Invasion Day 626 – Summary
The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the recent developments on the battlefield, as of 11th November 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Synkivka, Ivanivka, Stelmakhivka, Nadiya
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Serebryansky forest
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Andriivka, Klischiivka
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
- The enemy advanced by a one tree line north of Stepove. (source)
- Russian forces crossed the railway and reached the eastern outskirts of Stepove. The settlement is now contested. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Avdiivka, Sieverne, Pervomaiske
Avdiivka City
includes the city of Avdiivka
- Russian forces attempted to advance towards Sieverne, but the attack was repelled by 53rd Mechanized Brigade. (source)
- Ukrainian forces regained control over its positions at the M-30 highway south of Avdiivka. (source)
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- 79th Air Assault Brigade and Ukrainian Border Guards repelled Russian attack towards Krasnohorivka from the direction of Marinka. (source)
- Russian troops tried to advance in the area south-east of Vuhledar, but didn’t gain any new ground. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Marinka, Novomykhailivka, Vuhledar, Zolota Nyva, Staromayorske
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Ukrainian troops entered the north-eastern outskirts of Novoprokopivka. The settlement is now contested. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Robotyne
Left Bank Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river between Kherson and Nova Kakhovka
Due to ongoing raids in the area between Kherson and Nova Kakhovka, Left Bank Front has been introduced and Kalanchak Front retired.
Full map of Ukraine
overview map of current situation in Ukraine
This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and geolocated footage.
We also thank the following Twitter users for their geolocations and amazing work: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya and the team at @geoconfirmed.
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Mentioned Units |
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There are many experienced first generation UA units (2014-2021) in the area around Bachmuth. What prevents the Ukrainian command from deploying these experienced troops in southern Ukraine? I am now of the opinion that the command is setting the wrong priorities and thus depriving itself of power.
understandingwar.org 11.11.23 explains why Rus has to rely more on infantry assaults. Spetsnaz circles complain about losses because of that.
Analysis of claimed Rus tank production in defense-ua.com 09.11.23.
Except it’s not really an explanation, it’s a very ‘liberal’ interpretation of several posts by Russian milbloggers.
Both sides have to rely on infantry assaults because anti-tank tech simply outmatches tanks in this war. When a vehicle which is worth millions is destroyed by a cheap-as-dirt drone, it’s just unpractical to use them in WW2 style, regardless of whether it’s called Leopard or T-90
and this is exactly why RFAF pushed circa 100 (MBTs and APCs) of them to be blown in Avdeevka as Vuhledar was not enough for a lesson.
Zaluzny’s insight of spending ‘the cheapest resource’ (namely: people) seems to be on point. RF may have problem with sustaining such hardware losses consistently but definitelly won’t have serious problems with throwing bodies at the obstacle. For a quite while.
And let me guess, it’s the opposite for AFU, right?
I think it was Marshal Foch who said that in order to train a major general you’ll need to lose 15k men (while the training for an armchair general – my choice! – is undoubtedly easier in many ways).
It’s not a dychotomy – to use (aka to burn) or not to use, rather the cost of using them is higher today.
everyone have the idol one deserve, apparently.
At my time in the real Army as the elaborate truck convoy leader (aka: active logistics ensign) being a commander meant actually saving the precious resources (whatever it may be, including people) rather than spending them pointlessly because there will be a day when you shall need what you have not anymore. Throwing –>
–> bodies on a pile at Stalingrad or Berlin had its cruel logic. Laying 40k dead for Kiev would have, too (if successful) by the same inhumane arithmetics of power. Avdeevka is not worth regiment in human and almost a corp in hardware losses (still mounting) in a military sense. It may be worth (and is) politically for Mr. Putin – a sense of how much one Russian is worth in Russian World.
but I appreciate sincerity that your military and political prowess barely entered XX century as apparently the Almost-Self-Made-Tzar imagination had.
I think the Russians are so manipulated by the government that for them the most important thing in life is to die for your country in war. It is macabre when the family is happy about the compensation for their fallen son because they can use it to buy a new Lada. The question is, do you want to stay poor or sacrifice your son for some wealth?
