November 15, 2023

Invasion Day 630 – Summary

The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the recent developments on the battlefield, as of 15th November 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time). Sloboda Front includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of: Siverskyi Donets overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut…

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The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the recent developments on the battlefield, as of 15th November 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).

Sloboda Front

includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river

  • Ukrainian forces conducted a localized counter-attack north of Ivanivka and captured several Russian soldiers. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Synkivka, Petropavlivka, Ivanivka, Nadiya

Siverskyi Donets

overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

  • Soldiers of 93rd Mechanized Brigade repelled a Russian assault towards Andriivka. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Andriivka, Klishchiivka

Avdiivka Front

includes the vicinity of Avdiivka

  • 59th Motorized Brigade targeted Russian positions near Izmaylovsky Stavok, revealing Russian advance in this area. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Novokalynove, Avdiivka, Pervomaiske

Avdiivka City

includes the city of Avdiivka

  • Russian tanks managed to break through a zero point in Promka and advanced towards the center of this industry zone. (source)

Donetsk Front

includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Marinka, Novomykhailivka, Prechystivka, Staromayorske, Novodarivka

Zaporizhzhia Front

includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast

  • Russian drone video reveals that Ukrainian forces expanded its control in the area of Robotyne and reached the northern outskirts of Novoprokopivka. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Left Bank Front

includes the left bank of Dnipro river between Kherson and Nova Kakhovka

  • Ukrainian marines gained more ground in Krynky. (source)

Due to ongoing raids in the area between Kherson and Nova Kakhovka, Left Bank Front has been introduced and Kalanchak Front retired.

Full map of Ukraine

overview map of current situation in Ukraine

This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and geolocated footage.

We also thank the following Twitter users for their geolocations and amazing work: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya and the team at @geoconfirmed.

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Our unique map showing units, operational sectors and defense lines

34 Comments
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Triglav

https://t.me/rezervsvo/38060

Ukrainian assault towards Komsomolec beyond the 2014 line

Last edited 8 months ago by Triglav
Triglav

Also another successful attack on a Russian factory:
https://t.me/ssternenko/22617

Kay

I read today that North Korea delivered more ammunition and equipment to Russia in September than all EU states have delivered to Ukraine since the beginning of the year. However, Russia has lost almost all of North Korea’s equipment and the munitions cause too little damage or do not explode at all.
North Korea is so ridiculously stupid… *lol*

Max Beckhaus

Sounds ridiculous, which source is that supposed to be? More than EU states? All included? That would be more than the USA as well and pretty much half of what the whole west did send. If you talk about artillery ammunition, that would likely be about right.

dolgan

And did you feel this both fake news serious? Please, take care about what people want to put in your brain.

Triglav

I don’t believe that and am actually quite concerned about the sheer amount of weapons North Korea and Iran supply to Russia. North Korea has one of the largest armies in the world and also a proper industry to support it (at the cost of the Korean people).

This has already increased the pressure on the Ukrainian defenders and emboldened the Russians to attack Avdijivka

Kay

It’s about the artillery ammunition supplied by EU states since the beginning of the year. And in Avdiivka the RU suffered the highest casualties of a single attack. With proper ammunition and equipment, they would never have lost so much. The North Korean stuff is quantity over quality. Wherever is it supposed to come from, in a closed, isolated, poor country with no outside scientific expertise

Kay

Putin has laid an egg in his own nest with the partnership. Get useless war equipment for raw materials and food that looks good but doesn’t work… And not every source is fake just because things are reported that don’t appear on CNN or NY Times.
If North Korean military technology were really as good as some claim, they wouldn’t be stuck with their stuff.

Kay

Despite sanctions, they could have exported the device for a lot of money. But don’t do it so that no one notices how bad the technology is. Russia only takes the stuff because there is no other option other than Iran.

dolgan

Russia need munition from North Korea. its proofs that russia military industry is not as magical as people dreams. And noboby can seriously trust that NK industry is better than russian industry.

dolgan

North korea industry make fake tanks in woods. Did you know what happens in NK this 60 lasts years?

