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14 травня 2022 року

День вторгнення 79 - Підсумок

Підсумки 79-го дня російського вторгнення в Україну станом на 22:00 - 13 травня 2022 року (за київським часом).

Підсумки дня:

Українські війська успішно просуваються в районі Харкова і звільнили ще кілька населених пунктів.

Російська армія посилила свою присутність у прикордонних районах Брянської та Курської областей на тлі побоювань щодо можливих українських атак через кордон. Додаткові російські артилерійські підрозділи також були перекинуті до Брянської області.

Зауваження щодо підрозділів "Правого сектору": Нещодавно до мене звернувся представник "Правого сектору", який висловив бажання прибрати позначки ДУК (Добровольчого українського корпусу) зі щоденних зведень. На жаль, всі запропоновані мною рішення були відхилені, і навіть попри те, що всі мої дані були отримані з відкритих джерел, я не зміг змінити їхню думку. Я вирішив задовольнити їхнє прохання, і наразі їхні позначки прибрані з щоденних мап.

Харківський фронт

включає територію Харкова та Чугуєва

частково сонячно. ~21 °C

Обстріли: Питомник, Руські Тишки, Петрівка, Тернова

У цьому районі триває контрнаступ українських сил, внаслідок чого противник змушений відводити свої підрозділи через кордон. Українські війська відбили Петровське, Тернову і просуваються до Веселого.


Сіверський Донець

включає територію Слов'янська, Краматорська та Бахмута

частково сонячно. ~25 °C

Обстріли: Нова Дмитрівка, Краснопілля, Долина, Адамівка, Богородичне, околиці Рубіжного, Тошківка, Оріхове, Золоте

Російські війська просунулися вздовж траси М-03 (Ізюм - Слов'янськ) і атакували українські позиції в районі Богородичного. Атака була успішно відбита. Російська авіація завдала ударів по українських позиціях в районі Долини та Адамівки.

Тривають бої в районі Лиману та Олександрівки. Російсько-терористичні війська намагалися прорвати українські укріплення в районі Оріхового, Золотого та Комишувахи, але безуспішно.


Південно-Східний фронт

включає Донецьку та Запорізьку області

дощові зливи. ~24 °C

Донецька область

Обстріли: Мар'їнка, Авдіївка, Кам'янка

Російсько-терористичні війська атакували українські позиції у Новомихайлівці, Мар'їнці, Авдіївці, Кам'янці та Новоселівці. Українські війська успішно відбили всі атаки на зазначених напрямках.

Запорізька область

Обстріл: Оріхів, Гуляйполе

У Запорізькій області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.


Азовсталь

включає комбінат "Азовсталь" у Маріуполі

частково сонячно. ~22 °C

Тривають бої на околиці комбінату "Азовсталь", а також майже безперервні обстріли самого комбінату.


Херсонський фронт

включає околиці Херсона та Миколаєва

здебільшого сонячно. ~26 °C

Миколаївська область

У Миколаївській області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.

Херсонська область

Обстріли: Олександрівка, Таврійське, Котляреве

У Херсонській області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.

Поправка: На основі нещодавно оприлюднених відеоматеріалів та заяв було підтверджено, що російська армія все ще контролює Правдине та більшу частину території між Благодатним та Снігурівкою.


Повна мапа

Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.

Карти та стаття базуються на наступних джерелах:

Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні канали українських обласних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Міністерства оборони України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ), прес-релізи російської армії, "ДНР" та "ЛНР" (з певною долею умовності)

Відвідайте наші Карта розгортання за оновлену інтерактивну карту захоплених територій та українських підрозділів.

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49 Comments
Зворотній зв'язок в режимі реального часу
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kevin

Stalemate is my guess. The areas under occupation are historically Russian-leaning anyway, so Russia can just sit tight and play defense. Ukraine doesn’t have to worry about Russia advancing further without further mobilization. If Ukraine starts with massive counterattack, then Russia has the justification for WWW2 full mobilization. Oil price will double and stock market will crash. Even US will not be happy at that point (treasury bond yield will spike), and will try to… Читати далі »

AZOG

Most commentators here seem to agree that Russia is running out of time and it needs a quick victory. This is not my impression at all, on the contrary it’s Ukraine (and the Collective West) who’d benefit more from the quick resolution of this conflict. Because you know, the winter is coming. Russia has fuel and food, not a problem at all for them. They won’t be necessarily happy but they’ll survive. The Europe, especially… Читати далі »

