The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 6th June 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).

Belgorod Front

includes the area of between Vovchansk and Belgorod

  • Russian Volunteer Corps and Free Russian Legion captured and hold part of Novaya Tavolzhanka settlement. Russian army is unable to mount any meaningful counter-attack to push the opposition forces out. (source) (source)

Sloboda Front

includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Siverskyi Donets

overview map of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Bakhmut and Lysychansk vicinity

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Kreminna, Bilohorivka, Berestove

Bakhmut Front

includes the vicinity of Bakhmut

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Ivanivske, Klishchiivka

Bakhmut City

the city of Bakhmut

  • No activity reported.

Avdiivka Front

includes the vicinity of Avdiivka

  • Soldiers of 59th Motorized Brigade recaptured previously lost positions south-east of Nevelske settlement. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Avdiivka, Sieverne, Nevelske

Donetsk Front

includes the center and southern part of Donetsk Oblast

  • Ukrainian forces advanced towards Storozheve settlement, south of Velyka Novosilka. (source)
  • Ukrainian troops entered and very likely also liberated Novodarivka village. (source) (source)
  • Ukrainian Army conducted a recon in force towards Rivnopil. They lost several vehicles and retreated back to original positions. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • Marinka, Novosilka

Zaporizhzhia Front

includes the Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Kherson Front

includes the left bank of Dnipro river south of Kherson and Kakhovka

  • Russian occupation forces blew up Kakhovka Dam and flooded the area between Nova Kakhovka and the Black Sea, including a dozen of settlements and towns. (source)

Ukrainian General Staff reports repelled attacks in the vicinity of:

  • No activity reported.

Full map of Ukraine

overview map of current situation in Ukraine

This summary and detailed maps are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official media channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and geolocated footage.

We also thank the following Twitter users for their geolocations and amazing work: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya and the team at @geoconfirmed.

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Noelle

So. Be prepared for:

  • this offensive is already defeated;
  • RFAF killed and maimed everybody at least twice (and then NATO zombies were also purged);
  • 1000 Leos were blown
  • and 100 F16s
  • all during next few days.
  • (until new phase of clever 7th-dimension ‘manouvering’)

Patrick &CO, feel free to update us. You may recycle old stuff from the Kharkiv (as already Ru-bubble does) less effort, the same bang.

Tristan

You should stop posting whatever the Russians are publishing. Oh wait, that’s exactly your job. Nevermind.

Patrick

Who do you think you are to tell me what I should post? Go to sleep instead of writing stupid things.

Tristan

I’m just a guy who understands what you are doing.

Calm down, and have a nice day.

Kay

Does anyone know how big the Russian volunteer corps is now? So how much strike force the two units have…?

Noelle

assuming that both known ‘units’ (I mean that political cosplay and imported neo-n together), that would be around 300 maybe. Add some lost souls there and there and let it be rounding up circa 400. It’s pure guessing, though, based on their own materials during the last year and some.

Patrick

No idea, but they have followers among Moscow freaks
https://t.me/btr80/7716

Max Beckhaus

Pretty nice probing attacks. The Russians are being kept guessing. Nice little hit and run with some gains even.

Max Beckhaus

Feels like it started. Godspeed Ukraine.

Gordon

All this started 3 days ago, Ukraine lost 10 armored vehicles in these few days, and 10 soldiers who are trying to pass minefields, the equipment is simply blown up on mines, and the Russian artillery simply dismantles them to pieces. After all, the Russians are learning something from this war. There is still data that the Russian aviation works in the air even at night to destroy…

Gordon

manpower and armored forces (the data needs to be verified). Still, this is just the beginning.We must remember that the attacking side loses a significant part of its troops, most of the losses are due to artillery fire, so counter-battery fighting is very important. It is interesting to see whether Russia will transfer reserves from under the flooded Kherson to the Zaporozhye front

Tristan

Russian TV propagandists call for the bombing of Kyiv hydroelectric power plant in order flood Kyiv like they flood Kherson. https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1666714581492805638

Russian military are war criminals, and Russian propagandists just want more war crimes. Always remember that !

Last edited 11 months ago by Tristan
Noelle

but “that wasn’t us!”

san4es

Leo2 under Orekhovym. The location has now been determined. https://t.me/ZA_FROHT/18193?single

san4es

Where are the mine trawls? It’s a cheap solution if you compare it to the price of a tank

1984

Jerome, you say Russia is to blame for the dam. I will somewhat agree since if they hadn’t invaded then it would have never happened. You’ve always been good on both sides to rely on evidence, but why aren’t you doing that now? There is no evidence of who blew up that dam. You’ll lose credibility if you’ll continue to do so.

Vlado

Such dam cannot be destroyed from outside, such constructions can be blown from inside. Also in Slovakia many bridges and dams were built during socialism (1945-1989) with special “rooms”, so explosives in those premises can destroy structure in case of enemy approaching.
The only side with access was Russia. Look what they are doing in nucler power plant. Mines, artillery.

