The summary of the 261st day on Kherson Front, as of 22:00 – 11th November 2022 (Kyiv time).
Due to the Ukrainian offensive in Kherson Oblast, we’re releasing an extra summary solely focused on the Kherson Front. The classic summaries remain bi-daily.
includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv
- The retreating Russian army blew up Antonovsky bridge and the nearby railway bridge during the night.
- Ukrainian forces liberated Kalynivka, Klapaya, Bilozerka and entered the western outskirts of Kherson city in the morning.
- The forward elements of Ukrainian Army reached the city center in the afternoon. An hour later, Ukrainian HUR announced the liberation of Kherson. Ukrainian forces were warmly welcomed by the local population.
- Ukrainian SBU and National Guard are currently conducting a cleanup operation in Kherson, looking for Russian soldiers who were left behind and collaborators.
Nova Kakhovka direction
- Russian forces blew up the bridge at Kakhovka Power Plant.
- Ukrainian troops liberated Chaikyne, Beryslav, Tyahynka settlements and reached Kozatske.
11.11.2022, the day when Ukrainian Army liberated Kherson, the only regional capital Russians managed to capture.
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
Only Donetsk, Luhansk and Sevastopol left. The Ukrainian puzzle will be complete once again
A great victory:
1) Russia lost the most important piece of land it occupied since 24.2.
2) The nuclear bluff is of the table. If russia doesn’t use it for Kherson, it won’t use it for any other part of ukraine. Which fits the clear statements of china and india as well as the open threats by USA.
3) Ukraine will exist as a western state with its most important ports.
Russia has, for all intends and purposes, lost this war. Now it remains to be seen, if Ukraine will win this war. I believe so.
What’s next for Ukraine? I’ve heard that an offensive towards either Melitopol or Mariupol could be next; if they are successful in carrying it out they could cut the Russian land bridge and put the southern occupying forces in a lot of trouble because of the damaged Kerch bridge
Weeks of units redeployment after carefuly securing Kherson ? I doubt they will keep moving from that direction, the river meaning you expose yourself to enemy artillery while trying to cross it.
Either they will push on Zaporizhzhia front, or they will reinforce their eastern front ; or both. Anyway, i think it will settle down until next year for the next big offensive.
No, I think Ukr shall take a few brigades quickly from kherson area to move to support Bakmut and svatove fronts. These are the two key points now.
Kherson area is fine now, they cant take the time they want to secure it.
Tokmak and Starobilsk (certainly spelled wrong, sry) are the logical next important targets. Both would cut major supply lines. Ukraine will try to keep the pattern going, stalemate, breakthrough. Russia will try to freeze the conflict.
I don’t think it will settle. Putin sent 100k mobiks to the frontlines without proper training in a desperate move to hold the lines through the winter while the remaining 200k went to training all over. I would be very much surprised if ukraine didn’t try to cut the land bridge before those 200k mobiks are sent to the frontlines.
I agree. Ukraine has the advantage now, they’ll want to keep pushing forward before the allies get tired of sending them guns, or before the Russians get their shit together.
I keep reading about 300k mobiks, and very few people question that number. We don’t actually know how many of them there are. The only source for the number is the Kremlin, and we know how much that’s worth. Based on everything I’ve read about it, my guess is that the real number is much lower.
The mobiks are both a blessing and curse. Curse part: it’s still another soldier that has to be dealt with. some of them have prior soldier skills, used to replenish losses, tie up forces, plug gaps, free up for more capable units.
The blessing part: More strain on logistics and supplies, probably have low morale being treated as Cannon Fodder, any mobik BTG’s will have low combat value.
I have no idea if it is possible but I hope Ukraine drives for Melitopol next. That city looks like the key to not only the remainder of Kherson Oblast but Crimea as well. There is only one major road or railway going to Crimea that does not go through Melitopol and that is via the damaged Kerch straights bridge.
If Melitopol falls then so does everything west and south of it.
Redeployments, fortifying around Dnipro river. They will need to reinforce the Donbas front too and some last-moment offensive in the north (Svatove) area is always an option. However, the winter is pretty near and I am not sure that either side is capable of a large-scale offensive in those conditions.
Destroy russian artilary, move up Ukr artie and keep going until they reach the bridge between crimea and russia. No stop for winter