Timothy Hurley

“despite all the successful repellings.”Those are called LOSSES. They aren’t feints, they aren’t “part of the plan,” they are flat out LOSSES. I’ll go through them for you in case you forgot: 1) Kyiv-LOSS 2) Sumy-LOSS 3) Chernihiv-LOSS 4)Kharkiv-LOSS 5) 9 Generals-DEAD 6) Moskva-SUNK Over 50% of RU tanks and APC’s are visually confirmed as destroyed. Any “rational” discussion of the war needs to be based on facts and not wishful thinking or RU fantasy… Читати далі »

Food for thought

Mate, look at the map. Do you see the red colour on approximately 20% of Ukraine? What is the value of 9 generals or a few thousand losses (these are Ukrainian data and obviously exaggerated like the minimal losses that Russians report) compared to occupying so far 1/5 of a country and slowly advancing? I agree with AZOG. I don’t known whether he is pro Russian or not but I think it is quite realistic… Читати далі »

AZOG

One can ‘successfully’ repel 50 attacks, but it takes only one ‘successful’ attack to lose the battle. And if the opposing side can live with that and still operate, it’ll lead to a strategic loss ultimately. As you – correctly – stated, the ‘truth’ and facts depend on which TG channels one is reading. I am reading and trying to analyze the info from both sides. Russians surely suffered losses, I never stated the opposite… Читати далі »

vachefolle

Ukr proved that they can retake occupied territory to Russia, so your logic is false.

wolfgang

the West (United states, Canada, UK, France ,Germany and other countries ) are fully committed to support Ukraine with weapons. Russia can’t win this war as long as these countries sending weapons to Ukraine. Ukraine is getting anti- ship missiles, heavy artillery, tanks, ammunition, air defense…). Where is Russia getting their weapons from to refill their equipment losses? There is a huge difference: the ukrainian army is a western army. Their soldiers are well trained… Читати далі »

AZOG

Russian and Ukrainian armies are much more similar than perhaps you think (perhaps more similar that they think themselves about each other). ‘Western trained army’ is like some mantra that supposedly makes the army invincible. Right, and South Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan etc were just statistical anomalies.

Sven

Just one question, how much money do you think it goes on the career of a general? Their generals have a lot of experiencia, RU did not wasted time and was involved in every conflict possible. How much time it’s needed to generate a new general? how much money it takes? how decades of experience will be replaced? imagine if any other army lost this numbers of it’s highest officers?! Adding this number to the… Читати далі »

Meha

What you are saying does not make sense. I am a participant in the war that lasted 4 years 30 years ago, the part where I was all 4 years was in a total environment, there were 250,000 inhabitants with women and children no one died of hunger and cold, we were absolutely without electricity and never we had no gas, the army turned all its economic resources to survive we produced weapons and ammunition… Читати далі »

epunkt

I agree with you in part. However, the Ukrainian army cannot be compared with Hitler’s army at Stalingrad. The Ukrainians know winter and unlike those at the Battle of Stalingrad in 42/43 they will have the proper equipment. The Russian winter offensive in 1944 is not comparable to the current situation, as Hittler believed that the Russians were coming through Hungary and against the advice of his advisors sent his soldiers to Budapest first. This… Читати далі »

AZOG

I am not comparing the armies, I am comparing the tactics. I see similarities between Poznan, Konigsberg and Wroclaw and Mariupol, Popasnaya and other cities and towns in Donbass. Of course Ukrainians (and Russians) can perfectly well fight in winter and they are sturdy people. The problem for Ukraine will be food (no harvest this year) and fuel (prices and serious shortages already common). It might affect the logistics, the morale and it’s not inconceivable… Читати далі »

vachefolle

I stopped reading the message at “the winter is coming”….

JJ

EU will be fine without russian gas and oil… economy might take a little hit (nowhere close to what covid-19 did), but it wont be a huge problem.. BUT, russia has no way how to switch gas deliveries from EU to somebody else.. because those pipelines go into EU.. so once EU stops buying, russians will have to close the gas wells, as they need to be under pressure and any stoppage ends up destroying… Читати далі »

wolfgang

Russia can’t sustain this offense on multiple locations (south, Kherson & Zaporizihia and in the east , Donbass) for more than 1 month. Two or three weeks more and they will run out of fuel, ammunition, food, water..) and we will see these forces collapsing like around Kiyv. The following factors are in favor of the Ukraine: – modern weapons from the west (they will get heavy artillery – long range from Norway, Germany, France)… Читати далі »

AZOG

I would say heavy artillery will have much more serious impact than Javelins which didn’t seem to have any major impact at all contrary to what the media is saying. Of course I saw the video, Russians messed up at the river crossing. Targeted by artillery from Lisichansk apparently. Do you perhaps know if this artillery position is still standing? Surely, river crossing always go according to the plan, it;s a perfectly safe thing to… Читати далі »

Alexey

Statistics. The population of Russia is 145 million The population of Ukraine is 43 million The difference in human resources is 145/43=3.37 times For the same losses, for every dead Ukrainian, 3 Russians must die. Army: there is a professional army, there are mobilized soldiers. When mobilizing in the army, a large number of low-motivated soldiers. A large number of mobilized soldiers -> high losses, low morale. There was no mobilization from Russia. Fighting professional… Читати далі »

RutilantBossi

You’re forgetting one thing, Equipment, Russia will run out of equipment before they can fully equip their mobilized troops, Ukraine on the other hand is being equipped by NATO which makes up 50% of the global GDP.

