January 7, 2023

Invasion Day 317 – Bakhmut Front

The summary of the 317th day on Bakhmut Front, as of 22:00 – 6th January 2023 (Kyiv time). Due to the Russian advance in the area of Soledar, we’re releasing an extra summary solely focused on the Bakhmut Front. The classic summaries remain bi-daily. Bakhmut Front includes the vicinity of Bakhmut Ukrainian forces, due to…

The summary of the 317th day on Bakhmut Front, as of 22:00 – 6th January 2023 (Kyiv time).

Due to the Russian advance in the area of Soledar, we’re releasing an extra summary solely focused on the Bakhmut Front. The classic summaries remain bi-daily.

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

  • Ukrainian forces, due to the worsening situation and Russian advance in the area of Pidhorodne and Yakovlivka, have retreated from Bakhmutske and south-eastern part of Soledar.
  • Russian troops captured Bakhmutske shortly after that.
  • Russian Wagner mercenaries managed to advance in Soledar and reached the salt mine in the center of the town. (source)
  • The enemy attempted to advance towards Krasna Hora, but the attack was repelled.
  • There is a video showing Ukrainian troops withdrawing on foot from Pidhorodne. Russian forces likely managed to reach the eastern outskirts of the settlement, forcing Ukrainian troops to abandon unfavorable positions. (source)
  • Fighting continues on the outskirts of Klishchiivka, where the enemy attempts to capture the settlement.
  • Ukrainians released a drone video of shelling of Russian soldiers north-west of Kurdyumivka. The video indicates that Ukrainian forces retreated from Kurdyumivka after the successful raid. (source)

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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.

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32 Comments
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Evan
Question. In your opinion, the offensive of Russian soldiers on Soledar and Bakhmut is an attack of the last strength?
Stunt

Some say that ukrainians willingly let russians advance so that they keep degrading their offensive capabilities by attacking,wave after wave, Bakhmut and its surroundings

Klote

According to recent video material it seems that Ukrainian forces have pushed the Russians out of the salt mine and even recaptured big part of Soledar.

MeNeutral

really? can you give a source perhaps?

Patrick

If you really believe this, you’re in for a big disappointment…

Noelle

well, Russian turbo-patriots seems to be disappointed badly. Advertised gains shrinked significantly (according to @Rybar citing Военная хроника).
It does looks like the preplanned retreat from flanked position (old frontline would be unteneable in such circumstances) than ‘breakthrough’.
Instead of ‘pushing out of salt mine’ I rather believe they never actually have been in it.

Patrick

It’s probably true the Russians had not reached the salt mine. The fake “push out” proves Ukraine has nothing to boast about in Soledar.

Patrick

According to Boris Rozhin, Wagner captured the town of Pidhorodne on the outskirts of Bakhmut.  

Noelle

that was +- 3 days ago. It’s kind of unclear if they ‘took’ the settlement or just went into abandoned.

hello

So @Militarylandnet
can you give a guess as to how many have been KIA and WIA on both sides during the Bahkmut battle?

Patrick

Nobody knows for sure, but it seems safe to say thousands KIA and WIA on both sides.

MeNeutral

not an easy thing to answer tbh.
but given that ukraine has 60k worth of battalions in that region, i would assume that those numbers aren’t low.
despite what many people say that this city is basically worthless, it does seem like that ukraine is ready to sacrifice a lot for it, even more than for lysychansk.

Patrick

Ukrainian military repelled Russian attacks near Stelmakhivka, Makiyivka, Dibrova and Bilohorivka of Luhansk region and Ozaryanivka, Soledar, Krasna Hora, Pidhorodne, Bakhmut, Klischiyivka, Sil, Pervomayske, Maryinka and Pobyeda of Donetsk region, – General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report.
“Sil” ???

Noelle

deepstatemap reports (and they usually are pretty conservative) that, indeed, RU forces were convinced to vacate of the train station area in Soledar.

Seems that they still have these little heights on the North and on the South of the town the situation is unpleasant – it’s a bad terrain to defend.

Patrick

Many thanks, that’s only 2 km south of Krasnopolivka.

Patrick

Thanks for the welcome initiative, Jerome. Brilliant work as always.

Ukrop

Jerome, is there any indication that the VDV units in the area have entered combat or is that just rumor?

1111

oh,what happen

MeNeutral

russian winter offensive started i guess

Ppp

How many square kilometers per week/month do Russians gain? This is a local attack towards Bahmut since the seventh month!
Regards.

Klote

2km per 6 months…

Patrick

Yes, Russian gains have so far been unimpressive at best.

Patrick

No, the winter offensive will be much wider in scale. As for effectiveness and results, we will see. And both sides will conduct such offensives for sure.

Noelle

They do not have forces for the ‘offensive’. Even with next 500k which they probably draft in the next months or so it will be problematic.

Local zerg rushes of convicts ’till Ukr will have ammo crisis and troop rotation and then pushing by the rest of the VDVs they still have – yep. That should be expected.

Patrick

Before drafting 500k (if they do) it will be interesting to see what they do with the 300k already drafted and trained. It is perhaps not enough for a country-wide offensive but is a very decent force for a regional one.

Pikująca Szozda

We don’t even know if they managed to draft 300k. They said they did – but it’s usually safe to assume that the Russian government is lying.

Noelle

until you see renewed ‘battle tik-toks’ from Chechen’s Clown Special Forces, do not expect much.

DucktheDucker

Apreciate your work.