The summary of the 150th day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 22:00 – 23rd July 2022 (Kyiv time).
Day summary:
Russian forces are advancing at much slower peace than they’d like to, and pay a high price for every newly captured meter. Ukrainian forces are slowly gaining the initiative in some areas, and given the fact that fresh Ukrainian units are being moved to the frontline and the float of western weapons ain’t stopping, Russian forces might soon face some troubles in the most distant areas.
Ukrainian artillery shelled a bridge over Inhulec river, north-east of Kherson. The bridge is usable, but damaged, and complicates Russian resupply of Kherson furthermore.
Kharkiv Front
includes the area of Kharkiv and Chuhuiv
Kharkiv & Chuhuiv direction
- Ukrainian forces are probing Russian defenses south of Chuhuiv, alongside the M-03 highway.
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
- Russian forces advanced closer to Soledar and captured the settlement of Straipivka.
- Heavy fighting is reported from the area of Novoluhanske and Vuhledar Power plant. Ukrainian forces are successfully repelling Russian attacks.
- Ukrainian defenders repulsed an attack in the area of Pokrovske.
Slovyansk Front
includes the vicinity of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk
Slovyansk direction
- Russian reconnaissance elements tried to flank Ukrainian positions in the vicinity of Bohorodychne. They were caught by Ukrainian forces and were forced to withdraw.
- The enemy led an attack towards Verkhnokamyanske from multiple directions. The main assault was conducted from the direction of Verkhokamyanka. Ukrainian forces repulsed all attacks.
- Russian troops tried to advance in the direction of Ivano-Darivka, but without success and retreated
- Fighting continues in the vicinity of Spirne and Hryhorivka.
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
Donetsk Oblast
- Russian forces attempted to advance closer to Vesele, but were stopped by Ukrainian defenders in the area.
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- There was no change on Zaporizhzhia front.
Kherson Front
includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv
- Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack on Andriivka from the direction of Mala Seidemynukha.
- The enemy attempted to advance from the direction of Davidiv Brid towards Bilohirka, but was met with fierce resistance and had to retreat.
- The information, as reported by Ukrainian General Staff, confirms Ukrainian forces are in control of Bilohirka, but they do not control Davydiv Brid.
- Given the current situation in the area, it makes sense that Lozove is under Ukrainian control.
Ukrainian side announced a strict embargo on all information regarding Kherson Oblast and advance of Ukrainian troops. The only allowed source for this area are the reports by Ukrainian General Staff.
Full map
The full overview map of current situation.
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This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), geolocated footage and press releases of Russian Armed Forces, self-proclaimed DPR and LPR
Ukraine has not shown any capability to gain ground and retake Kherson, they are announcing a counter attack since 2 months and nothing comes.
If Russia was concerned, they would have send reinforcements there, but they don’t. So for me, nothing will happen.
Are they? Zelensky ordered the staff to prepare the operation, that’s all. All the Kherson offensive narrative spread by certain Twitter accounts is just for sensation.
”Fake” news really spreads fast, especially in nations where solidarity is shown for ukraine, the news outlets from the west really love to make russia look as bad as possible (which is ironically propaganda). even the most trusted/neutral news outlets fall into the traps of twitter or telegram.
Zelensky ordered the army to draw up plans for invasion, according to Reznikov. The actions in Kherson would seem to me they are blocking entry points to the area. Whether that’s related is anybody’s guess. Could be they are doing all they can to prepare the field and then Zelensky gets to choose…
I really dont get it propaganda of success in UA. How is is possible that UA cant do offensive in Kherson for almost 2 months. For RU there are fighting around 200k soldiers overall, UA is 40 M people and such nation build army to beat 200k soldiers with all west support? Something is fishy here.
It feels strange to me too. When Soviet Union attacked Finland in 1939 we had less troops than they did and still held them off and killed way more. I guess Ukraine doesn’t have weapons to arm most of those millions so they would get the maximum benefit.
What is amazing is that everybody is now convinced that Russia is losing the war.
