Invasion Day 80 – Summary

The summary of the 80th day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 22:00 – 14th of May 2022 (Kyiv time).

Day summary:

Ukrainian forces continue its successful operation in the area of Kharkiv, the resistance is weak as most Russian forces retreated across the border. I believe it’s now safe to say the battle of Kharkiv, the second-largest city in Ukraine, is over.

Russian army is reportedly moving additional forces to protect Zmiinyi Island and also reinforcing currently occupied positions.

Note: Due to decreasing frequency of changes on the ground, I decided to switch to bi-daily summaries and publish just the maps on the no-report days. The maps will be released on Twitter, and I’ll use the free time to improve the map itself and other stuff here, on the website. The daily summaries should return if the situation on the ground changes dramatically. Next summary will be released on Monday.

Thank you for your support and vising the site every day. I really appreciate it.

Kharkiv Frontline

includes the area of Kharkiv and Chuhuiv

rain showers | ~23 °C

Shelling: Zolochiv, Derhachi, Tsyrkuny, Chuhuiv, Husarivka

Ukrainian forces reportedly advanced towards the Russian border and regained control over at least one settlement. However, we have to wait for more details. Ukrainian Army has reportedly launched an offensive in the direction of Izium from the area of Chuhuiv today.


Siverskyi Donets

includes the area of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk and Bakhmut

light rain | ~18 °C

Shelling: Dovhenka, Dolyna, Lyman, Oleksandrivka, Lyman, Zolote

Russian forces have reached the southern outskirts of Oleksandropillia near Popasna. Situation in other areas remains unchanged.


South-Eastern Front

includes Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblast

rain showers | ~20 °C

Donetsk Oblast

Shelling: Novomykhailivka, Marinka, Avdiivka, Kamyanka

Russian troops have breached the first line of defense in the vicinity of Avdiivka and forced Ukrainians to retreat closer to the city. The enemy also made another unsuccessful attempt to capture Marinka and Novomykhalivka.

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Shelling: Orikhiv, Huliaipole

Ukrainian sources reported heavy battle in the area of Huliaipole, but no more details were published at this moment.


Azovstal

includes the Azovstal Plant in Mariupol

rain showers | ~20 °C

Fighting continues on the edge of the Azovstal plant, as well as the almost nonstop shelling of the plant itself.


Kherson Frontline

includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv

rain showers | ~23 °C

Mykolaiv Oblast

There was no change on the ground in Mykolaiv Oblast.

Kherson Oblast

Shelling: Oleksandrivka, Tavrijske, Osokorivka

There was no change on the ground in Kherson Oblast.


Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

Maps and article are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), press released of Russian Army, DPR and LPR (taken with a grain of salt)

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter & Telegram for the latest updates on Ukraine.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Baltzera

Does anyone know how many farm tractors Finland needs to join NATO?

AJ

Russia has about 109,000 troops in the Donbas including the DPR, LPR, and mercenaries. Ukraine has some 50,000 soldiers in the Donbas.

Henry Whitworth

You don’t know how many soldiers Ukraine has in the Donbas. And even if your guess was right, an attacking force trying to take thousands of square kilometers needs a much bigger ratio in their favor than that.

Russia has lost about 1/3 of the forces they committed to this war, which itself is a major part of the total combat power Putin has at his disposal. And it’s not like the other 2/3 are equal to that one they lost. The entire army will continue to lose capabilities, not just numbers, and Putin is going to push them on the offensive out of desperation for way too long. Ukraine will still be adding fresh forces with ever better weapons at that point when the Russian army hits the wall.

Meha

And we should not forget that the Russians have lost most of the well-trained soldiers and command staff, all these behind are just a reserve and are not intended for offensive action.

GwennBlei

Thank you so much for keeping us informed and updated daily for so long with such reliable information ! I’m super thankful, what you’ve done so far is super important. Thanks so much for your efforts and dedication !

