День вторгнення 152 - Підсумок

Підсумки 152-го дня російського вторгнення в Україну станом на 22:00 - 25 липня 2022 року (за київським часом).
Підсумки дня:
Російські війська розпочали наступ у районі Бахмута та Івано-Дарівки, а згодом витіснили українських захисників з Берестового та Вершини. Запеклі бої ведуться в районі Новолуганського та Вуглегірської ТЕС, де противник намагається просунутися вперед.
Українські війська, ймовірно, незабаром відійдуть з району електростанції, щоб уникнути оточення. Ситуація на інших ділянках фронту залишається досить стабільною, українські захисники здатні відбивати російські атаки.
Харківський фронт
включає територію Харкова та Чугуєва
Харківський та Чугуївський напрямок
- Російські війська спробували просунутися в районі Дементіївки, щоб отримати повний контроль над населеним пунктом. Атаку було відбито.
Бахмутський фронт
включає околиці Бахмута
- Противник безуспішно намагався просунутися в бік Бахмутського з боку Володимирівки.
- Українські захисники відбили російські атаки у напрямку Покровського. Противник вів наступ на двох напрямках - Клинове та Володимирівка.
- Російські війська захопили населений пункт Вершина і спробували використати новозавойовані позиції для просування на південь. Маневр був викритий і зупинений українськими військами.
- Противник намагався просунутися в бік Семигір'я з боку Роти. Українські військові відбили атаку. Утримання населеного пункту зараз є критично важливим для українських захисників у цьому районі.
- Незважаючи на великі втрати, російські війська успішно просунулися в напрямку Вуглегірської ТЕС і увійшли на територію комплексу. Тривають запеклі бої.
- Українські захисники відбили російську атаку в районі Новолуганського.
Слов'янський фронт
включає околиці Слов'янська та Краматорська
Слов'янський напрямок
- Українські війська відбили російську атаку в районі Богородичного. Противник не зміг отримати повний контроль над населеним пунктом.
- Російські війська атакували українські позиції у Верхньокам'янському з боку Білогорівки та Верхньокам'янки. Атаку було відбито, ворог відступив.
- Противник отримав повний контроль над населеним пунктом Берестове та намагався просунутися в напрямку Івано-Дарівки. Спроба прориву була зупинена захисниками.
- Російські війська також атакували Івано-Дарівку з боку Верхньокам'янки, але безуспішно.
- З району населеного пункту Спірне ведуться запеклі бої. Повідомляється, що противник намагається прорвати українські позиції.
Сіверський Донець
оглядова карта околиць Слов'янська, Краматорська, Бахмута та Лисичанська
Донецький фронт
включає центр і південну частину Донецької області
Донецька область
- На Донецькому фронті нічого не змінилося.
Запорізький фронт
включає Запорізьку область
Запорізька область
- На Запорізькому фронті змін не відбулося.
Херсонський фронт
включає околиці Херсона та Миколаєва
- Українські військові відбили атаку росіян на Андріївку з боку Сухого Ставука.
- Також захисники відбили атаку росіян на Білозірку з боку Брушкінського.
Українська сторона оголосила суворе ембарго на всю інформацію, що стосується Херсонської області та просування українських військ. Єдиним дозволеним джерелом для цієї області є звіти українського Генерального штабу.
Повна мапа
Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.
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Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні медіа-канали обласних державних адміністрацій України, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ), геолокаційні відеоматеріали та прес-релізи Збройних сил Росії, самопроголошених "ДНР" та "ЛНР
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It really feels like the battle for Kherson is getting closer. Something in the air. I imagine it will be launched around 2:00 am or 3:00 am. We’ll see.
Anyone know what the status of the railway bridge east of kherson is? I keep reading russia can t transfer heavy equipment over the dienper anymore.
S. diskussion below. Different opinions. I would say: yes, it is closed, but the piles are not damaged. At least on video: https://t.me/rybar/36197
But there are enough other possibilities to transfer the things over Dnepr.
Thats the highway bridge, i meant the railroad bridge a little further east.
Ok, I see two rokets were done, but is it destroyed or not – really no information after quickly searching.
Strelkov wrote in his telegram now that also damaged, probably really; because russian army trying to build pontoon crossings.
The bridge was hit last night as well, no further details are known.