Pikująca Szozda

Can Ukraine really hold (and expand) its position on the left bank? They have to ferry soldiers and equipment across the river and through the swamps; the Russians can just drive there.

Noelle

kinda. It is more nuissance than a serious op for now, still creating dillema and discontent.

Patrick

I think this operation was a strategic mistake not least because Ukraine took brigades from Zaporozhie to deploy them in Kherson. Initially it worked well though, partly because the Russians had a terrible commander (Makarevich). Now that he’s been removed and a competent commander is in place I expect the brigdeheads will not last long.

Triglav

I agree

dolgan

I think that from krinky , they could only take something like 20km x 10 km. oleshki is to big and novakakova is easy to defend.

but serious things will come from Kiburn peninsula. And krinky bridgehead will help a lot.

Kay

I also have the feeling that something bigger is planned for this region soon. The UAF still doesn’t have enough soldiers down there because many are still deployed on other fronts. I think that the RUS will not be able to advance that far to the shore because they have difficulty maneuvering in the swampy, flood-damaged area. This is a natural barrier, which brings advantages for the UAF.

Last edited 8 months ago by Kay
Max Beckhaus

I can see how it serfs a purpose, giving Russians to shoot at something other than Kherson city and may be push observers and artillery further away from it. A real push seems highly unlikely to me. That would bring the UAF in the same position as Russia was on the right bank.

dolgan

Not the same position. Ukrain have serious advantage in artillery fire range. left bank is a “desert”with only a few cities. biggest city are litteraly isolated under fire control of ukrain. kiburn peninisula is ideal for created a bridgehead (remember russia take kherson before kiburn). Tactical positions on the left bank are not very good for russia.

dolgan

And russian helicopter base are far away now, F16 are coming and no naval support to expect.

Max Beckhaus

That is all fine and good, but how do you support a deeper push? All bridges are utterly destroyed and pontoons will be targeted and destroyed. Ukraine may hold some parts of the left bank, but pushing deep, I don’t see it.

dolgan

One time russia is repulse to 20 km, their capacity to destroy potoon bridges or landshipboat will be very low.

one iskander for each poton bridge?

And look at kiburn. how long is the peninsula?

Kay

RU cannot place artillery close enough to shore to be within range. Because otherwise they would have to operate on a broad level without cover. Conversely, UA can easily attack Russians advancing inland from the bank because there are more options for cover on the bank.

Kay

RU’s mistake was to blow up the dam because they had to move away from the bank due to flooding and thus deprived themselves of any opportunity to defend the bank.
Likewise Kinburn which is currently neutral territory. The Russians in Oleshky are surrounded as soon as UAV has enough equipment on the right bank.

Patrick

Ukrainian government says 4,337 Ukrainians in Russian captivity, including 3,574 military personnel and 763 civilians: Local News Outlet via Ukrinform

Very interesting. I don’t recall ever seeing official figures.

End Game

So that was it then. Like the joke for the 3 poop pots the silver the golden the platinum, but when the Russians came my grandma shat her self in the hallway.

The inevitability is begining to be more visible for ukranians. “Stale mate” is still better then we crush them. Even tho there is not stale mate at all. Again some wet dreams.

Triglav

Yes, if you define “winning” by loosing more equipment and soldiers around Avdijivka in two weeks (without any major advances) than Ukraine in the whole counteroffensive

Kay

According to the motto … if you hate your population, send them to Avdijivka.

Max Beckhaus

Haha, China is making an intelligent ko tau to the US, feeling waning investment and those Russians happily north Korea themself in a war that’s stuck and think they are winning big…

Kay

China cannot get anything economically out of Russia. And Russia has nothing to offer except raw materials. In the end, only Russia benefits from a partnership with China and that is not enough for them. A partnership with Russia has more disadvantages than advantages for China. China is now realizing that Western partners are more reliable and solvent.

chineseman

wrong,wrong,wrong,joke kay

Noelle

#ignore, then
#delete