The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 10th November 2022 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Briefly:
On November 9, Russian defense minister ordered to its troops deployed on the right bank of Dnipro river to retreat across. Ukrainian command has decided to not wait until all Russian troops safely leave and has launched an offensive to recapture the right bank of Dnipro river on the eve of November 9. Ukrainian forces have met minimal resistance so far and are currently approaching to Kherson and Nova Kakhovka. The day we all been waiting on the Kherson Front, is approaching.
According to several sources, Russians were unable to withdrew all its forces in time due to the rapid advance of Ukrainian troops, and some remain trapped on the right bank.
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Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Svatove direction
- Ukrainian defenders repelled Russian attacks in the area of Novoselivske and Makiivka settlements.
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Ukrainian 10th Mountain Brigade regained lost positions on the eastern outskirts of Yakovlivka.
- Fighting continues in Bakhmutske and Soledar.
- Heavy fighting and complicated situation is reported from the vicinity of Bakhmut. Ukrainians are holding, but the enemy has superiority.
- Russian forces attempted to seize new positions in the area of Klishchiivka, Opytne and Ivanhrad. All attacks were repelled.
- The enemy managed to advance by a few meters towards Mayorsk. The settlement is contested.
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Lysychansk direction
- Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack in the direction of Bilohorivka (Luhansk Oblast).
- Russian forces managed to break through Ukrainian defense and entered the eastern outskirts of Bilohorivka (Donetsk Oblast).
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- Russian attempt to break through Ukrainian lines in the vicinity of Vesele was repulsed.
- The enemy attacked in the direction of Pervomaiske and Nevelske, but didn’t succeed and retreated.
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- Russian attack in the area of Novomykhailivka settlement was repelled.
- Fighting continues in Pavlivka. Russians claim they control the whole settlement, but so far didn’t provide any proof that are in control of the western outskirts or the center. Pavlivka remains marked as contested.
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
Kherson Front
includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv
- As mentioned in the Briefly section, Russian command has ordered its troops to withdraw across Dnipro to the left bank. Ukrainian forces are currently marching towards Nova Kakhovka and Kherson, liberating one settlement after another.
- Ukrainian forces liberated the following settlements:
- Mykolaiv Oblast: Snihurivka, Pavlivka, Vasylivka
- Kherson Oblast: Pravdyne, Bruskynske, Kalynivske, Kyselivka, Borozenske, Oleksandrivka, Stanislav, Chkalove, Tamaryne, Pyatykhatky, Kucherske, Kachkarivka, Ishchenka, Starytsya, Myrolyubivka, Blahodatne, Mylove, Novokairy
- … and all other small settlements in between.
- The area around the northern Blahodatne and Vasilky settlements was likely abandoned by Russians as well, but because we haven’t seen any visual proof yet, it remains marked as occupied.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
The situation is like history, say Roman empire, invading Germania . Resistance. This is key too concept of thought, with Russia withdrawal , it’s plain to see weakness, next I see a offensive in Zaporozhye directions, cutting Russia lines in two , Kherson stable.
A great victory:
1) Russia lost the most important piece of land it occupied since 24.2.
2) The nuclear bluff is of the table. If russia doesn’t use it for Kherson, it won’t use it for any other part of ukraine. Which fits the clear statements of china and india as well as the open threats by USA.
3) Ukraine will exist as a western state with its most important ports.
Russia has, for all intends and purposes, lost this war. Now it remains to be seen, if Ukraine will win this war. I believe so.
A few days ago, everybody was saying there won’t be any major offensive until Spring. Does this count?
Kherson offensive start 6month ago.
And not everybody say there wont be major offensive untill spring.
What worries me about Kherson is the absence of fighting, as it indicates that the Russian did indeed manage to pull their forces out completely, without leaving any rearguards. Is it possible that Ukraine waited too long before beginning the pursuit?
Great maps, as always. Thank you for all your hard work.
Youtuber ReportsFromUkraine (great channel btw) mentioned a couple of days ago that the russians have re-located their artillery along the eastbank of the river, that’s why the ukrainians are careful. The russians meant that as a trap, if I am correct
We dont see all the situation.
Tictoc troups are not the first line of ukrain troops. In one week, we will know what happen.
Seems that soon they will be no Russian troops on the western bank of Dnieper, pretty amazing.
Wonder if UA will actually try to cross the river? With bridges blown, it’s probably too difficult and costly, even if Russians are in compete disarray.
They will probably relocate forces from Kherson somewhere else.
I think that, UA army move the units from Cherson front to Zaporizhzhia Front and the will be continue toward to Crimea 🙂
The frontline will be shortened to about 450 KM not including borders and the Dnipro. Most of those forces will end up somewhere there. Russia will try to freeze the conflict along that line, Ukraine will try to keep things moving. That “frontline” will not get any shorter than this.
Crossing the river is very hard and dangerous.
May be they can try something south to ochakiv. With artillery in stanislav, ukrain have the control of the road. But only to fix russian troops .
А чому з карт зникла 1окрема бригада ім. Івана Богуна?
Maybe redeployed or being rotated.
chernobaevka has been liberated