Invasion Day 9 – Summary

The summary of the ninth day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, 4th of March 2022.

Ukrainian forces continue to defend strategically important areas, but the Donbas frontline is approaching a critical stage. Crucial battles are ahead of us.

Southern frontline

Mykolaiv area

Russian forces attacked and briefly captured Kulbakyne airport on the eastern edge of Mykolaiv. Ukrainian forces conduced a successful counter-attack and pushed the enemy forces out of the area in the afternoon. Spearheading element still roams somewhere in the north, there is no info about it at this moment.

Russian troops are amassing in the area between Mykolaiv and Kherson and will most likely attack Mykolaiv in upcoming hours.

Tokmak area

Russian forces captured Enerhodar and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. The nuclear power plan was defended by Ukrainian 2nd battalion of PPISF of Ukrainian National Guard. They stood no chance against Russian tanks.

Russian Army reportedly repaired a bridge in Vasylivka, but we cannot confirm it. There are no reports of what’s happening east of Tokmak.

Northern frontline

Kyiv area

There is large concentration of Russian troops between Borodianka, Hostomel airfield and Motyzhyn. Recent drone footage reveled that Ukrainian forces flooded the area in the vicinity of Irpin river. That explains why Russian forces’ advance stagnates in this area.

Chernhiv area

The enemy concentrates several strike groups near Chernihiv, but haven’t attacked yet. The city and Ukrainian forces “survived” another day of heavy shelling.

Ichnia area

A Russian spearheading force is moving south and west. Ukrainian forces destroyed two tanks near Rusaniv. Kyiv-Poltava highway (M-03) remains under Ukrainian control at this moment, but it is most likely the goal of the spearheading force.

Eastern frontline

Sumy area

There are enemy elements between Hadiach and Zinkiv. Some reports say Sumy is surrounded, but we cannot confirm it. Sumy remains in Ukrainian hands.

Kharkiv area

Russian forces continue to shell Kharkiv. Ukrainian forces launched a counter-attack east of Kharkiv, but it’s too early for results.

Donbas frontline

Izium area

Russian convoy reached Izium. Fierce fighting was reported from the area, but Ukrainian forces repelled the attack and continue to hold on.

Luhansk area

Russian forces reached Novopskov, and it is just a matter of time when they announced the capture of the remaining area in between. There is nothing Ukraine can do at this moment.

The focus shifts to Slovyansk and Izium now. Russian forces are reportedly moving from Svatove towards Slavyansk and will most likely try to cut the Ukrainian forces stationed there from the rest.

The battles of Slavyansk/Kramatorsk and Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk will decide the fate of Ukrainian troops in the northern part of Donbas.

Donetsk area

Russian troops de-facto captured Volnovakha and advanced towards Rozivka. If Russian forces captures Rozivka, it’ll be very hard for Ukraine to break the siege of Mariupol.

Mariupol

Russian forces reportedly entered the factory area in the north of Mariupol, shelled Manhush and Nikolske in the west. Mariupol is without electricity, water and heading. Ukrainian forces are firmly holding the line, but the enemy has superiority. Ukraine needs to act quickly.

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter for the latest updates on Ukraine.

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Bruce

I believe Putin will escalate the violence because he cannot remain in power if he retreats and he cannot sustain a war of attrition. He will begin using his TOS-1 thermobaric missiles against Kyiv and increase the use of standoff artillery. He needs to kill Zelensky, and a concentrated and sustained barrage against Zelensky’s last know location is the logical way to kill him. He may also attack a NATO offensive arms trans-shipment point, then dare NATO to join the fight. No matter how much restraint is shown, he’ll fire a tactical Nuke against a NATO unit deployed on the Polish border. Or (because he’s KGB) he will launch an attack against an entirely new target, perhaps in the Baltics, or against .a ship in the Med. He will seek to regain the initiative and to strike fear in the West.

Church_Hill

This is a great site, thank you for all the info.

God bless Ukraine

Anonymous

The farther the Russians advance the harder it will be to maintain and defend their already poor logistics.

And, they cannot simply apply the whole manpower to the frontlines anymore. On the other hand Ukranians will be able to further concentrate their forces. They also have less positions to care about. With almost complete population support Guerilla tactics behind the lines could turnout to be almost not defendable. Furthermore, the harder the Russians may fight Guerilla forces in already occupied areas and the more brutal they act the higher the probability of these people taking arms. Advances as seen behind Mykolajiw can turn out to become literal death traps.

Regarding air superiorty I think that due to mass shipment of mobile anti-air weapons (which Syrian rebels and radical Islamists did not have). This kind of superiority can at least be limited. The biggest issue in my opinion is the Russian artillery. It is pretty hard to counter them.

However, destroying cities will not necessarily destroy resistance as we have seen in Syria. Defenders will adapt soon to the bombing. Ukrainias will less a lot more territory and many more cities. But it does not automatically mean they are loosing the war.

ilias

if you believed that russians forces is having suppy luck 30 km from their border (distance to harkiv) yoy are very poor. regard guerilla war in these areas take a look in election map of 2010. Many of your inquries will be solved

Anonymous

“Mykolaiv area – … Spearheading element still roams somewhere in the north, there is no info about it at this moment”. They seem to be heading toward another nuclear power plant in Yuzhnoukrainsk.

rick zimmerman

NATO and US- Get Ukraine the planes and pilots they need!!

rick

NATO and US- Get Ukraine the planes and pilots they need!!

Luke

Today’s events feel very quick. Maybe it’s just my panic coming through in reading the reports, however, the recent breakthroughs seem to have enhanced Russia’s maneuverability in some key areas. This is what concerns me. The Russians have room to be flexible and have the numbers to support it, whereas the Ukrainians are forced in a bitter defensive and faced with increasingly less options.

Those poor people. To be in a besieged city without food, water, electricity, and safety from harm. Here, while writing this, I sit with a frozen meal I purchased for $3 in a comfortable room. This isn’t an original thought, but as Churchill spoke in regards to the Boer war, may we not fall to mere sensationalism, and when the press has fallen silent, may we never forget the suffering, the deprivation, and its like wrought on common humanity.

It is disheartening to say the least. While you might recognize that Ukraine didn’t stand a fair chance from the outset and know that the world’s nations would largely turn away, it is appallingly frank when the reality is witnessed there before you.

Thank you again though, for myself, knowing these reports have strengthened my passion for people and the values grown from them.

With Hope,

Luke