Vlado

If they mined nuclear power plant, tell me why would they not mined the dam. Ukraine wants to reconquer its territory. Kachovka dam provided water for more than 4000 km of irrigation channels, provided water for Krivij Rih and many other cities. Why would Ukraine blew its dam? Entire agriculture in southeast was based on water from Kachovka. Russians do stupid things, this is one of them…

Konstantin.ru

not possible? Ukraine proved the opposite by firing at the dam : “There were moments when we turned off their supply lines completely, and they still managed to build crossings,” Kovalchuk said. “They managed to replenish ammunition. … It was very difficult ovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with

Max Beckhaus

This is a crime and as usual, it can be solved by evidence and indications like motivation and so on. So let’s go: One side had complete control over the damn for long and over the eastern side where the destruction took place as well over the gates to raise reservoir level to a new record level, that was Russia. It is highly unlikely that a single rocket could have done this for Ukraine.

Max Beckhaus

May be a commando with a lot of explosives on the Russian side and unseen. This atrocity destroyed about 2000 ukrainian houses, will destroy about 500k Hectare of highly fertile farmland and will complicate fresh water resources for 3 ukrainian oblasts. Ukrainians died and will die of it, not to speak of the delta ecology. It also has next to no military value in the short term and destroyed

Max Beckhaus

A very important hpp in the long term for Ukraine. For Russia it will solve short term military problems and is their Standart atrocity of scorched earth next to killing civilians, abduction of children destruction of civilian infrastructure and so forth, nothing new. So Ukraine has difficult means and no motivation while Russia has the means, did this before and has obvious motivation as before.

Max Beckhaus

Any sane judge in the world can find a verdict on this base, but you need more evidence? Are you kidding us?

Kay

Intent or not… The Russians just didn’t anticipate the repercussions of blowing up the powerhouse that’s attached to the dam. They’ve probably forgotten the many mines they’ve placed around the dam over the years. Which of course also highlights their incompetence.

Triglav

Oberst Markus Reisner of the Austrian army claims that the Ukrainians were preparing boats in the southern Kherson region, so it seems to me that the Russians were willing to blow up the dam to stop any possible crossings of the Dnipr

Tristan

The presiding judge, Hendrik Steenhuis, said the court had concluded that MH17 was shot down by a Russian-made BUK missile launched from an agricultural field in eastern Ukraine, citing extensive evidence that did not leave “any possibility for reasonable doubt whatsoever”

Now shut up.

Kay

Girkin has now admitted that he is responsible. And he was also regularly convicted for it…

The Nerd

Both sides are blaming each other and the dam collapsing doesn’t really help either one of them as they both rely on it. But I have read places that infer the damn may have been damaged in the fighting and thus structurally compromised. Then you add that the water volume was at unprecedented levels due to the Russian side mis-managing it. May have burst on its own.

Zhorik Vartanov

The Russians are indeed devious. They blew up the dam knowing that it won’t benefit them in any way so nobody would suspect them. Fortunately some clever people – astonishingly! – quickly solved this conundrum and the evil plan is exposed

Tristan

They blew up the dam for short-term benefit (protect them from any Ukrainian attack in the area) and they don’t care about the consequences.They are just dumb and desesperate war criminals. They don’t have a clever, long-term master plan (besides waiting for the West to abandon Ukraine), they just try to fulfill Putin’s day-to-day whims.

dolgan

Yes russian do a lot of things hnowing that it womt benefit them in any way. For example, try to invade Ukrain, try to hold kherson, capture bakmut.

In fact, they really think this things will be benefit for them.

san4es

There has been a lot of talk about the Russian offensive on Ugledar. Now we can compare it with the Ukrainian offensive at Novodarivka https://t.me/voin_dv/3060

Noelle

did they made that mistake over and over again? Please enlighten me.

san4es

The Russians then climbed a minefield and were shelled by artillery. Now the Ukrainians have done the same

Noelle

the keyword is ‘again and again’. There will be loses, there will be fuck-ups. Always are. The poit is: if you are able to learn from them.

Max Beckhaus

It looks like the dam will collapse completly. That means, that the reservoir will probably empty itself completly. This may actually bring some new offensive opportunitys to Ukraine. Espacially the frontline at Kamianske will widen considerably, depending on where the dnipro will flow.

Triglav

Bingo, it’s a new opportunity for Ukraine

bob

I don’t think the muddy exposed lakebed will be suitable for counter-offensive activity, at least not by mechanized forces.

Noelle

this. I have seen (and worked in resque teams) during the floods of much smaller scale. The ground is wet, even in july/august for weeks. The smell of mud, dead bodies and whatever filth taken is hard to firget.