Epunkt

Turkey is not a founding member of NATO, but it has been in NATO since 1952 and it is not a democratic state. But it is part of NATO for a reason, because it controls the Bosporus. A swap with Finland and Sweden would be a bad deal. And that makes it – as long as it really fulfills its obligations as a member – one of the most important strategic members. In this context, one should not forget that in 2019 it bought the Russian S400 air defense system. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan knows its strategic importance and can sell it into the well. He is just as annoyed as Putin by Western interference and the constant criticism of his human rights and freedom of the press. Now is the time to make the most of it. I think it is unlikely that he really fears the influence of the PKK and YPG from Finland and Sweden.

xpoint

It is possible that the U.S. could use the F35 in exchange for Turkey’s willingness to cooperate.

Yrral

Do Turkey have 100 million dollar for beach jets

Henry Whitworth

The fact that situation on the map hasn’t changed much for a while is a very big deal. The Russian offensive barely burns forward on their most aggressive axis and they’re running out of steam. Ukraine is going to start pushing them now. They got on the right flank of the Izium salient by driving from Kharkiv and now they’re hitting the salient itself on the bet that a lot of what Russia has out there isn’t too enthusiastic for a lot more fighting and that it’s time to f some stuff up.

Yrral

The US is Nato

Yrral

The pentagon papers are one of documents,that turn US public against the war in Vietnam,the US government untruthfulness in the war, American general do not like to be lied about thing,the same thing happened in Afghanistan,the Aghanistan government lying to the US government,about the situation on the ground in Afghanistan,the same thing can happen with Ukraine,if the Ukrainlan government is not truthful,the US know, because the have Intel on the government of Ukrainain Google Pentagon Papers Failout

P

That’s a key problem for US yes… Russia on the other hand does not have this particular problem at all….

Jan

true 😀

Alexey

are you waiting for tank breakthroughs, like in the second world war? Now positional warfare and the offensive is underway. By the way, Ukraine is divided by the river Dnieper. If the Russians want to, they will simply blow up the bridges across the Dnieper. Then heavy equipment from the west will not come to the east.

P

“By the way, Ukraine is divided by the river Dnieper. If the Russians want to, they will simply blow up the bridges across the Dnieper. Then heavy equipment from the west will not come to the east.”

The Russians than must not want to then, as the bridges are still not blown.

xpoint

Russia had no good pretext to occupy large swathes of eastern and southern Ukraine until Zelensky abandoned the agreement reached in Istanbul. The Russian army also had no good reason to expand the scale of the war and push the front to the Dnieper River. If U.S. weapons inflict serious damage on Russian troops, Russia could blow up all bridges and occupy all territory east of the Dnieper River. I think the American knows the risks, but not sure if he wants to have that effect.

Henry Whitworth

Isn’t it amazing though that just a couple of months after Russia was sure to roll into Kyiv, people looking on the bright side for them now talk about blowing up bridges to protect themselves. They’ve got that going for them.

xpoint

For Russia, there is no turning back of an arrow once it is shot. If they were to retreat, the Slavic peoples would disappear into history, although you really want. It is very dangerous to imagine a nuclear state failing, and you should give up this illusion.

Jch

Russia is attacking and killing more Slavic people than any other country, excepting perhaps Ukraine killing RA invaders. Also it’s impossible to imagine allowing an invading “nuclear state” rebuilding empire through threat of nuclear conflagration, since empire rebuilders won’t stop until the empire is confronted. Lets confront the empire now rather than later. It will be worse later. If Russia “fails” it fails. If it joins Europe as a peaceful space fairing European nation, then the world will be better off, clearly.

Henry Whitworth

It’s Russia bringing shame and destruction on Slavic people right now. Ukraine is rising and will be a powerful prosperous nation once they finally throw off Moscow’s shackles. The hope I have for the people of Russia is that this bloody disaster will serve as the last straw and lead them to throw off the filthy, backwards, authoritarian government that robs them of their freedom and prospects for a better life.

xpoint

Historically, a rule is that a weak country must not challenge his strong neighbor. The war was too long ago or so far away from Europe that the people in Europe forgot the rule. This rule is not good, but it is realistic. Very sorry to let you know about this. Also, hopefully Ukraine can become rich, strong and beautiful.