Just 2 weeks after winning the battle of Luhansk oblast.
Has Russia lost a battle, retreated, lost important grounds ? Not at all, Ukrainian army just hit a bridge and some amis depots.
Russia captured one oblast, after retreating from Kyiv, Sumy, Chernihiv and part of Kharkiv Oblast. Russia won the battle for Luhansk Oblast, but at what cost.
Apparently, the RU forces have not reached the limits of the Luhansk Oblast yet, according to Gaidai, the region’s governor.
but you also have to say that in the most oblasts they occupy like Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk and Kherson (for now) they control more than 50% of.
The Russians are making slow gains, no question about it, but very slowly and at a tremendous human and material cost for them as well as for the Ukrainians. And the question is, which one will be able to sustain those losses for a longer period of time? And as far as I can tell, no one knows that.
can’t argue with that.
war is very unpredictable and a lot of times those who come out as a winner are just the ones that had the better timing or just simply luck.
I agree too. Frontline looks like 1915 / 1916.
This danish guy has this great video about three ways Ukraine can win the war, and only one of them includes pushing the Russians out. It is worth checking it out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJE24YDv_JQ
Good comment. I agree 100%.
Yeah, Ukraine fans are getting a bit sensationalist over small achievements. Every time Ukraine hits a depot it’s “Russia losing the war” whereas Russia advancing 10 miles and grabbing more villages barely gets mentioned or lost in the hype. It’s dangerous misinformation.
“fans”?
i mean yeah russia is technically winning the war.. and i don’t think they are going to lose major grounds except maybe kherson, but if they don’t want to expand the war (sending more than 200k troops) it’s going to be a hard grind and most likely a stalemate for a long time.
They cant send 200k troops because it is not a “war”. Massive conscription could led to massive civil disorder and Putin dont want to play this game.
Nobody’s winning the war. Russia took territories there’s no doubt about that but winning a war isnt only a matter of ground control.
Agree here. They are moving forward and UA backward. I really wonder how it was possible that Russians came to Kherson in just couple days. People and army was not fighting? Maybe they want to be in Russia. I see just picture of man enjoying summer like there is no war.
With the help of HIMARS, the UA forces destroyed Russian launchers of the S-300 air defense system in a field near the village of Zelenotropinskoe, Kherson region: t.me/a_shtirlitz/19918.
Ukraine attacked the Kakhovka railway with a missile today: https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/24-july-explosions-after-missile-hit-in-nova-kakhovka
It seems like they are trying to cripple Russians’ ability to move reinforcements into Snihurivka fast. That would tilt the odds for Ukraine.
Does anyone know what’s going in Vysykopillia? Apparently, ua has 3/4 surrounded 1K ru, but is unable to encircle them due to lack of enough forces.
All the rumors about encirclement of RU troops are based on one source, and some people spiced it up in hunt for more followers.
Here’s explanation why I marked it as liberated: >Twitter link
We’re at the 5th month of war, sources claim Russia has committed 85% of its military to the operation and currently suffered 60k casualties while the front hasn’t really moved since day 4, it seems clear to me that Russia cannot really win, what will be Russia’s exist strategy tho?
I’d urge caution with that figure. I believe it is an estimate of the percentage of ground units that have had some of their number engaged in Ukraine, as opposed to 85% of individuals from the entirety of the RF. Many of these will be specialists.
that might be so, but comparing the entirety of RF to actual combat capable man isnt going to give russia mutch muscle in a fight. this isnt ww2 order 227 situation and allot of russians dont want to fight.
plus, russia today, doesnt have strongest economy supplying them everything missing, as soviet union had in WW2…
plus, there is no lend and lease act for russia. Historians argue until now whether soviet union was able to win without USA help. However, there is no doubt without that act soviets would have lost significantly more people.
i think they would lose the war.. 50% of all explosives were delivered from USA.. they got 500.000 supply trucks, locomotives, railroad cars etc..without which, they would be unable to supply their troops.. As seen in Ukraine, robustness of logistics is what allows you to advance…
Let’s not forget Germany was running out of oil by late-mid 1941 and the USSR managed to launch a successful counter offensive in winter, i don’t think it was possible to lose WW2 for the USSR, the fact they managed to win despite they made tons of errors early on supports this view.
