The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 14th December 2022 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Briefly:
Situation remains difficult in the area of Bakhmut as Russian troops managed to enter first buildings on the eastern outskirts. Ukrainian forces, despite the recent reinforcements, are unable to stop the endless waves of Russian troops and the air and artillery superiority helps Russians to advance forward.
The amount and intensity of Russian attacks across the whole front seems to be increasing, but Russians so far haven’t found any wunderwaffe to make a larger advance.
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Svatove direction
- Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack towards Hryanykivka settlement near Dvorichna.
- Russian forces tried to gain full control over Novoselivske settlement, but didn’t succeed.
- Russian attacks in the direction of Stelmakhivka, Novoyehorivka and Makiivka were repulsed.
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
- Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the area of Chervonopopivka, Serebryanske sawmill and Bilohorivka. Neither attempt was successful.
- The defenders managed to repulse an enemy attack towards Verkhnyokamyanske.
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Ukrainian defenders repelled a Russian attack near Yakovlivka.
- Fighting continues in Soledar, Bakhmutske and Bakhmut.
- The enemy attempted to advance towards Klishchiivka, but the attack was repelled. Holding Klishchiivka is crucial for the Ukrainian defense south of Bakhmut.
- Russian forces tried to advance in the area of Kurdyumivka, but didn’t succeed.
- Ukrainian forces repulsed a Russian attack in the area of Mayorsk.
Bakhmut City NEW
the city of Bakhmut
- Several Russian forces claim Wagner mercenaries entered the eastern outskirts. Given the video released by Georgian Partizans (Pro-Ukrainian unit), the fighting is indeed ongoing on the outskirts. (source)
- Soldiers of 71st Jager Brigade regained lost positions south-east just outside of Bakhmut after precise artillery strikes. (source)
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- Fighting persist in the area of Avdiivka.
- The enemy tried to advance closer to Nevelske, but the attempt was repelled.
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- Heavy fighting also continues in Marinka. The settlement was completely destroyed due to the Russian tactic of scorched earth.
- Russian attacks in the direction of Pobieda and Novomykhailivka were repulsed.
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Kalanchak Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
Looks like the Russians have taken Yakovlivka, east of Soledar. https://t.me/yaremshooter/572
I agree. For them to pose for a photo at that location so far north on Vulytsya Donetska must mean that they have effective control now.
it has no ‘immediate value’ because of ‘brilliant manouvering’ around Izium. If Ru still had its Izium bridgehead and Lyman (they were almost at the ‘gates’ of Sloviansk) it would be very dangerous situation – which in fact was the primary plan.
Still – Bakhmut it’s an important logistic node, during winter provides better shelter than the best of trenches, opens valley and access to the –>
–> other areas (Siversk immediately to the North, lines of settlements on the South which might be bypassed etc.) The Ru troops there also have mostly low value (you do not think that anybody cares how many convicts will die?) and plentiful in numbers.
I agree
I agree with the shelter argument, but every building in the city has been destroyed. Not much shelter possible for the Russians IF tey manage to capture the city. And that’s a BIG if…
even a cellar in the rubble is better than a trench in the field. Elements in the Winter, especially in the Eastern Ukraine are unforgiving. In general – we may expect a spike in the ‘late losses’ (deaths and crippling damage experienced outside the direct combat zone, often after the evacuation) on both sides, and particularly Ru one exactly because of that.
Marinka could fall this year. For Bahmut it’s less sure, as the Russians don’t seem to be able to take Opytne, which is the southern entrance to Bahmut. Let’s see.
The MSM are ridiculous. Why would UKR lose thousands of men for a city lacking so-called “strategic value”?
Bakhmut is a key stronghold in ukraine fiirst line of defence
Putin is setting up the Bakhmut fight, as his ‘Stalingrad.’
According to ISW Putin is sending more troops to fight in Donetsk.
Russian efforts are set to increase over the next couple of months.
Let’s recall, Nazi German army — never fully captured Stalingrad.
I think, Donetsk is going to be where, Russia burns out.
Nazi Germany also had a HUGE supply problem and many many other problems that are not present in bakhmut.
The chances are way higher that bakhmut will fall then the chances were with Stalingrad.
All depends on how much both sides are willing to sacrifice for this city, since it is also a symbolic city for Ukraine.
But it’s also strategically and tactically very important. The price will be high
You’ve clearly missed reports about – lack of even basic stuff like uniforms, going into important weapons systems that now are in short supply; because Russia has expended so much and lost so much.