The Russians yesterday took the largest thermal power plant in Europe and the surrounding areas, approached Artemovsk, but these are all local successes. I do not understand the tactics of the Russian Armee at all. Are they waiting for the offensive of the VSU, for a counterattack? No idea.
there is none. As there is no ‘plan’, they just are pushing forward making the stuff along the way. What is important is that the majority of the fights is done by mercenaries.
No, Wagner’s group is not really big and only on this Artemovsk-area. Other are DNR/LNR-separatists and, I would say 70%, regular russian army. And off course aviation and heavy artillery are also from regular russian army.
Since the operational tactic is gone due to lag of artillery ammunition, there is no tactic anymore. Russia will switch to pure defense sooner or later. Taking the donbas is out of the question.
Remembered. I personally disagree with this conclusion, but time will tell who was right.
Balakliya. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1552266835080450049
Also, the Antonovsky Bridge in Kherson might be now completely destroyed after a series of strikes by the UA at night. Apparently, the UA conducted the strikes while the RU was transporting weapons across the bridge. Double success.
Source?
Local russian occupant confirm that the bridge is closed.
On vidéo, the strikes are concentrate on only one point. No sign of secondary explosion.
Wait and see, to know if the bridge is destroyed.
Liveua has it now. Apparently the military has confirmed a strike: https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/27-july-ukrainian-military-confirmed-precise-strike-at-antonivsky
But there’s nothing mentioned in the morning update.
The bridge is destroyed in your wet dreams. Yes, it is closed, but the piles are not damaged. At least on video: https://t.me/rybar/36197
But this will not save the Nazis, don’t hope.
you have asked for a ban with the last sentence. Could the mods deliver, please?
Your “russian okkupant” is also enough for ban and you beginned it.
Don’t provoke and no one will touch you.
they are occupants (RF occupies teritory of the another state, how you call it?) so..? You are using descriptors which are a) false b) intentionally derogatory c) have got dehumanisation function. And that ‘Lavrov tone’ is telling.
Save your didactic tone for your children or wife. You think that this territory is occupied, but I think that it is Russian and THEY (not we!) just get it back. May I have my own opinion? Thank you. Therefore, leave your interpretations and discuss the purely technical side of the war.
Its not a question of opinion. Ukrain is not par of russia. Keep your propanga for your Children.
You mean the Ruzzian Nazis? Adolf Putin dear boy!
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1552198677388730369
This is the only video circulating in different outlets and social media:
https://youtu.be/ZhilWQGGMAU
Not destroyed, but severely damaged, apparently the bridge is unusable at the moment
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/58451
Yes, it is closed, but the piles are not damaged. At least on video: https://t.me/rybar/36197
This Ukrainian blog posted an update on the situation on the ground from the Russian perspective. It is interesting how little optimistic Russians are about their own chances.
https://wartranslated.com/igor-girkin-frontline-situation-26-july-2022/
Girkin’s ‘doom-messaging’ it’s his own (and other ‘hawks’) agenda. He’s pushing for a ‘serious war’ from the beginning. Still he is (among a few others like Murz) interesting as an another layer of Russian ‘multiverse of madness’. Smtms he’s also providing a rare glimpse into reality of proxies’.
Do we have any information of Rudneve? Since early July there was still russian presence. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1551984753225732101
This is my bad, I missed it and there has been no recent activity in the area if I recall correctly. Thanks for sharing, I’ll fix it for the next update.
OT (my forum acc seemed to be blocked, deleted) but of interest for the war: yale: russian economy imploding: https://ukrainetoday.org/2022/07/26/crippling-western-sanctions-are-hitting-russia-much-harder-that-putin-is-letting-on-say-yale-economists/
Winter is coming for russia.
Oil price stable around 100, so its 80 or less for russia at rising transport and production costs. Winter is very coming for russia.
Yeah, are you an economics specialist? And here I am – because of work – I see the state of auto and engineering in Europe, also in the world but not much. So I can say that while the “ass” comes right there, in these branches. And winter is coming in Europe, not in Russia. But stay in your dream.
I am an economist. Europe will have a recession next year, like the whole west and the rest of the world with it. By the way, that will drop oil prices further. Russia is doing a deep dive and it will last. Germany will be a colder, rich place. Russias winter will last very long.
Recent crises show that a crisis in the economy has not always affected the price of oil and gas. Or influenced with a delay. I see this in the example of the automotive and mechanical engineering: now there is a powerful crisis, and oil / gas prices are higher than ever.