Max Beckhaus

You may be right, but do not forget how dry and hot it is in southern Ukraine summers. I know the dried up Rhine, it gets pretty hard soil pretty quickly

Noelle

I am ofc. not familiar with the geology of the region (the underwater one in particular). Just a reminder that a flood is an immense hardly predictive and barely modelled, destructive power. There are speculations about future possibilities of crossing the artificial lake – and many others of kind – but that would be first a swamp, and then gods knows what.

Noelle

–> and I am not even touching the enviromental side of this.

Kay

Yes, that’s true, but there’s a big difference between flooding from an uncontrolled flash flood and the water flowing out of a dam. In this case, the water drains, which, although it causes flooding, has no destructive power.

Noelle

I mean.. I am really not in the mood of refreshing my hydrodynamics classes from 20 years ago. And there is a lot of factors to take into account. Even if there might be some ‘tactical benefit’ in a few months (assuming that Ukr. will have enough punch to be able to use it at that time, current events are not costless) , the damage is immense and it will stick for decades.

New Map

Thank you for the new map.
It was unexpected, but the new map clearly reveals that Shebekino is being raided to prevent artillery attacks against Vovchansk.
This action appears is not driven by PR or other motives.

Miles_Ignigena

“defense positions of RU will be washed away (as will be the mine fields).”

Well i don’t know about that. First of all, the russians should have second and maybe third lines. Secondly, aren’t mine fields usually buried in the ground? Maybe not on roads but elsewhere they are usually buried, right? Does the flooding have enough force to dig the mines back out?

Miles_Ignigena

Plus, isn’t it more problematic to uncontrollably scatter live mines over a large area under water like that? That makes things even more dangerous for the Ukrainians. The river area will now be a hazardous environment for years, even decades to come.

Last edited 11 months ago by Miles_Ignigena
Max Beckhaus

The military implications are not the main problem. Russia has enough time to build new defensive positions and it was not to be a major axis anyways, plus the last reliable crossing in that area is gone. The mines will go off or go defunct and scatter. The real problem is the humatarian, ecological and economic catastrophe for Kherson, Zaporishia and Crimea.

Miles_Ignigena

You are absolutely right. I was replying to Matthias but for some reason i can not reply directly.

Noelle

Jerome blocked the topic and kinda ‘banned’ discussion on that matter. So: lets keep his wish.

Lev Vuksin

The pressure could make Them detonate.

Noelle

it does not really work that way. Negligence, panic, miscommunication, incompetence – and any collection of that 4 – is the cause I would personally vote.

Max Beckhaus

Hahaha, almost funny. Russian trolls…
Ukraine has absolutly 0 reasons to destroy their land and destroy the only left supply route to Kherson once it is liberated. Meanwhile Russia destroys Ukrainian land, which it really likes to do, makes possible landing operations on the left bank impossible for weeks, negates the gains Ukraine did on the delta islands…
Go back to your ditch, orc.

san4es

What about the north stream? Great article in WaPo “U.S. had intelligence of detailed Ukrainian plan to attack Nord Stream pipeline”

Max Beckhaus

Who cares about north stream? Nobody in europe wants Russian gas anymore and it is well established that it was a hugh mistake. Now, who did it? I really do not care. Could be a false flag russian operation and Russia had nice incentives to do it, but the argument for Ukraine or anybody else could be done. If you ad it up, i still tend to Russia, since pissing of Europe still is dumb… Read more »

san4es

Who cares? Well, when they blew it up, they immediately blamed Russia. They were even quick to find reasons. Just like you just now about the dam

Volga

It wasn’t Ukraine, who blew up the North Stream it was US and Norway. Just like 9/11 where the scape goat after some time became Saudi Arabia.

Max Beckhaus

There could be some to have interest in destroying north stream. Ukraine has zero interest in destroying it’s main water source for zaporizia, Kherson and Crimea and causing a major humanitarian catastrophe for it’s people and disrupting it’s counteroffensive and destroying the last bridge to it’s south plus a major electricity source. Go back to your orc ditch, both of you.

san4es

Kovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the floodgates at the Nova Kakhovka dam, making three holes in the metal to see if the Dnieper’s water could be raised enough to stymie Russian crossings but not flood nearby villages. The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort.He held off

san4es

Cite from WaPo article (2022/12/29) “Inside the Ukrainian counteroffensive that shocked Putin and reshaped the war”

Tristan

It was Russia who destroyed North Stream. Probably with their ship SS-75 which had the right equipment to sabotage the pipeline and was photographed in the area 4 days before the explosion.

Noelle

nah. I already established that it was Little Mermaid with Mad Beavers company.

1984

Max Bechaus is a bot who writes like hundred comments a day. It’s the same with the missile that was “shot” into Polish territory. Ukraine blamed Russia immediately and so did everyone on Reddit.

We all know who blew the dam up, even Jerome. That guy isn’t dumb after all.

