The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the recent developments on the battlefield, as of 2nd September 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
Sloboda Front
includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river
- The enemy stormed Ukrainian positions south of Vilshana and entered Ukrainian fortified positions. (source)
- Russian forces advanced towards Novojehorivka and captured more territory in the area. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Novojehorivka
Siverskyi Donets
overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Bakhmut Front
includes the vicinity of Bakhmut
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Avdiivka Front
includes the vicinity of Avdiivka
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Sieverne
Donetsk Front
includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast
- Russian forces advanced in Marinka and reached the western outskirts. The battle of Marinka, after a year and half, is coming to its end, and there is nothing left. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- Krasnohorivka, Novomykhailivka
Zaporizhzhia Front
includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Kherson Front
includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka
- Russian artillery targeted Ukrainian positions on the eastern bank of Dnipro, revealing a group of Ukrainian troops landed north-east of Oleshky. (source)
- Russian artillery also targeted Ukrainian troops which landed on Kinburn Spit. It likely was just a raid by Ukrainian Special Forces. (source)
Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:
- No activity reported.
Full map of Ukraine
overview map of current situation in Ukraine
This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and geolocated footage.
We also thank the following Twitter users for their geolocations and amazing work: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya and the team at @geoconfirmed.
For information, 14 settlements have changed hands since the launch of the c-offensive, of which 12 were captured by Ukraine (9 in June, 1 in July, 2 in August) and 2 by Russia (1 in July and 1 in August).
Again another day of significant Russian losses south of Bahmut, looks like the Ukrainians will soon capture all of Kliščijivka and Andrijivka
Seems like the Russo-Ukrainian war is turning into a war of drones – where both sides use small to mid-sized drones to attack each other, making any large-scale attack tough. Both sides are also increasing drone production
I get a sense the Ukrainians have more drones. Not sure the Russians can catch up.
The Russians did have an advantage concerning long range drones, sheds, for a while, but it seems Ukraine is catching up. Tactically it is anyone’s guess. Concerning commercial aka Chinese drones, I don’t see how Russia should have a disadvantage. But concerning tactical non commercial one should think western tech should have the edge.
Battlefield awareness is on a whole new level I guess, but that also plays into the attackers hands. I actually think that both sides are all in all to equally matched for one side to have a advantage big enough to make big advances. Meaning, I don’t think the 3 to 1 rule has changed much. Attacking was always difficult.
This is the first war where both sides rely on drones. In the previous wars (Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan …), only one side had always used drones for tactical attacks and upfall. Until the UKR war, drones were only used as support for conventional means. The warfare with drones in UKR is new to everyone and you have to adapt to the future circumstances what will take beyond the war.
Therefore, it is currently a balanced situation where none of the pages can pull their advantages out of it. Because of the lack of experience from other wars.
I would say that the Ukrainian army is currently the most experienced drone army in the world. The Americans and Europeans have to learn from this to make their drones better.
You’re right, I’m just worried that China is learning faster than all of us. Taiwan will be another Ukraine soon
If China tries to invade Taiwan, it means they are learning nothing from the current war in Ukraine.
Think about it: Ukraine, with no navy, is able to threaten the Russian navy hundreds of kilometers away. The Chinese Navy won’t do better and they simply can’t supply an invasion force to Taiwan.
However, they can trigger a global trade war by blocking access to the East and South China Seas.
Xi is not nearly crazy enough to try that.
Russia and Ukraine share a 1000-km land border with very few natural obstacles. The Russians were able to just drive across the border – and they still got stuck. Now, compare that with trying to conquer an island.
First combat loss of Challenger 2
Ah small price for breaching the suvokin line.
Max, your relentless optimism is – as always – invigorating
If you accept the context of the war as a given, which is hard but without alternative, I do not see a reason not to be optimistic. Degrading Russia in 22 to a point where Ukraine is undoubtedly the stronger force in Ukraine in 23 and very, very likely in 24, is a huge feat. I never was very optimistic about the length of this war. Ain’t that easy as I hoped, but this is… Read more »
To put it differently, if you would have asked me if I take this reality on the 24.2.22 I would have said yes, yes and yes.
13th Jaeger and 129th TD were apparently in Sumy on the 22nd and 23rd for a swimming championship then on the 26th they participated in run for the heroes. I don’t know where they’ll be but I’d say the 13th is finally about to join the fight.
Lockheed announced successful testing of extended range missiles compatible with the HIMARS. Up to 150 km. Hopefully they make their way to Ukraine now so we can some of that Lockheed Love downrange to Russia. If mass produced, could be a real game changer on the frontlines. Ukraine needs time or reach to penetrate those minefields and suppress counter battery fire.
The Ukrainian Defence Ministry has reduced the list of categories of persons with limited fitness for military service. On the verge of total mobilisation
Russians send mentally ill people to the frontline. So how shall we call their mobilization? Partial? Total? I call it desperate.
Zelensky just changed all the military commissars. Probably because the losses are small and everyone wants to serve in the AFU
Zelensky just changed all the military commissars because there was evidence of massive corruption.
Concerning the Ukrainians and Russian losses, see:
https://militaryland.net/forum/postid/491/
Massive corruption? Corruption must have arisen due to the fact that everyone wants to serve in the AFU? And why was it necessary to reduce the number of people with deferments from conscription? Because the losses are so small?
Corruption is present in Ukraine since the soviet union. It hasn’t “arisen” because of the war, it was there before. And Ukrainians try to end it, unlike Russians.
Concerning the motivation, more than 90% of Ukrainans support the war, so while there are some people who want to avoid conscription, it is a minority.
And concerning the losses, I gave you the numbers. Deal with it.
About casualty figures and support for the war: why then tighten mobilisation if everything is so fine?
There are casualties on both sides.
Ukraine needs about 10 000 men/month just to compensate the losses (killed/injured).
Russia needs about 25 000 men/month.
So both are expanding their mobilization efforts.
That’s a beautiful piece of math work! Now add to that the number of people mobilized on both sides. And maybe we’ll get a more complete picture
country is in total mobilisation mode since 22 Feb. So… what is your point? That there are significant losess? That volunteers, enthusiasts of 1st day etc. and similiar groups are spent and after more than a year it’s time to call next wave (especially these who tried to avoid fight as long as possible – a human reflex, not necessarily ‘cowardness’)?
I mean… maybe wake up?
If total mobilisation, why have so many people gone abroad? And, by the way, would you mind showing me a document on general mobilisation in Ukraine?
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I understand control of Marinka means very little but why has nobody else reported its over you’d think the Rus would be beating there chests about this nothing on South front even.
It’s not over yet. Jerome says it will be over soon. Expect Russians to brag when it happens.
Wait and see. some (generaly true) source say the opposite.
Lots of rumor. strong fog of war.
There is a geolocated video of Russian tank to western outskirts, but no proof they managed to secure the remaining part of Marinka. So, there has been not small Russian advance in the area, but we lack any proof they control the rest.
It’s a sad development
what? The fact that russia lose so many troops during more than one year for nothing in marinka?
The capture of marinka will not open more doors for russia than Pisky.
loses are on both sides. for rus loosing troops does not matter, for them life does not matter. from their perspective each square foot forward is winning. they can sell it inside fairly easy as winning of the war: “look dear stupid society,there are some place where we move forward so War is going great”
For ukrain , russian loose of troops is important.
Reality didnt take care about russian propaganda.
However, the attacker has more and more casualties. And the Ukrainians retreat when they see it’s time to leave the defense.
The Russians will be shot by their own people if they retreat. That’s the difference…