But I personally don’t give a shit about the problems of both Russia and Ukraine. It is much more important for me that MY family and MY house don’t freeze. You are also worried about the same problems, right?
Most people I know (UK) couldn’t give two hoots about Russia whatsoever. On the other hand we do care about Ukraine and Ukrainians who have been subjected to this terrible ordeal all in the pursuit of one mans personal vendetta.
Seriously, i dont give a … about the temperature at home this winter. My mother hungered a whole winter, got her home bombed to ashes twice and half of my country was occupied by russia till i was a young man. I dont have to freeze, but ill do it gladly. F… russia.
What the country is it: “..half of your one was occupied from russia, got mother’s home bombed to ashes twice..”???????? I have no idea. REALLY.
I thought that the UA forces should be able to hold the powerplant in the Bakhmut area for longer. Any ideas of why the RU troops are able to gain terrain there? More RU troops, UA troops being worn out? How significant would that loss be for Ukraine?
That plant was at the frontline for ever…
I don’t think the loss of it would be to significant, as long as they don’t get encircled there. The Russians are pushing, probably because of more manpower in the Donbas. Both sides are pretty worn out I would assume, I think that after the loss of the powerplant the troops there will regroup
Eh, it trims the lines for the Ukrainians. They held that salient for a long time and made the Russians pay to get there. Where do the Russians go from here? They’re likely spent in terms of trying to take the Donbas.
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ / General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine | Facebook
“In the direction of Bakhmut, the enemy is firing artillery in the areas of the settlements of Berestove (..) Assault actions in the areas of the settlements of Berestove and Semihirya ended with losses and retreat.”
Guess that puts Berestove back into the “contested rubble” category.
Russians keep going forward. Does anyone have indication how many troops are now fighting on both sides?
Going? Creeping, at the most.
Both sides have about 200k each in the frontline, but Ukraine has technically about 500k-700k in disposal, but they are all barley trained recruits, so I wouldn’t count on them to be a big help on the front. Both Russia and Ukraine lose a lot of really good units each day making pushes harder
Thx. As I remember this is same number before war started. I just wonder what they (UA) are waiting for? Somehow I do not see much will from UA to go forward and fight back. What is seen in the news is that RUs are having problem with morale but with same number of solders they are moving forward.
Where did you get 200k on russian side? They started with ~160k…
proxies and mercenaries adds up to the numbers. And these numbers accounting to that are actually higher (if you believe ‘sources’ like Murz&Girkin) ~+100k. Using proxies, ‘volunteers’, PMCs etc. allows RF to hide real losses, too.
Still, it’s not like they didn’t receive any losses. They don’t have that many PMCs and volounteers to cover losses.
that wasn’t my point. What I was saying regarded the force’s engaged and losses reported/speculated discrepancies. So at the same moment RF can have ‘very low losses’ (among enlisted personnel) and ‘very high’ (among proxies and mercs which are not reported in any way at all).
I dont see any recent number. But 200k in each side is probably under.
Ukrain probably (without people still in formation) between 300k and 500k. Principaly in Light infantery and artillery.
Russia(proxy include, but not marin/aviation) probably between 200k and 300k. Principaly in tank/artillery
Jerome: How do you interprete today’s morning briefing by the UA MoD noting “repelled enemy assaults in the National Nature Park ‘Svyati Hory’”? The Park mostly lies on the N/E bank of the S. Donets, w. smaller parts S. of Mazanivka and S. of Bohorodychne.
I’d say somewhere near Bohorodychne, possibly towards Tetyanivka.
Kinda off-topic but remember when Wagner attacked a US position (500 Russo-Syrian troops vs 40 americans) in Syria in 2018? And Russians lost 80% of their troops while the USA lost a grand total of 0? Not even a wounded? I guess we had to realize by then how much of a joke Russians are at war.
misleading title since it’s not known if any of them was from the wagner group always saying 200-300 pro-regime forces
also do you remeber when the UK said that russia could never win the battle of aleppo or even turn the tide of the war, because it seemed impossible? now guess what they did..
Russians are doing very well right now in Ukraine they have reset their troop’s positions and are killing Ukrainians in mass numbers more Ukrainian civilians and soldiers have died than Russian soldiers. And Russia is making steady advancements in Ukraine.
That army was composed of syrians which had russians which signed off as mercenaries through the Wagnar group. 10 russian mercenaries died and that were commanded by the Syrians so i don’t see your point. Mercenaries from a country and the country itself are two different things.
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