День вторгнення 104 - Підсумок
Підсумки 104-го дня російського вторгнення в Україну станом на 22:00 - 7 червня 2022 року (за київським часом).
Підсумки дня:
Жодна зі сторін не здобула нових значущих перемог протягом останніх двох днів. Обидві сторони зосереджуються переважно на використанні артилерії і, по суті, намагаються знекровити свого супротивника. Кількість втрат стрімко зростає, і та сторона, яка зможе витримати таку тактику довше, швидше за все, переможе.
Російська армія продовжує наносити удари по прикордонних районах Сумської області та тримає до трьох БТГ поблизу кордону.
Харківський фронт
включає територію Харкова та Чугуєва
частково сонячно. ~26 °C
Обстріл: Околиці Харкова, Базилівка
У Харківській області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.
Сіверський Донець
включає територію Слов'янська, Краматорська та Бахмута
частково сонячно. ~27 °C
Обстріли: Грушуваха, Велика Комишуваха, Червона Поляна, Корулька, Шнурки, Долина, Лисичанськ, Борівське
Слов'янський напрямок
- Російські війська атакували українські позиції у Довгому та Долині. Обидві атаки були успішно відбиті.
- Російські війська увійшли на східну околицю Святогірська. На оприлюднених сьогодні кадрах видно зруйнований міст біля Святогірського Кавського монастиря.
- За даними українського Генштабу, у Щуровому та Старому Каравані все ще зберігається певна присутність українських військ. Але все вказує на те, що вони скоро будуть відведені за Сіверський Донець. Однак все вказує на те, що незабаром вони відійдуть за Сіверський Донець.
Сєвєродонецький напрямок
- Російські війська відкинули більшість українських досягнень і відтіснили їх до промислової зони на південному заході. Запеклі бої тривають.
- Українські військові відбили атаку на свої позиції під Борівським.
Бахмутський напрямок
- Російські війська знову спробували прорвати українські позиції в районі Берестового та Білогорівки, щоб захопити трасу, яка з'єднує Бахмут і Лисичанськ. Їм це не вдалося.
- Противник намагався прорватися до Вугледарської ТЕС зі сходу та півдня, але не зміг прорвати першу лінію української оборони.
Південно-Східний фронт
включає Донецьку та Запорізьку області
частково сонячно. ~28 °C
Донецька область
Обстріли: Піски, Авдіївка, Кам'янка
У Донецькій області не відбулося жодних змін.
Запорізька область
Обстріли: околиці Оріхова та Гуляйполя
У Запорізькій області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.
Херсонський фронт
включає околиці Херсона та Миколаєва
здебільшого хмарно. ~29 °C
Обстріли: Миколаїв, Луч, Благодатне, Широке, Токареве
Українські військові відбили ворожу атаку у напрямку Лозового та Білої Криниці, підтвердивши, що обидва населених пункти знаходяться під їхнім контролем.
Як повідомляється, українські гелікоптери здійснили наліт на місце збору в тилу росіян і завдали значної шкоди угрупованню противника.
Повна мапа
Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.
Карти та стаття базуються на наступних джерелах:
Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні канали українських обласних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Міністерства оборони України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ), прес-релізи російської армії, "ДНР" та "ЛНР" (з певною долею умовності)
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Remember to ban posts by X-point that push Russian media talking points about how, after murdering and raping their way through Ukraine, that they think they can murder hundreds of millions of people in nuclear fire and go to heaven for it:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/russian-state-tv-vladimir-putin-may-start-a-nuclear-war-but-we-are-ready-to-die
Regarding Jerome’s accuracy… I spent, in total, about five weeks delivering food/medical equipment etc and doing evacuations, mostly from Drobysheve in a ragged line across to Sievierdonetsk. We used his information and maps when deciding where we could and could not go and they seemed very accurate to us. Of course there will be some errors but we and both the charities we worked with trusted the information here. Don’t believe the pro-invasion trolls here.
The paid trolls really do their job in that they make it impossible for people to have reasonable, informed, conversations where information can be shared in a useful way. Jerome does a great job with the material he presents here so his site gets a lot of attention from different bloggers and organizations. So, of course, some of the paid, trained, propagandists are on the job relentlessly to dump on and derail every conversation. They… Читати далі »
Russian disinformation and cheerleaders are strong in this page author, you should probably ban most of the pro Russians here who support the murder and rape of their victims.
Even Churchill and Zelensky had to limit propaganda.
