День вторгнення 424 - Підсумок
Підсумковий огляд ситуації з російським вторгненням в Україну за останні 48 годин, станом на 23 квітня 2023 року - 22:00 (за київським часом).
Слобідський фронт
включає територію між річками Оскіл та Айдар
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Lyman Pershyi
Сіверський Донець
оглядова карта околиць Слов'янська, Краматорська, Бахмута та Лисичанська
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Білогорівка
Бахмутський фронт
включає околиці Бахмута
- Artillery of Ukrainian 30th Mechanized Brigade shelled Russian positions north-east of Orikhovo-Vasylivka. (джерело)
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Hryhorivka, Bohdanivka, Khromove, Bakhmut, Ivanivske
Місто Бахмут
місто Бахмут
- Wagner mercenaries reached the road north-west of Khromove. Heavy fighting continues, Ukrainian defenders are attempting to push the enemy back. (джерело)
- The provisional bridge laid out by Ukrainian Army at Khromove was destroyed, the road is no longer usable. (джерело)
- Fighting continues in the area of the main train station and in the north-western part of Bakhmut.
- A tank of Ukrainian 93rd Mechanized Brigade engaged Wagner mercenaries in the south-western part of Bakhmut. (джерело)
Авдіївський фронт
включає околиці Авдіївки
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Novokalynove, Pervomaiske
Донецький фронт
включає центр і південну частину Донецької області
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Маринка
Запорізький фронт
включає Запорізьку область
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Активності не зафіксовано.
Каланчацький фронт
включає лівий берег Дніпра на південь від Херсона та Каховки
- Ukrainian reconnaissance group landed at the island north of Oleshky, and entered the dachas area. (джерело)
- Another Ukrainian reconnaissance group landed at Kruhlyk island and entrenched itself in the dachas area. (джерело)
Повна мапа
Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.
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Ця коротка інформація та детальні карти ґрунтуються на наступних джерелах:
Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні медіа-канали обласних державних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ) та геолокаційні відеоматеріали.
Ми також дякуємо наступним користувачам Twitter за їх геолокацію та чудову роботу: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya та команді @geoconfirmed.
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The Russians published this video near the Antonov bridge https://t.me/RVvoenkor/43456
What we are supposed to see?
I just see 2 russian talking . May be near antonov bridge. if its antonov bridge on the left bank, russia control this area since a year.
https://www.google.com/maps/@46.6602906,32.7210337,3a,40y,355.17h,94.77t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sAF1QipOn7QexlU4SzJ4i7Dve7gsgZw_GYdUVp2bde-3Y!2e10!7i1920!8i1080
vsemy pesda anyways
Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Directorate head Budanov says 120,000 Russian soldiers conscripted during fall 2022 mobilization remain in Russia and not all of them in condition to fight in Ukraine: News Outlet via Pravda Ukraine.
This confirms my long-held view that a significant proportion of the 300,000 soldiers mobilized in Sept-Nov 2022 are still not taking part in hostilities.
The 120 000 conscripted are NOT part of the 300 000 mobilized. Tha’s two different things.
Conscription happens twice a year and concern all young males to give them a first military experience. They are not supposed to fight.
Mobilization is exceptional and concern only men with former millitary experience (at least officially). They are the ones who fight in Ukraine.
If so, there is translation issue as the Budanov quote mentions both the words conscription and mobilization.
You forget the fact that people use both words interchangeably, even the Ukrainian Defense intelligence directorate head as it seems.
What he was most likely referring to were the 300k mobilised tho, given the specific time of the year in 2022.
so it is safe to assume that 120k of the 300k mobilised troops are still in Russia, training and waiting, since approx.6 months now.