Henry Whitworth

Turns out Ukraine wasn’t so weak as Russia imagined. Not sorry to let you know about this. The sooner Putin’s garbage army breaks down and runs for the border the more lives will be saved. Then it’s up to the Russian people to decide what to do with their murderous leaders who have robbed and squandered the nation’s wealth and made them an absolute disgrace to humanity. I wish Russia all the luck in the world of joining the civilized world some day. Until then, I support my government’s efforts to arm Ukraine with everything they need to destroy the Russian army.

xpoint

Looking back at history, the Russians have always been like this. For example, in the Franco-Russian war, the German-Russian war, they often did not have enough boots, and the number of guns was not enough. They repeatedly retreated, but in the end they always miraculously survived. Of course, the same goes for Ukraine.
Continuing to discuss this war, if the scale and intensity of the war can be expanded without limit, I agree with what you said, that the United States is to defeat Russia. But we can see that this war faces many constraints. For example, the United States will not pay more and more, and US will not send planes , missiles and NATO troops into Ukraine, and the EU will not completely sanction Russia, etc.

Needle

Thank you for your work!

Combined with the ISW article, the Russian attempt to cross the river must have been a failure. It seems that, at least in the short term, the Russians will only be able to storm Sievierodonetsk.

Turkey’s attitude to NATO is puzzling. Finland may find it hard to join NATO. Of course, Turkish foreign policy is fluid, and it is impossible to predict What Mr Erdogan will do next.

Nicoo

“Turkey’s attitude to NATO is puzzling” indeed… my guess is RTE wants to bargain something. he was talking about PKK and YPG members living in Finland and Sweden. But problems between Turkey and other NATO members are not missing. Like the F35 bans, issues with Greece, France, etc. and made a lot of trouble with its neighbors (I want to remind here the fact that Cyprus was invaded by Turkey in 1974).
Also this: “Turkey has offered sea evacuation for wounded Ukrainian fighters, Erdogan adviser says” (reuters)
I wonder if Russia negotiated (if not yet, will?) with the Turkey to oppose Finland joining NATO…

Kris Wustrow

I’d happily trade Finland and Sweden for Turkey in NATO membership.

Nicoo

Well… In an alliance of 30 members you can’t expect everything to run smoothly. If Turkey was accepted it for it’s strategic position.
Turkey as a key role, I’d rather say I wish a new ruler in Turkey… a ruler more compatible with western values.
And don’t get fooled, if Turkey is out of NATO it could rather improve its relationship with Russia, making things harder for NATO in the black sea and Caucasus…

Yrral

Western values are very subjective,as an American,our values are enshrined in our Constitution with such values as equal rights for minorities,women and other gender equality and rule of law and other legal protection

Nicoo

@YRRAL
“Western values are very subjective”
indeed, but we share roots. I won’t go in details because I’m sure you can do a PhD on this topic… Tell me if you think I’m wrong, but one of these roots is to follow the next rule: “All human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights. “, which is the very beginning of Universal Declaration of Human Rights…
And with all the respect I have for the US, equality in the US can sometime be variable-geometry… present example: in Texas you can’t do an abortion after 6 weeks, meanwhile in New Mexico there is no restriction, so equality here…

xpoint

If you open the world map and look carefully at the location of Turkey, you will find that if Turkey withdraws from NATO, its effect is equivalent to the disintegration of NATO. I think you know this fact too.some deals may be made between the US and Turkey.

RutilantBossi

NATO won’t disintegrate over Turkey leaving, it will be significantly weaker losing control over the Black sea and influence in the Caucasus, but what else? If anything by losing Turkey NATO would probably be more stable as an alliance, Turkey’s been pissing Italy, Greece and other Med allies for years now.

xpoint

Yes, Turkey is just like you said. Turkey has shown its force and non-cooperation everywhere. Often harms unity and interests of NATO . His headstrong behavior is precisely because Europe and America need it and can’t kick it out. They can only accept the reality.

Piotr

Please remember – turkish army is second by number and in the top by force in NATO. No need to push them right into russian arms wide open.

TONY

Well…the Turkish army is rubbish. Whatever their numbers are, we’ve seen what this does when an army isn’t fully equipped nor well trained in a war.

RutilantBossi

Someone has any idea on the amount of troops and equipment each side has on the battleground in Donbass?