Idk it would feel empty in the chat without them, i kinda like the banter in the chat too
I think spaces like this wind up deprived of a lot of curious people who actually want to find information and others who want to share information. It takes little time before decent people just give up on trying to use spaces like this to learn anything when the troll farms get a forum on their radar. It’s just too easy to degrade every conversation into a meaningless back and forth that does nothing but… Читати далі »
In the Donbass region the Ruzzians are using seperatists troops to try and take Ukrainian positions after bombardment.
This is because the Ruzzians can claim that their troops are not being killed or wounded in action.
Is that being clever, cynical or devious or all three.
The author writes that Russia only entered the eastern outskirts of Sviatohirsk. Meanwhile, there is already an official confirmation of the Russian Defense Minister about the occupation of Svyatogorsk, in addition, there are plenty of photos, video confirmations
ruZZuab defense minister is a known and proven liar. Nobody really listens to him anymore.
Russian official sources are just not in a hurry to announce the capture of cities. Well, you can certainly believe the Ukrainian official sources, according to their version, a successful extraction operation took place from Azovstal
Russian (official) sources are generally in a hurry to announce anything that remotely looks like a success. I cant count the times I’ve read Mariupol was captured before it actually happened. The bridge across the Dniester Estuary was reported destroyed 5 times before it was actually heavily damaged. In the beginning of the war the Russian reports kept claiming literally hundreds of military targets were hit each day. The biggest reason for me not to… Читати далі »
What you write does not correspond to reality and it is easy to check. The capture of Mariupol was reported twice by Russian officials at the level of the Minister of Defense or the President. For the first time on April 21, with the reservation that the Azovstal plant remains completely surrounded under the control of Ukraine. For the second time after the surrender of the Ukrainian military from Azovstal. The bridge over the Dniester… Читати далі »
Yeah sure, if you announce the same stuff 5 times through different channels, theres bound to be 1 right eventually. The bridge was hit only 3 times. 2 times the damage was insignificant. The last time the bridge required several weeks of repairs. Of course you can fire a shotgun at a tank and claim heavy damage was done because theres some scratches in the paint. Of course the level of sources you mention hardly… Читати далі »
That’s because they did extract, reinforce and resupply a number of times with helicopters.
Zachar is spreading disinformation, author should remove their post.
As in Russia is a verified constant liar. Zachar is reinforcing their lies here.
You can’t justify your words, so you need to delete mine?
You are putin blood puppet, gloating in ruzzian cruelty and barbarism
When the US bombed Yugoslavia and Iraq, was it not barbarism? When Ukraine strikes the center of Donetsk with artillery, is it not barbarism? Whose puppet are you?
Even if, did they kill civilians in cold blood? Did they lock them up in basements untill they suffocated? Did they rape women? Your “whataboutism” is pathetic.
About rape, this is a cheap cosplay of Goebbels propaganda, the Ukrainian ombudsman Denisova, who was fired for lying, said the most about them. Moreover, she herself admitted that it was a lie in order to maintain the interest of Western philistines and achieve the supply of weapons
She’s not the only one who claimed it, there are multiple sources. And your answer is only to one part of my message.
If anyone knows about propaganda, it’d definitely be you.
Isnt there some blood of dead children you can go bathe in, rather than post your disgusting vile garbage here?
How many times Russian official source announce the capture of Lyman before it was true? And its just one example.
Officially announced once. And they really occupied the city
Must be horrible to think like a ruzzian. How long does it take to be like that, sad so sad!
When there is nothing to object to the facts, you are left to write incoherent nonsense. It’s really sad
What facts – Ruzzian nazis are cruel and barbaric – we know that.
This is disinformation, author should remove.
I remember so many official confirmations that were far from the reality on the battlefield. Any statement from the Russian side needs to be supported by photos/videos and geolocated.
And yet, you didn’t post a single one. I saw several, neither of them was confirmation that Russian forces occupy the whole town.
I mean the words of the first persons – the Minister of Defense and the President of Russia, they are very cautious. And their statements about the occupation of the city at least deserve attention
Makes no difference, it’s still a Russian source.