“Soviet soldiers in Afghanistan lacked the proper military tactics for guerrilla warfare in Afghanistan’s rugged mountainous terrain and many of the Soviet troops were young conscripts untested in combat.” Copy from Wiki. As you see conscripts also fight. When there is mobilisation the regular conscription is cancelled as they are incorporated in the mobilisation. You sent the experienced and keep
Keep back the inexperienced. Evey draft has an average of 130-135.000 conscripts which is the number approximately of the people that are kept back for training as mentioned by Budanov.
The regular consctiption was not cancelled because of mobilization. There was a round in autumn, and another one now. The 120k are those regular conscripts who are not supposed to fight in the “special military operation” (it’s still not a war, according to Putin, so no conscript sent to fight). And so far, there are no evidence that those conscripts have fought in Ukraine.
Now, if you think that those conscripts can change anything on the battlefield, or if you think that Russia still have a massive offensive potential after the humiliating failure of their winter offensive, you’re just delusional.
The only thing that worries me is that Western countries don’t provide enough weapons and ammunition to Ukraine. That’s a shame.
He specified the period of mobilisation. It’s not conscripted soldiers. Some people just try to fabricate arguments so they can justify their claims. Possibly Russia isn’t able to support without problem 300.000 soldiers at the front at the same time so they preferred to sent a part of them an keep the rest in reserve and training. Like Ukraine also does. They don’t send whatever they have
Ruzzia also has to keep a “home” army incase NATO really do get invoved.
Also to suppress any possible uprisings.
Either Kherson is fake, or this is the very very very early reconnaissance to try get a mobile bridge so they can cross and establish a “beach head” on the other side of the Dniepr later.
Would make sense to push to Crimea to repell the russian navy and destroy the bridge linking to russia to secure the south once & for all.
But what would happen on the east front then.
Something known as a diversion ….. Like the Kharkiv / Kherson offensives … they can begin a spearhead in Crimea to pierce this front and attract Russian troops from Donbass then counter attack to Bakhmout area which will be free of Russians since Prigojine seems completely afraid of UKR counter offensive(s) see his last déclarations….
I will add that UKR army received lots and lots of pontoons and mobile bridges from France, Germany and USA… I saw ( i’m french ) lots of specialized bridges for deep rivers crossing that were transported to Ukraine
If Ukraine tries to cross the swamp in large numbers, Russia can simply blow up the Kakhovka dam and drown them. So first, they’d have to seize the dam. It’s not impossible, just very risky.
If we see something happening around the dam, then we’ll know it’s for real.
No, it’s not in the Russian strategic interest to blow up the dam. Most Russian fortifications go from west to east to block a push from the north to the south. If the dam were to be blown up, some Ukrainians would drown, but this would make any future push across the Dnipr for the Ukrainians a lot easier, since the river and the reservoir would become narrow, enabling them to bypass the trenches
You may be right. But in a scenario where the Ukrainians are already crossing the swamp, the Russians might decide that this is the least-bad option.
No it’s not, crossing the Dnipr is hard [citation needed]. If Ukrainians get stuck on the other side, all the Russians need to do is to reinforce their troops and capture the Ukrainians, since they can’t retreat. Any serious Dnipr crossings must involve a lot of soldiers and equipment
The dam to crimea canal ?
Losing the water supply to Crimea is a price that the military might be willing to pay. They’d probably think “let the civilians deal with it, it’s not our problem”.
And if Ukraine takes the left bank, they’d cut off the water anyway.
People keep talking about blowing up the Dam keep forgetting that if they do that the ZZP will melt down. They are already having water issue due to the draining of the reservoir.
Plus like that RED.misfit properly referred to the landings as a beachhead and not bridgehead so many other people are mislabeling it as. Remember Ukraine now has many APC capable of river crossings.
Crossing rivers unnoticed is very difficult. The area (within a radius of 30-40 km) would have to be liberated from the Russians beforehand. River crossing takes a long time and usually complete units are pulled together. This also makes you an easy target for attack, where an entire battalion can be destroyed with one attack.
Why would they need to build a bridge or beachhead? Why can’t Ukraine just make an offensive push from Dnipro?