were also transformed into the 67th mechanized brigade?

Andreas

503 Marine Battalion, which is located near Donetsk, is part of 36 Marine Brigade, indicate this pls

v3rAx44

36th only contains 1stBtn and 501Btn. You can click the ‘Ukrainian Navy’ to watch it.

John cock

How easy will it be to put bakhmut under a siege now that soledar has fallen? And when do you think bakhmut will fall?

Patrick

If the Russians unlock the southern gate to Bakhmut by capturing Opytne and Klishiivka the countdown will start, as they will be able to advance to Ivaniske and attack from the west in addition to the east, south and north. Without these two settlements, they will hardly manage to take Bakhmut.

asdf

If you look at the map, you can see that Soledar itself doesn’t play too much of a role for Bakhmut. It depends more on the situation in Krasna Hora and south of there whether the Russians can put pressure on Bakhmut from the north side. If the Ukrainians can hold the highway so the Russians can’t cross over from the eastern parts of Pidhorodne, then the situation doesn’t really change much.

v3rAx44

but how about the causualties? Bakhmut is in a depression, lower than Pidhorodne and industry area which were captured by Wagner. Howetzer can easy attack them.

Noelle

They would need bypass (or take the the fortification behind) the Kishchiivka 1st. Assuming the worst, namely: that the RU will be able to keep momentum and sucessfully disrupt Ukr movement in the area, they might get the control of the northern supply line for Bakhmut (M-03). That would put the Siversk detachments in the uncomfortable position and – if they would push North – –>

Noelle

(2) –>
this might complicate operations around Kreminna.

Anna

Ukrainian bloggers, who are normally pretty biased in favor of Ukraine are saying now that UAF withdrew from Soledar and that the Russians have captured around 100 prisioners. Arestovych says that there are many Ukrainian deserters who have simply abandoned their units. I have no idea where this information is coming from. Is there any evidence for all that?

Patrick

The fog of war dominates… The only certainty is that the Russians have advanced but that Soledar is not fully under their control. There are probably prisoners and deserters but how many exactly? Some Russian sources claim Ukraine is preparing a counter-attack (allegedly ordered by Zelensky personally). God knows…

Colin

For the troops on both sides conditions are horrendous. Troops have been found frozen to death, many probably suffering ptsd (shell shock) cold, hungry and wet. Facing death everyday, scared.
It must get to a point when the human brain/mind can just take no more.
Wars are over when troops no longer want to or have no will to fight anymore.

Max Beckhaus

“Arestovych says that there are many Ukrainian deserters.”
That would be something new to me. Haven´t heard anything about Ukrainian deserters befor. But i only read news in english, so…

Last edited 22 days ago by Max Beckhaus
Anna

The information was in Butusov’s censor.net. I do not read Ukrainian but I use the google translator. Part of the information was also in Dimitri’s war translated, another Ukrainian blogger this time in English.

RainArtemisia

It is said that the Russian army disguised as the Ukrainian army attacked the front line. Is this true?

Kris

Yes, there’s a video. Wagner men dressed in Ukrainian Army uniforms with the colored armbands, walked up to a UKR position, then executed the Ukrainians troops.

Last edited 22 days ago by Kris
Tristan

Yes, Wagner did this. It’s a war crime.

Noelle

your ‘usual day in Russia’. Get used to that.

freedom day

the whole video is available and just shows that they arnt wearing Ukrainian markers, it relates to the rumors started by the fans of the tictok guy who got shot. they all were under Ukrainian fire in a hole, rounds wising by he stood up and the other guy didnt want to let go of the gun. both looked drugged or shell shocked, perhaps both. the russian soldier risked his life trying capture them.

Triglav

Welcome to ruski “mir”

John

Question for the insiders here:
1. what is this tunnel system in Soledar that some media are talking about? Is it strategically important? 
In my opinion, one should actually avoid tunnel systems in order not to be trapped by them.

John

2. is it true that in two months Prigozhin will have no money to finance his army and its equipment? Surely he will not get anything from Russlad, because they themselves have almost nothing left?

cwDeici

What? Russia has about 18 months of foreign currency reserves left.

Colin

In wartime all nations can find ways to find money to fight the war.
UK and empire were totally bankrupt at the end of ww2.
Usa bailed them out. Loanns wete not paid off until about 2010 or so.

Max Beckhaus

Russia will not have any reservs left within this year, i guess in the first half of it.

Noelle

(2) no. For the same reason that no matter how many N. Koreans will die from hunger, Kim will always get the newest XBox.
On YT, if you are interested you may find quite good insight in the internal RUssian dynamics made by person who actually (unlike many ‘experts’ knows the issue and the language) – check Vlad Vexler’s channels.

Pikująca Szozda
Patrick

Tunnels are so huge you can have tank races. But more seriously, they are very convenient to store material/equipment and hide from bombing. Trouble is when the enemy is waiting for you outside…

Colin

Damp salt air will ruin equipment if stored for long.

Mike

Equipment, machines and people should not be stored in tunnel systems. With targeted missile attacks, you can collapse the entrances and then everything is locked up.

Such tunnels are good for getting from A to B quickly and undetected, but not for being trapped inside.

Ralle

There is a reason, however, why Ukraine didn’t use it to store equipment extensively.