October 8, 2024

Frontline Situation Report – September 2024

Summary of the situation on the battlefield and the recap of the previous month.

Photo: Rubizh Brigade

Overall SITREP:

Russian forces counterattacked in Kursk Oblast, retaking much of the western area around Snagost, despite Ukrainian efforts to destroy bridge crossings across the Seym river. Ukrainian forces attempted to open a second front in Kursk around Veseloe and Glushkovo, but it quickly stalled. Ukraine still holds Sudzha and the surrounding areas, equating to around 800 square km in Kursk Oblast.

Russian forces fully captured Vuhledar over the course of the month, capturing the surrounding areas then finally raising their flags over the settlement on October 1st.

Russian forces continued to advance in the Pokrovsk and Selydove directions, taking Hrodivka and Novohrodivka, as well as surrounding settlements. The enemy continue their exploitation in the Toretsk direction and managed to capture all of Niu-York, and reached the center of Toretsk itself, though heavy fighting continues.

On the Kharkiv and Luhansk front, Russian forces continued to exploit weaknesses in Ukrainian defenses, capturing Nevske, and also probing deeper west of Pischane, almost reaching the Oskil.

Kursk axis

  • Around the 11th September, Russian forces counterattacked south of Koronevo and east from Glushkovo, quickly taking Krasnoktyabrskoe, Vishnevka, Komarovka, Snagost and Gordeevka and surrounding settlements before being stopped near Liubimovka, which remains contested.
  • Russian forces also attacked from the south east of the Kursk incursion, retaking the settlements of Spalnoe and Borki.
  • Ukrainian forces attempted to breach the border near Novyi Put, south of Glushkovo, yet were detected and currently only seem to control the border village south of Veseloe.
  • Ukrainian forces lost approximately 300 square kilometers of controlled terrain, controlling about 800 square km now.

Kharkiv axis

  • On 16th September, Russian forces shelled the Vovchansk Aggregate Plant, though it wasn’t until 24th September that the HUR’s Tymur unit raised the flag over the plant, which had been cut off for almost three months. On 30th September, Russian forces attempted to retake the Vovchansk Aggregate Plant, suffering heavy casualties.
  • Russian forces advanced slightly a few hundred meters west of Hlyboke next to the Trav’yans’ke reservoir in early September

Kupyansk axis

  • Russian forces advanced west of Pischane and widened their salient, coming within 4 km of the Oskil river. On 22nd September, 115th Mechanized Brigade forces attacked a Russian position only 2 kilometers away from Kolisnykivka. On 26th September, a fifty vehicle Russian mechanized assault was repelled in the Pischane salient, again with heavy Russian casualties.
  • The enemy advanced a few hundred meters westwards of Novoselivs’ke and secured some positions but nothing of note.

Lyman axis

  • Russian forces were shown to have crossed the Zherebets river at Makiivka, being shelled in the western part of the settlement on 25th September.
  • Russian forces advanced multiple kilometers into Nevske, and raised a flag in the west of Nevske by 21st September.

Siversk axis

  • Russian forces occupied Spirne, and captured positions southeast of Vyimka as well as heights north of Bilohorivka.

Bakhmut axis

  • Russian forces advanced towards Hryhorivka up the canal, capturing positions. Footage from 2nd September shows Russian forces crossed the canal west of Kalinina, where they appear to have a small bridgehead by the end of the month.
  • Russian forces raised a flag two kilometers east of Stupochky, showing Ukrainian forces pushed back substantially to the canal.

Toretsk axis

  • On September 7th, 53rd Mech raised their flag in Niu-York after relieving some beleaguered troops in the center, then pulled back to defensive north of Niu-York which came under Russian control.
  • A large Russian mechanized attack briefly reached Leonidivka by September 21st, however Ukrainian forces appear to still hold some of Nelipivka to the south.
  • Russian forces continued their advance into Toretsk, reaching the high rises near the center. Heavy fighting is still occurring.

Pokrovsk axis

  • Russian forces continued their substantial advances in the Pokrovsk and Selydove directions, being geolocated in the north of Hrodivka by 17th September, and then advanced west of the settlement to Mykolaivka by the 23rd September.
  • At Novohrodivka, Russian forces were geolocated in the very north of the settlement on 12th September, as well as capturing Ukrainian civilians in Krutyi Yar as they entered the village of 15th September.
  • By September 10th, Marynivka south of Novohrodivka was taken, though a brief counterattack by 15th Kara-Dag of the National Guard managed to hold Russian forces at Mykhailivka.
  • Russian forces also advanced rapidly southwards, raising their flag in Dolynivka on 1st September, then advancing westwards from there, raising a flag in Lisivka by 11th September, and entering Ukrainsk on the same date – encountering aid workers and civilians who were attempting to evacuate civilians.
  • By 23rd September, Russian forces had advanced westwards of Ukrainsk and reached the rail line north of Tsukuryne / south of Selydove.
  • Russian forces continued to push south, reaching Zhelanne Pershe by 16th September, and entering Hirnyk and raising a flag in the north of the settlement by September 26th, which was removed a day later.

Novopavlivka axis

  • Many large mechanized attacks were seen on this axis during September. Two large Russian mechanized attacks led to a Russian advance of around six kilometers into Hostre and the surroundings, putting significant pressure on Kurakhivka and Kurakhove.
  • Russian forces also attempted to advance west of Pobjeda with significant mechanized forces, but only achieved limited success of a few treelines.
  • At Vuhledar, Russian forces attacked relentlessly, eventually capturing Pivdennodonbaska Coal Mine 1 by 9th September, then raised the flag over Vodyane by 10th September, and finally capturing Pivdennodonbaska Coal Mine 3 by 24th September. By 24th September, Russian infantry had entered into Vuhledar itself, raising flags in the west of the settlement by 30th September and then the rest of the settlement on October 1st.
  • The Vuhledar matter was complicated by a large Russian attack west of Vuhledar which captured Prechystivka by September 5th, then Russian forces advanced towards Novoukrainka capturing numerous positions by September 21st, and allowing Russian infantry to enter from the west.

Velyka Novosilka axis

  • Russian forces advanced a few hundred meters north of Staromaiorske by September 22nd towards Makarivka

Kherson axis

  • No significant changes in this area.

Situation per region

Russian invasion forces currently occupy the following regions of Ukraine:

Donetsk Oblast0% (+1.12)
Kharkiv Oblast0% (+0.19)
Kherson Oblast0% (+0)
Luhansk Oblast0% (+0.17)
Mykolaiv Oblast0% (+0)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast0% (+0)

Crimea is occupied by 100% and is not listed.

Overall situation in Ukraine

Ukraine0% (+0.06)

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Patrick

Very good summary. The Russians captured 394,66 km2 in September and 1659,13 km2 since Jan. 1.