I also wonder how the current global economic crisis which is bound to happen soon will affect the war, will Ukraine receive less aid?

nicoo

“I also wonder how the current global economic crisis which is bound to happen soon will affect the war, will Ukraine receive less aid?”
hard to be sure. The US has made a lot of commitments for the coming months, so I don’t expect to see less cash and equipment flowing to Ukraine. Maybe the midterms may impact for 2023 ?
I start to think that the bridge bombed close to Odesa and the fact that the RU try hard to control Snake Island are not first military goals but economic, to block the grains export from Odesa, more globally from Ukraine… Putin’s mafia will put more pressure on the global economy.. especially countries who depend of Ukraine wheat…

xpoint

I posted a similar comment yesterday, but unfortunately it was deleted. I think Russia deliberately allowed the war to last longer. As the result, inflation in the US and Europe will increase and continue, and the division between the US and the EU(also within the EU) will grow even bigger.

nicoo

“I think Russia deliberately allowed the war to last longer” not deliberately IMO.
First, Russia does whatever it takes to get something that can be sold as a victory to its people.
Second, Russia started multiple hybrid wars with the western countries for years (pressure on weakness of our societies), inflation is now a part of it. As always, Russia blames the western countries by doing what Russia does for years now…

xpoint

Let me change the statement and put it another way, Russia is not afraid of the prolongation of the war. And the West fears this prolongation.Russia can fight for a year or ten, while the West can only afford it for a few months. If the war goes on for years,America can survive, Europe must collapse.

Nicoo

@XPOINT
“Russia is not afraid of the prolongation of the war”
I doubt that’s true. Putin knows what happens during the long Soviet–Afghan war and he might be afraid about what came next the war… Russia isn’t ready for a long conflict, nor is Ukraine. But Ukraine gets help from western countries to bolster its army. While Russia is obviously living on its reserves…
I won’t bet on the issue of this conflict for one reason only: Russia’s nuclear capability.

Sonderfuhrer

We have a covert mobilization going on in Russia. Many men received summons to the draft board.
At the same time, in the regions of Russia, active advertising is being carried out for entering the contract service.
We have nothing to fight with Ukraine and it will only get worse.
Russia wanted to end the war in 72 hours, but the resilience and will of the Ukrainian military made this impossible.

xpoint

@NICOO
Please do not doubt. For Russia it was a war of defense, not an invasion, even though it took place outside the Russian borders. He defended his country against American intimidation. Above all, the most important, please don’t ignore that Europe is very fragile, as the French presidential election has clearly demonstrated.

Nicoo

@xpoint
“Please do not doubt. For Russia it was a war of defense”
I don’t doubt that NOT the case, all the story about the defense of Russia is only a lie.
1) NATO doesn’t, and will certainly never, encircle Russia. It’s obvious if you look at a map.
2) Putin is lying when he says that NATO gave is word about the extension to the east. The agreement was only about the eastern part of Germany and this agreement is still today respected. There is no NATO base in the eastern part of Germany (ex DDR).

“Europe is very fragile”
I’m living on both sides of the Atlantic, I’m pretty tired when I hear about EU bashing, there is a lot of problems in the EU because the EU is like the HRE during middle age. The EU has to become a confederation (like the Canada) or a Federation (like the US). I can talk a lot about the mistakes made by the French and by the Germans. But seriously this out of the scope

“as the French presidential election has clearly demonstrated.”
again we disagree, the election didn’t demonstrated anything about it. You claim a demonstration to be true, but you don’t share the demonstration…

xpoint

@NICOO
We show a different understanding of this fact. Even as you say, NATO’s eastward expansion just gives Russia a good pretext for war, doesn’t it? And Russia could convince a lot of people with that reason, even though not including you or your friends.
Moreover, the behavior of NATO countries has made the world restless, and they have launched the Bosnian War, the Kosovo War, the Afghanistan War, the Iraq War, the Syrian War, and the Libyan War. ISIS is a direct product of that. They are weak, they only guard, but what they do is evil and hateful. They will say they are always righteous, but I don’t think tens of millions of refugees in the Middle East would agree.

EU will only be able to resolve its fragility if it achieves political and security unity, and must independence from the US.

