The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 31st October 2022 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Ukrainian Army managed to advance closer to the road connecting Svatove and Kreminna in Luhansk Oblast and continue to be successful in repelling Russian attacks across the front.
Russian forces have shifted its primary focus to Avdiivka, with the goal to encircle Ukrainian troops stationed in the town. However, as Ukrainian defense is holding very well and there are many fortified positions in the area, Russians are unlikely to achieve this goal.
Russian army also probed Ukrainian defense north of Kharkiv, in the vicinity of Zelene settlement. The defenders repelled the attempt.
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
- The defenders repelled a Russian attack in the vicinity of Novoselivke settlement.
- Ukrainian General Staff reported shelling of Ukrainian positions in the area of Ploshchanka and Chervonopopivka, indicating that Ukrainian Forces operate in the area of said settlements.
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack in the area of Yakovlivka.
- Fighting continues in the area of Bakhmut, Bakhmutske and Soledar.
- Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack towards Mayorsk.
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
- Russian forces attempted to advance in the area of Bilohorivka, but weren’t successful.
- Interestingly, Ukrainian General Staff reported a repulsed attack in the area of Mykolaivka. We’ll have to wait for more information regarding this area.
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- The enemy tried to break through Ukrainian defense in the area of Oleksandropil, Novobakhmutivka, Vesele and Kamyanka. Neither assault was successful.
- Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the direction of Avdiivka, but did not succeed.
- Ukrainian defenders repelled Russian attacks in the area of Pervomaiske and Vodyane. The situation in Vodyane itself remains covered by the fog of war.
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- Russian troops assaulted Ukrainian positions in Marinka and in the vicinity of Novomykhailivka with no success.
- Russian forces reportedly managed to advance towards Pavlivka and reached the southern outskirts.
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv
- No change on the ground during the past 48 hours.
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR.
Why the 810th Marine Brigade is shown as whole on Kherson front and on Donetsk one?
Good catch, I’ll correct it for the next summary.
The frontline is frozen, maybe because of the mud. But RUF are more aggressive in several points, maybe it is the effect of reinforcements from the mobilisation.
Question is : why UAF has stopped its offensive one month ago.
Mud, mobilization, waiting for winter, waiting for ammunition, waiting for opportunitys and logistical issues in general. E.g. the logistical situation on the kharkiv front is ugly. All bridges over the oskil are destroyed and few good roads for supply in muddy terrain. To wait for frozen ground and winter issues for the russian makes sense there.
you can’t just rely that Russia has problems in winter, what if they have none?
Every negative effect winter brings with it will also affect Ukraine and simply saying that Russia will have bigger ones, will not eradicate the hardships of winter for Ukraine.
That’s something Ukraine worries about heavily, offensives will be basically stopped, especially with Russian new units coming in.
The weather will be the same for both, the equipment wont be. Mud season is a big advantage for the defender, frozen season is not. Espacially since many water obstacles will freeze. Russian logistics are baaad, and that hits double in winter. So yes, i am extremly confident that winter will hlp ukraine.
Frontline is not frozen. Its just that russian cant lost large area everyday.
Russian are agressive. Just because they doesnt accept to defend. They have 80 000 mobiks without training to kill. They have learn nothing.
Before to collapse in lyman and kherson, they were also agressive.
Go watch HistoryLegends’s most recent video. He made a video about the russian mobilization. Sure, they might have problems supplying the new troops, but if the new troops are not going to change the outcome of the war, why has ukrainian offensive stopped. I dont like russia, but its annoying when people act like a russian mobilization is like panic at the gates.
sorry, clarification, i meant enemy at the gates.
When ukraine mobilized their entire male population nobody lifted a finger and they had a lot of supply issues at the start like the russians are having now, why should we act differently for the russian mobilization? No matter how poorly trained the mobilized might be, think back to WW2, germany got their ass whooped by millions of untrained russians.
The Russian mobilization will change the course of the war, but doesnt necessarily mean that russia will win. I hope ukraine wins, but its like american and european union propaganda to believe that 300,000 people will do nothing.
Mobilization has brought a bloodbath in october (numbers in the forum), thats for sure. It also seems like it slowed ukraines momentum together with the mud. How big the effect on russian combat will be, is the question.
But the frontlines are still changing near vuhledar and in pavlivka, as well as north of donetsk airport and in kharkiv-luhansk border. It hasnt slowed down yet. Besides, ukraine suffers losses too, but a lot of people act like they dont.
I don’t get what your point is.
As far as I know, nobody acts like Ukrainians don’t suffer losses, but what can we do, except sending them more weapons.
Concerning russian mobilisation, I think you are wrong to compare it to WWII. 2022 Russia is not 1941 USSR. Russia lacks the strong industry and the american supplies USSR had. Russia is a corrupted country, with an aging population.
If you want to know more about russian mobilisation, you can watch perun’s video on the topic: it features an interview of general Ben Hodges, a former commandant of US forces in Europa who had made some quite accurate predictions so far about this conflict.
So predictions about the weather in Ukraine were correct. UAF had to counter attack before end of September, after the mud makes it very difficult.
When I read your comments, I make the conclusion that winter will be favorable to RUF because they are the defenders, temperatures are higher than during WW2 and rivers will not freeze enough for heavy vehicles.
Early September saw the Kharkiv counteroffensive and early October saw the Lyman counteroffensive. I wonder if the trend will continue in early November with a possible Svatove/Kreminna counteroffensive.
I wouldn’t expect to much befor the ground freezes up north. There ain’t good reasons to hurry in north west kherson either and the south will probably have to wait for spring anyways, since muddy season doesn’t end there and the end of winter is the worst mud time. Ask the russians about that…
Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition. Or the November offensive. So far, the Ukrainians have been very adept at surprising everyone, especially the Russians. The fact that it seems so difficult makes me think that this is exactly what they’ll do.
Big Offensives are highly unlikely.
Like the other guy said weather fucks some shit up and is also very unpredictable.
To put it simply if there is a huge big offensive during the winter… I would be highly impressed.
No leaves on trees…can’t hide effectively. Infra red optics can detect better in winter. Rivers don’t freeze solid…maybe better for infantry but not heavy vehicles. Advantage defender.
Advantage to good light infantery.
The soviets launched a large offensive in the winter of 1942 and severly weakened the germans, winter is not simply freezing the troops in place until the spring, its possible to launch attacks. And that offensive was in -40 degree(fahrenheit) weather, in southern ukraine, it will be probably 20 degrees or 10 degrees. So a lot warmer, though still not warm.
The ground in the south hardly freezes at all these days. That makes motorized large winter offensives very unlikly.