Just like molotov bread baskets 😉
https://t.me/wargonzo/7231 video confirming the occupation of Svyatogorsk
haha, wargonzo? They guy who got catched mutliple times staging his “reports” from frontline? xD
The city is under Russian control, so the video was shot by a pro-Russian reporter. This is logical. It would be very strange if a pro-Ukrainian reporter shot a video from a Russian-controlled city. However, you can continue to tell the tales of your Ukrainian propagandists
You are missing the point, and as usually try to muddy the waters. I’m saying he’s not trustworthy because he got catched while staging his reports, whats so difficult to understand in that? I haven’t said anything about Ukrainian sources, what are you talking about?
what difference does it make who shot the video if it clearly shows that Svyatogorsk is under Russian control? By the way, the author has already indicated in the next review that Svyatogorsk is under the control of Russia. Or do you still disagree with this? That’s the point
Can anyone predict how long the Ukrainian army can hold out at Sievierodonetsk?
The information is so mixed up that I can no longer judge the situation in the city .
The city is under Russian control, with the exception of the industrial zone, Ukraine is gradually withdrawing troops to Lisichansk
Russians made no advance in Donetsk area in about five days. That kinda looks sad to me. They are running out of momentum fast. On the other hand I read about further arms for Ukraine from every nation of western world daily. Russia window of opportunity is closing fast.
In Donetsk, no one will attack head-on, on positions that have been fortified for 8 years. The Western world does not supply any weapons capable of seriously influencing something, the supplies of heavy weapons are rather symbolic, even President Zelensky declared Russia’s technical superiority yesterday, and this will not change
Michal, Russians making no advance looks really good to me. Criminal attacks should not work. We have to make sure of that. Every nation should rest in peace inside that nations borders. The war is on Ukrainian territory.
the point is not this I guess , russians will get severodonetsk at the end , what is important for ukraine is to keep the occupiers busy over there while counterattacking somewhere else (south , for example )
Until they have high ground in Lysychansk and logistic routes on its wet side are safe they will hold i think. After all this area is easy to make safe withdraw. Russians gona have hard time there if they won’t cut them off supplies.
It’s worth noting that the “incredibly shrinking Russian offensive” made everyone assign more weight to fall of Sievierodonetsk, as if this will change the fate of Ukraine… it won’t. The strategic importance of capturing this burned out city will be the fact the Russians won’t need to die in street battles there, but rather in battles over the next urban holdout.
@Needle, I don’t think anyone knows. The city doesn’t have major strategic value, yet appears to have high political value for Russia and increasingly so for Ukraine. With artillery on the higher ground in Lysychansk, it appears to offer the Ukrainians a chance to hammer Russian forces who are throwing a lot of their combat capability into the fight. I assume the Ukrainian’s will withdraw once the damage they are inflicting is no longer worth… Читати далі »
The city itself doesn’t really mean that much, keeping the Russians busy fighting for it for as long as possible, maximising cost of operation for them, is what matters. It might fall, it might not. More likely than not. Of course it will be spun and made into a propaganda victory for Putin — but that is in the short-term. Long-term, I completely fail to see how the Russians can translate any gain on the… Читати далі »
Well, well, well, well… raiding their Belarusian vassal for equipment:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-31
You do great work! i hope the west keep the weapons coming in and ukraine to be able to do contra offensive late summer. Also i hope we soon see the harpoons from denmark in action
Grind time continues in Donbas. Meanwhile weird things afoot in the south with Russia pulling out of some places and possibly building a force to try to drive up to Zaporhizhia. Some analysts seem to think the T-62s are slated for offensive operations there.
I’ve seen reports on Twitter feeds that all this reserve Russian forces (and the column of old T-62s) are heading to the Kherson lines.
That would definitely seem to make more sense in light of Ukraine’s apparent advances in the area and the strategic importance of the place. But we’ve also seen that Putin may at times be ordering his army into costly drives towards largely symbolic objectives so I’m not necessarily counting on them doing the thing that makes sense.
What successes? Ukraine failed the counteroffensive near Kherson and rolled back even further, suffering heavy losses, Russia occupied Belaya Krinitsa on the other side of the Ingulets River, Davydov Ford is again occupied by Russia
Nuts… I dont know why you Orks do this.
The really relentless ones are often the paid trolls trained in derailing the flow of conversation online. I’m puzzled why so many people still seem to doubt their very existence when their presence in online forums is so obvious and intelligence agencies have clearly shown that this is what is going on. I mean, why wouldn’t authoritarian regimes take advantage of the democratic world’s belief in freedom of information in this way? Troll farms aren’t… Читати далі »
Paradoxically, the enemy becomes a friend in this regard; Russia is a freedom of speech maximalist on behalf of Western countries, for instance Russian trolls on Twitter, because that opens the window and secures the free flow of their own propaganda into these Western countries.