This is in regard to the *land standing force* (including elements of SOF) aka ‘peacetime Army’. Not the whole military potential of RF (mostly theoretical tbh). Bear in mind that these approximates does not include PMCs, proxy forces and hidden mobilisation efforts.
85%…?? what sources claim that BS and why do people believe them?
Both sides suffered a lot of casualties, but casualties does not mean dead of the 60k there are maybe 15k dead. UKR probably has a lot of deaths since they already confirmed 100-200 deaths per day in donbas (3k-6k per month)
Cia didnt say 85% of what. This number probably doesnt include airforce , marine , territorial defense, etc
But 85% of professionnal russian Land troop is probably close to the reality.
hmm ok I guess that makes more sense.
85% of professional land troops still seems a bit to high, maybe they mean 85% of the combat experianced troops, soldiers that fought in Africa, middle east and chechnya. but i guess i could be true
In theory, its around 170 000k.
But all are not combat troup.
And in theory because some soldiers only exist on paper. Some units officer declare to Moscou more soldiers than they have.
It’s info from senior u.s. defence official – “Russia has committed nearly 85% of its military to the war in Ukraine… It has removed military coverage from other areas on their border and around the world.” Which at least partially is true as russia left Syria (only special forces are left).
They will try to defend what they got and deter the west. Defending is easier after all. Their hope is that they can achieve a frozen conflict or even some peace with territoriel gains. E.g. retreat from westbank dnjpr and the izium salient. The rest is easy defendable. That is my fear.
The frontline is very long. They need a lot of soldier (infantery)to controll it.
For me its to late to froze. Russian should have froze the conflict 2 month ago.
The south is not easy to defend . And in the north, near chuhuiv, ukrain can attack without crossing a river.
Yes, the south and chuhuiv area would be the obvious attack routes and that obvious makes it easy to defend. I hope you are right and russia realizes to late that it is loosing.
For political reason, they cant abandon Kherson. All ressource loosing there are needed to defend the rest of the frontline.
They still try to capture kramatorsk for the same reason.
Each Day of russian offensive kill troup and use ressource who will be necessary to defend their gain.
Word. That is why i fear that they retreat and consolidate. They did it in kiew, so it is safe to assume they will again, sooner or hopfully later. Looking forward to their funny explination. Also, could be a time for kremlin action.
In kiev they retreat too late.
Its was clear that they could never capture kiev, but they continue to attack loosing à lot of troup in a battle already lost. Same in mikolaiev. They retreat only when they have no other choice.
And its the same since the beginning of “phase 2”.
It really depends on what you mean with ‘to’ late. The west decides who will win this, so it is to late to have it in their hands anyways. If you mean with to late, so that they will colapse and get kicked out of ukraine within this year or less, i would call that unlikly. They will late though.
They will BE late though, that is for sure.
The Russians have extended their forces beyond their supply lines and their government doesn’t really care.about their troops. Its.going to be pretty bleak for.The RF troops. Their.govern!ent won’t care.enough to create an orderly retreat for them.
They only withdraw when it’s apparent Ukraine will kick their ass, to save face. They’re not at that point yet anywhere else, so they keep grinding… I expect another “strategic shift” in Kherson at some point, Putin or Shoigu will announce it, to justify a withdrawal…
My reading is that Kherson matters to the Russians A LOT. I would really, really be surprised if they announced a “strategic withdrawal”
Maybe
– Russia will hold fake elections in the occupied territories.
– Declare these territories an integral part of Russia.
– Then start threatening that attacks on Russia’s integrity will mean nuclear war.
Yes, that is the obvious deterence trick they will probably try. Ukraine will call that bluff though. The question is how the west will react. I do not see that working. They will need to hold the line conventionally.
They already play this card. West didnt care.