I am sorry but you kinda miss the cultural deprivation (and depravation) issue. Shortly: it’s not like the ‘don’t know’, better equipped ones choose to ignore (just like Westerners) other submit to the perceived inevitable. Imagine living in the world where no representation exists and your agency is enabled mostly by serving as agenda of the state, criminal organization, or by –>
–> working around the state in some semi-criminal way. Corruption is not defect or ‘feature; (that is for some extend) but primarily a survival and adaptation strategy. So ‘The RUssian’ knowing one way or another does not think about ‘The great Russia’ or ‘holy sacrifice (besides believers, there are always some and mouthservice), but ‘*today* it’s not me, yet’.
there is smth around that:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oC2RnCryogo
Have in mind that Maxim is an opposition figure (not famous but quite active for the at least decade) so he has a certain bias.
I don’t know how it is with the T-90. But the Leopard’s armor definitely remains stable against anti-tank Manpads. Otherwise, the occupants are protected from most anti-tank weapons. Unless they come from artillery, other tanks or from the air (rocket). Behind the external armor there is additional armor in the interior. A drone can’t do much against a Leo.
I must tell you a personal story about my first encounter with a tank. When I first came across it in real life I almost s**t myself and it wasn’t even shooting at me, it was peacefully standing in a museum! Tanks are difficult to take out, by design, it’s a very important feature. And yet, there are videos from Gaza with Merkavas sporting these sexy cope cages, so – probably – the threat is… Read more »
you will at leats disable most of the current MBTs hitting the tower roof or engine compartment. Merkavas were design with particular emphasis for the crew survability – hence, strange shape, profile etc. They can still be destroyed. There is no MBT at the moment resistant to the commonly used ATGMs, you can buff it to some extend but not much. Drones are aimed at the engine.
I have to google what Merkava are first, strange name…
Well, basically every tank can be destroyed with the appropriate weapons. But that’s why at least the West has active protective measures. Detection of the enemy (even at night) from several kilometers and smoke grenades. Used correctly, the tank can disappear in the smoke after the first hit.
it won’t dissapear from a radar neither from the thermal, you also have acoustic target aquisition which even dinosaur like me remembers from the ’90 of the last century. Using somewhat wobbly metaphor we are at the same stage as in ’43/4 when the radar started really work as target aquisition device in the Sea. Thus, continuos works (during at least last 30 years) on an hit-preventive ->
measures with mixed results like the (in-)famous Armata. WIth abundance of drones nowadays, target aquisition on big, noisy and hot machine is easy. As for now, we’re in the moment when in that dept. ‘sword’ is stronger than a ‘shield’ hence lack of breakthrough ability, and in consequence fortified position (shield) is stronger than assault ability (sword). You still can overcome it ->
in the ‘ant-rush’ mode for absurd (for Westerners) cost ofc. At some point even the best fortified unit will reach ammunition crisis no matter how well supplied it is. An then you are returning to the ‘medieval’.
…that’s how war works, unfortunately. You don’t need sophisticated, difficult-to-use weapons for this. They are expensive and can still be destroyed.
The West needs to think less progressively and more
look at the basic principles. One of the biggest mistakes in the UKR war was that NATO thought that the RUS defense could be overcome by Western means. Underrated or just arrogant?
I would say: both, besides misunderstanding and projection. The typical example are sanctions: they works ofc. at the state level, but if someone thought that ‘average Russian’ who (on average, not the privileged Moscow/St. Pet/other big centres citizen) is living at the ’60-70 of last cent. level and barely ever bought anything imported will ‘suffer’, that was pure idiocy.
The sanctions are a case in themselves. I think in the long term they will have a negative impact on the RU economy. The West’s mistake, however, was to use sanctions to bring down Russia’s entire economic framework. But one should have known that something like this would take many years in such a large country.
It might have been better to set the sanctions at a lower level so that they take effect immediately. Instead of weakening the entire state as a whole, just the micro-economy. So don’t set the whole bale of straw on fire, just the straws and these will then ignite other straws themselves until the bale burns at some point.