Russia for months’ now is equipping troops with – 50 years old stuff, and even that is in limited supply as T62 and equivalent old personnel carriers are so obsolete, casualties are even worse.
Ah so that’s why russia commissioned over 200(could be way more) t-72 and t-80 and even t-90 tanks to be modernised and that’s why Ukrainian artillerymen say that russia started using more advanced artillery shells.
Ever seen a Ukrainian tank? Most are T62 Modernised sure, but can’t do shit against T72. T62 is not particularly a good tank
Have you even seen with what Ukraine is mostly fighting?
Ukraine is fighting with whatever it can fight with. Nothing wrong with that.
I’m pretty darned confident Ukraine keeps Bakhmut.
Ukr. army now is genuinely superior – due to horrible losses Russia has lost bulk of trained and experienced personnel, while Ukr. has not; now bulk of Ukr. troops are both well trained and experienced – battle hardened, and worst of all — Ukr. army now is better equipped to boot. Yet on top it has dug down fortified positions.
Ukr and Rus losses are to hard to find out for you to say such things. Both sides lie. Accept that fact. Russia probably lost way less troops than ukr says and the same goes for Ukraine, the only ones that really know are the head of states. That’s it. Everyone else just estimates
Ukr troops are definitely not better equipped and definitely not better trained.
Like just watch their interviews.
According to BBC Russian estimates, RUS deaths are 10,000-20,000 and total irretrievable losses could be up to 90,000. https://www.bbc.com/russian/features-63917502
On Ukrainian losses, MSM unfortunately prefer quoting official Ukrainian officials than trying to do an objective assessment.
yeah those are reasonable numbers, i can get behind 100k+ casualties rather then 100k KIA like most (pro-ukrainian) people believe.
Ukrainian losses are most likely around the same, but i wouldn’t be surprised if they are way higher than stated.
Intellectually lazy.
RU most of time been on the attack, usually attacking fortified positions, there been scandals involving RU operation of campaigns, like disastrous North Campaign — ample evidence for disastrous RU losses.
The mere fact Putin ordered mobilization, then threw troops with almost no training right into battle — is positive prove. No army with ample numbers, does such.
Due to the issues I mention, Russian losses attacking superior troops better equipped in dug down fortified positions are going to be so horrible — what happens and I’m in no doubt that Russian army brakes on Ukr. defenses, like flood water stops on a dam.
Once RU army has been massacred, Ukr. army is able to turn the tables exactly same manner as Soviet armies turned tables on Nazi armies.
You’re clearly so hard into your propaganda that you wouldn’t even believe zelensky if he said that they are losing…. Probably would call him deepfaked or a traitor or something.
Can’t really talk to people like you since there is no point. I know people like you and there is really no way you would ever change your mind to be even slightly more open to truths or facts.
I accept your surrender, I naturally know — those were just your excuses. When people lack anything to say, they wave such canards as you just did.
Bakhmut is a crossroads to Siversk-Soledar, Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Konstantinivka. Without occupying it, further advancement will be impossible.
Russia is as likely to capture Bahmut, as Hitler’s armies to capture Stalingrad. Russian armies in Ukraine are now clearly inferior to the Ukrainian defending forces, probably what happens is Russian forces lose so many troops contesting Ukr. control of Bakhmut.
Like was the case with the Stalingrad fight, defending troops are able ultimately to decisively turn the tables on the attacking troops.
Ukraine are also losing many troops under shelling.
It’s like WW1, those in trenches are ‘relatively’ safe – those advancing in the open, most certainly are extremely ‘unsafe’ worse modern artillery is massively more accurate than WW1 variants and moreover WW2 variants of artillery — modern artillery hence can walk it’s fire overhead as Russians advance on Ukr. trenches in extremely murderous accuracy, and that’s before they face the machine-guns.
Not against bunker busting thermal bombs and shells.
Mainstream media always tells BS.
They are more untrustworthy then a drunken homeless person that has recently smoked a joint in the matter of the Ukrainian war.
Propaganda tries to switch the opinion of people about bakhmut (or the war as a whole) because they know it could fall, so they try to ease the pain if it does.
But the real value still stands and the militaries of both sides know it.
Get you, you think you know better than everyone else.
I appreciate the more detailed map of Bakhmut.
Me too. Thanks Jerome.
Sure thing!