Ukraine has 16 million people fit for Military service and with NATO’s help they can equip a lot of them.

Alexey

Yes, everyone knows that NATO has the advantage in conventional weapons.
But Russia also has nuclear weapons. And Putin said back in 2018 – The essence of Russia’s nuclear doctrine is that the aggressor must know: retribution is inevitable, he will be destroyed anyway. And we, as a victim of aggression, we, as martyrs, will go to heaven, and they will simply die

Krystian

You are forgeting that Russia got hardly professional army, it is always used to be filled with reservists or people that are conscirpted for a year around age 18-20, they are not having regular professional army like most countries do. That is the reason why many of russian soldiers that are members of regular unit are people with very, very limited expierience. They were sent to units and are members of regular units but the… Читати далі »

Alexey

To say that the Russian army has little experience is very reckless. Remember who supported Assad in Syria.

Krystian

so few thousands out of milion army that were doing slaughterhouse of people that were hardly having anything more than just AK-47 is an experience? You dont understand that their army is hardly having regular soldiers in land component. And land forces were not used is Syria, mostly air and special forces +VDV + Wagner Group

Ulenspiegel

“The population of Russia is 145 million
The population of Ukraine is 43 million”

Which share of the Russian male population is willing to fight in Ukraine? Which share of Ukraine population is fighting?

But modern wars are also decided in factories: Could you provide the relevant industrial capacity of Russia, the EU and USA? You do not see an issue?

John

Not mobilizing is going to lose you the war. Serves you right, Russian Fascists are cowards that want to send others to rape and murder for them in Ukraine. You don’t believe any of that of course, just like you believed Putin when he said you weren’t going to invade Ukraine. Oh go ahead, threaten nuclear retribution like you did further down when someone mentioned NATO is stronger.

epoint

@XPOINT I don’t know where you get your information about Europe and the EU, but one thing is certain: for a long time Europe has not been as united as it is at the moment, for a long time NATO has not been as united as it is at the moment. Yes, there are some EU states that have a harder time accepting the new realities. But I don’t see the EU’s support for Ukraine… Читати далі »

xpoint

My comment was deleted, yours remains. If all of you against me but not afraid of me, we can find a place where we can speak freely to discuss further.

AZOG

Excellent point about Boeing and microchips. I’d say the best among all the posts today. A major headache for Russia ( I still cannot believe it managed to kill the Soviet aircraft industry). But well, this is the new reality, the world is in the new cold war. For the time being the West and the Russia will have to live apart from each other. If they manage not to kill each other and the… Читати далі »

Needle

These days the Russians are always saying they crossed the river and attacked Pryvillia .But there has never been an accurate report.

xpoint

The message I got is that Russia has established 6 river crossing points and successfully established bridgeheads. I did not check the source, maybe there will be accurate news today or tomorrow.

Ronald Verweij

Hmm, are you russian?……….

xpoint

Let’s give up identity so as not to lead the conversation into personal attacks. Put the facts on the table. You can show your evidence. I have not confirmed that Russia crossed the river. Like you, I have seen photos of the bombed Russian pontoon bridge, and I have not seen the Russian army crossing the river. I’m just saying there is such an uncertain news. We can wait for follow-up reports.

P

Could you tell me what (hypothetical) event will make you change your opinion and see the war is going bad for Russia? Is there any such event thinkable for you?

Mark

@XPOINT This guy analyzed the footage of the river crossing. He came to the conclusion that one army build a pontoon-bridge and there was a tank battle between both armies for a week. https://greatwarchannel.medium.com/%D0%BF%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B0-%D0%BF%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B0-922630a9ab71

Guilherme

Nah, Russians don’t have access to free internet.
He is just a Pro Russia that doesn’t want to live in Russia itself.

Comment

Negative success:)

Volodymyr Akimov

OK, now you’ve got a great typo. For a village “Rusky Tyshky” you wrote “Rusky Tushky” (Руські Тушки), which means “Russian corpses”.

Yrral

The first casualty of war,is the truth