Max Beckhaus

Yes, Russia quite obviously. Go back to your Troll hole little orc.

Noelle

In my country there are (at least were when I was at the proper age to be trained as an ensing in the Army ~30yrs ago) quite detailed plans for defending the country against ‘alien forces’ (or so). Including extensive sabotage and diversion with stealing unknown devices, etc. I dunno if we ever had plans against zombies like USA, though. Planning is a staff job.

Max Beckhaus

About 400000 Hectare of farmland will be without water for years and that is excluding Crimea, a super expensive dam plus many many houses destroyed. Even the notion that Ukraine would do that to itself is so stupid, that I am lost for words. For what, some trenches and diversion from supposedly bad offensive? What the hell are you guys talking about???

Noelle

@san4es draw conclusions from having plans. I am just modestly inform that military staffs have habit of making plans on evry occasion. Including stupid and insane ones.

Evan

How far the western countries have sunk. During the war in Yugoslavia, the West really made attempts to solve this catastrophe. But here, when one of the participants in the conflict is a nuclear country, Western countries hide their heads in the sand, and the UN is just an insignificant organization that cannot stop any war. How hypocritical are all these eco-organizations. I think that all these

Max Beckhaus

Well, i am far from defending western policy in this war. But i can say that direct NATO involvement has next to no political support in most western countries. I am hopefull concerning the next possible atrocity, that is the Zapo NPP. The only thing that can drag NATO over the “direct involment line” is the nuclear issue. Usually a escalation like this one is just met with more weapons.

Colin

What on earth are you going on about? Dear boy!

Matthias

No, you don’t know – you suspect. That is, of course, your right (although maybe not around any given place not your own). And don’t speak for “Everyone”, because I, for my part, do NOT actually know who did it.

Max Beckhaus

So Russia reacted to the first serious probing attack with blowing up the dam. Now, the only good thing for Ukraine is, that this atrocity ace up their sleeve is gone. But it does give me the sense that they will use the zapo npp as well. I just hope the US made it clear to Russia, that this will have grave consequences. I always disliked words like orcs or evil for Russians and Russia,… Read more »

Max Beckhaus

…I guess I have to admit that we are back to 20th century madness and political evil.

COLIN

I hope Ukraine has contingency plans in place.
It was always possible that the kreminal kuntz would destroy the dam.

Triglav

Well it’s not the end of the day. All the boats and equipment to cross the Dnepr can be moved to the north. Crossing the reservoir shouldn’t be that hard now given the much lower water levels, besides most Russian trenches are now filled with water. I hope this wasn’t done by the Russians to ‘evacuate’ the majority (pro-)Ukrainian population and replace them with ethnic ruskies

Noelle

it’s not that simple. Depending of the river’s bed the mud may be there for months. Roads, including reinforced, might be damaged or simply washed out. I have seen what the much smaller flood can do.

Ferom

There was also information about Ukrainian attacks on Vodiane and Opytne. But I’m not sure of the source and I’ll trust you with it, Jerome.

Max Beckhaus

Thx for the Belgorod map. That is much apreciated.

Noelle

Thanks Jerome. Did you put your candidature? For now DefMon is leading in pools.

Ferom

I doubt that Russia did it, because a large number of fortified areas and settlements of Russia were flooded. It would be much more profitable for Ukraine than for Russia

Tristan

The chronology of the terrorist attack by Russian terrorists. Or how Russians screwed in their excuses. https://twitter.com/VolodyaTretyak/status/1666015265971118082

They bragged about it, before realizing the castastrophic results of their action, then try to erase their message (but it was too late), then they blame the Ukrainians.

Noelle

‘more profitable’ to create practically impossible obstacle for its own army for at least few months (and rather much longer)? Srsly? Also:

  • destroying main source of electricity for the region on the right bank;
  • making a humanitarian catastrofe
  • poisoning ground and water around the river for years on the territory you want to regain;
  • not mentioning the poisoning of BSea;

Get a doctor, please.

Matthias

it is an impossible obstacle only for a week or two. Afterwards the defense positions of RU will be washed away (as will be the mine fields). I also read somewhere (take it with salt) that with lower water levels the front will extend for about 160km (which will be unprotected on the RU side). So there could be reason to escalate and blame Russians for it.

Matthias

On the other side I doubt that Ukraine was technically able to do this regarding their arsenal. And by no means I imply that they actually did, it is only a play of thoughts

Tristan

The Russians did it. And yes, it wasn’t a smart move. Like everything they do since 24.02.2022

Kay

The Ukrainians do not blow up their own dam, which leads to an environmental and humanitarian catastrophe. They have enough other problems. An offensive would also have been successful without blowing up the dam.The Russians underestimated the extent of this explosion. They hoped that the dam would only be damaged. However, the water pressure was probably miscalculated.

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