Invasion Day 286 – Summary
The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 6th December 2022 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Briefly:
The enemy continues to attempt to encircle Bakhmut, but didn’t manage to advance significantly in this area or anywhere else. Ukrainian Army conducted three strikes behind enemy lines and hit airports in Kursk, Ryazan and Engels. The attacks damaged at least two Tu-22 long range bombers and caused quite a panic among Russians regarding the state of their anti-aircraft defense capabilities.
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Svatove direction
- Ukrainian General Staff reported shelling of Ukrainian positions in the area of Bohdanivske, indicating the Ukrainian troops are located nearby.
- Given the report above, Dvorichne settlement is very likely fully liberated and Tavilzhanka contested.
- Russian troops attempted to regain lost positions in the area of Ploschanka settlement. Ukrainian forces repelled this attempt.
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Russian forces again tried to capture Yakovlivka, but weren’t successful.
- Fighting continues in Soledar, Bakhmutske and towards Bakhmut.
- Ukrainian troops managed to repel Russian attacks in the vicinity of Opytne and Kurdyumivka.
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Lysychansk direction
- Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack on Bilohorivka in Luhansk Oblast.
- Russian forces attempted to advance in the direction of Verkhnokamyanske, but the attempt wasn’t successful.
- The enemy tried fully capture Bilohorivka in Donetsk Oblast and also advance from the direction of Berestove. Neither attempt was successful.
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- Russian forces conducted a recon by force in the vicinity of Krasnohorivka.
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Kalanchak Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
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Muddy season is back. Looks like we will have frozen ground no earlier than end of december again.
Considering discussion on buyer-cartel forcing cheaper RU oil.
Yes. It gets interesting if russia stops exporting oil. I doubt it, but that would be the move.
According to BBC there are 19 tankers with Russian oil at the Bosporus straits which cannot move . Turkey will not let ships pass unless they have proof of insurance which they do not have and will not get anytime soon. No oil moving there.
Yeah Russia is essential landlocked. Turkey blocks the black sea, the Baltic freezes over, and they can’t really use the pacific either.
Turkey imports massively oil from Russia. Moreover, Turkey has increased its imports of crude oil from Russia since the invasion of Ukraine. And Turkey’s petroleum products exports to European and American ports jumped 85 percent in September-October, compared to the July-August period. Stop dreaming, Turkey will not block Russian oil exports.
Nobody wants it blocked. We want it cheap.
Urals at 56 right now, perfect.
Of course they would want that – why wouldn’t they, but it’s not how pricing works. Buyers cannot just impose commodity prices on a supplier because supplier can always cut the production. And, if they do, something tells me the OTHER suppliers won’t be terribly happy
That move would render Russia largely without Foreign Exchange Revenues — I truly doubt that’s economically survivable for Russia. If you look at the way’s RU is trying to solve shortages of key components and key weapons, it’s purchasing those at extravagant prices often times – naturally those sellers don’t want Rubbles. I think RU war effort would ‘grind to a halt’ within few months.
India definitely, China depends, they’re having serious problems themselves anyway.