French society has been fractured. If Macron fails to play a strong leadership role, both in Europe and in France, the French turn is the inevitable result. Either to Mélenchon, or to Le Pen.

nicoo

@CPOINT
“eastward expansion just gives Russia a good pretext for war, doesn’t it? ”
no, I said it’s a lie. Using a lie is not a “good pretext”, that’s just a lie.
The reason of the war is imperialism. it’s not a defensive war. Putin is a liar who wants to rewrite the history.
Russia claims that Ukraine is within it’s sphere of influence. Because of it, Ukraine, should not be free to decide his own foreign policy.

just to be clear: obviously we don’t agree, but appreciate our exchange.

xpoint

@NICOO
I also thank the webmaster for not deleting more of my comments and communicating with you. Usually what I say is not in line with your usual opinion, I need to say that my purpose is only to express the facts I see, and I do not mean to offend you.
You say that the purpose of NATO is for defense, I can’t agree with that.
NATO is an aggressive organization hiding under defensive slogans, and what they say is true lies. As I said before they waged so many wars.
“half a million Iraqi children have died, is the price worth it?” Stahl asked, “sure!” Albright answered.
Isn’t it a lie when an organization says he’s defensive but he keeps waging wars?
Since NATO is an aggressive organization, Russia facing military threat by NATO is real, not a lie. Russia’s first move is understandable.
Whether Ukraine is or is not a Russian sphere of influence, or whether he has a foreign policy of his own, is not the cause of the war. It’s just that Ukraine is right between NATO and Russia. Even if this location is a large iceberg, if NATO threatens Russia’s security here, Russia has reason to strike.

Yrral

Russia has little to do with the US economy,our economy is 15 times larger,than Russia,lots of the inflation is cause by companies, over charging , because they can do it,the US government put trillion of dollars in the hands of corporations and the US citizens,I cannot say the Congress will not put another trillion in the economy, Ukraine face a debt crisis,they owe 100 of billion of dollars to creditors,they are losing 170 ,million dollars a day with no end in sight and have to pay off creditors too Google Ukraine Debt Crisis

Chris

Yeah, because a long-term war against economies far larger and more productive than yours is always a great strategy.

Meha

So do you think that roses are blooming in Russia, Russia is already feeling economic blockades and it won’t be long before it declares bankruptcy.

Yrral

America will always be the Leader of free world warts and all

Nicoo

@XPOINT
“half a million Iraqi children have died […] Since NATO is an aggressive organization…”
again, this is nothing more than a lie, NATO never got a mandate in Iraq.That said, a dead child is already a tragedy and I am sorry for any victim of war. You mix NATO with US, this is a shortcut that Putin like to do, remember in 2003 the French was against the US intervention in Iraq.

In Kosovo, NATO got a mandate from the UN. Russia could have blocked, but did not…

in Afghanistan, NATO response to 9/11 attacks and the refusal to give Bin Laden to the US.

BTW, if NATO wanted to attack Russia, it would have happened during the 90’s, when Russia was weak…

xpoint

@NICOO
As you said, because of the existence of NATO, sometimes with good reason and sometimes without reason, the United States has successfully launched wars in many different situations. so in my side, I saw U.S. can do whatever it wants if it wants to attack anyone. He can either take part of the members or lead all members.

After killing bin Laden, the US could negotiate with the Taliban to leave Afghanistan, but he did not.

NATO did not authorize the Iraq war, but NATO countries participated. There’s a pack of wolves in a mountain, sometimes they’re in packs, sometimes they’re partial, so it’s unfair to accuse wolves of being a threat?

PS:
about what you said about “attack russia” I give some of my views. In the case of internal unity in Russia, no one dared to attack into the Russian mainland. So we can see that the US and the West have been supporting the opposition forces within Russia.Therefore, they adopted a strategy of encirclement against Russia, and when a favorable opportunity appeared, they would immediately act to dismember Russia.

The loophole in your argument is to separate the US, the West, and NATO. They are like a wise Rubik’s cube, they can be flexible and witty combination, defeat all the enemies they thinks, and gag their mouths.

Yrral

They say Ukraine has 4O thousands troops Donbass and Russia has 3 times that amount

P

Everything that comes after ‘they say’ is not worth reading.

Yrral

Russia offered the Azov injured, safety to Russia as POW,they are then entitled medical treatment and the ability too be seen by a third party,such as the Red Cross

Captain

Hmm…. and we all know what the russians do with POW;s and civilians…. Not a good idea to surrender to russian troops.