Invasion Day 39 – Summary

The summary of the 39th day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 23:59 – 3rd of April 2022 (Kyiv time).

Ukrainian forces have reached the border with Belarus in Kyiv Oblast and regained control over the most of Chernihiv Oblast.

The Russian army has confirmed the change of tactics by its actions during the past two days. They have continued to hit strategically important locations across Ukraine and focused the ground operations primarily on the area of Donbas.

Polesia Frontline

includes Kyiv and Zhytomyr Oblast

Kyiv Oblast

Ukrainian troops have secured the border with Belarus and hoisted the Ukrainian flag at Chornobyl plant.

Zhytomyr Oblast

There was no change on the ground in Zhytomyr Oblast.


Northern Frontline

includes Chernhiv and Sumy Oblast

Chernihiv Oblast

Ukrainian General Staff reported that all Russian troops have withdrawn from the Chernihiv Region. However, the regional council indicated there are still some Russian elements scattered in the north, probably near the border.

Sumy Oblast

Russian forces have reportedly begun to withdraw from Sumy Oblast across the border to Russia. Ukrainian troops liberated the vicinity of Konotop. The remaining Russian units are concentrated in the area of Putyvl, Buryn and Bolopillia.

The areas of Talalaivka, Romny and Lebedyn are most likely under Ukrainian control. I’ll try to verify it tomorrow.


Sloboda Frontline

includes Kharkiv and Luhansk Oblast

Kharkiv Oblast

Heavy fighting was reported from the area of Mala Komuyshuvakha and Tykhotske. Russian army bombed Kharkiv outskirts and caused damage to residential areas.

Luhansk Oblast

Russian Army focuses all its forces to capture Rubizhne, Sievierodonetsk, Lysychansk and Popasna.


Pryazovia Frontline

includes Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Donetsk Oblast

Russian troops attacked Ukrainian positions near Avdiivka and Marinka, without success. The enemy has reached the outskirts of Novabakhmutivka and entered the town.

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

There was no change on the ground in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.


Mariupol

Ukrainian forces still control the part of Azovstal plant, the southern area near harbor and the northern parts.


Southern Frontline

includes Kherson, Mykolaiv, Odesa and part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

Mykolaiv Oblast

Ukrainian troops have reached Oleksandrivka on the regional border of Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. Russian army bombed Mykolaiv outskirts in the evening.

Kherson Oblast

There was no change on the ground in Kherson Oblast.

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

There was no change on the ground in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.


Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

Maps and article are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), press released of Russian Army, DPR and LPR (taken with a grain of salt)

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter for the latest updates on Ukraine.

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Azog

@TONY No problem, apology accepted. The force around Kiev wasn’t never sufficient enough to take it in the first place. We’ll see soon enough how it plays out

Augusto14

The following serves as indirect confirmation that it is premature to remove all the “red” already from Chernihiv region. Albeit the area where the incident happened was already re-coloured “white” on your map.
Seems pretty difficult to me to figure out where Russian troops still are, and where they already have left. We’ll probably have to live with imperfect mapping of the situation in NE Ukraine for a few more days.

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3448190-russian-column-in-chernihiv-region-sent-to-hell.html

Augusto14

1. Note that recent Ukrainian briefings on FB have mentionned ongoing fights in the Southern Bug area for Olexandrivka. I take that as an implicit confirmation that Stanislav has changed hands back to the Russians. Pro-Ukrainian telegram channels from Cherson on Saturday showed pictures of a Red Cross convoy bringing inhabitants of Stanislaw to Cherson city.

2. This morning’s Russian briefing on FB reported full control over Novobahmuta, and having blocked Новотошковское from the East and South.

MARTIN

HI. Near Mykolaiv and Kherson region it is a chanse to UAF to cut off some ruSSians troops in the pocket assaulting Nova Kachovka dam bridge. Can UAF have enough forces in region to do that ?

Alex

The best map yet!

J

Thanks!

Rutilant

Do we have any idea how many troops and equipment Russia has left committed to this invasion?

Nicoo

you can find the last BDA (Battle Damage Assessment) here:
https://www.thefivecoatconsultinggroup.com/the-coronavirus-crisis/ukraine-context-d36
author: Colonel. David G. Fivecoat.
for example He claims that 37.2% of the MBT have been destroyed. Today I heard someone else claiming that about 40% of the russian MBT have been destroyed.

Nicoo

I forget to mention that those sources are independents, they show similarities, I consider their claims believable. I have no internet link for the second source

Jordan

Now that Russian troops have pulled back from their front in the NE and with Kyiv, I would hope the Ukrainian MoD would be able to reallocate some brigades from other regions to bolster the defense along the Donets river and in the south now that it seems that defense of these western cities are in less immediate danger. I know the Russian withdraw still could be a feint and Ukraine would obviously still need to keep forces guarding supply lines and major cities, but it seems like Russia has potential for some big gains in the SE if any more of these cities fall like Izyium fall, and I think it is their hope that these Ukrainian forces will continue to be tied down with threats of potential attacks from Belarus or Transnistria.

If a city like Mariupol is taken, that frees up alot of Russian forces to start pushing north for example. If Ukraine has enough reserves to spare to make pushes and counter attacks from the other side before Mariupol or other cities are forced to capitulate, that would obviously be the most preferable scenario. The fact that we havent heard of anything makes me think it is either being done covertly, that they are under supplied for offensive operations because the west seems reluctant to provide those types of weapons, or Ukraine doesnt have any more forces to spare, of which the latter two would have me really worried. I think we have all seen that Russia stands no chance with the forces they have to occupy the whole country or even to clear out individual regional capitals, but the most dangerous thing for Ukrainians has been, and will be, preventing cities from being besieged. As long as they can continue to reinforce their cities with fresh troops, ammunition, medical supplies, food/water, etc., they will be able to hold out much longer than the Russians will, but if they cant hold these fronts, they risk encirclement and being cut off like with the units trapped in Mariupol. This will of course result in many many innocent deaths or the capitulation of many Ukrainian forces who could have otherwise fought much longer were they properly supplied and not encircled. That is why I just wish we could start hearing news of many more reinforcements arriving on this front and some possible counter offensives by the (hopefully) newly freed up Ukrainian forces very soon. Right now though I cant help but feel some troops are being under utilized but my desire for good news does not change the reality of the situation. The Ukrainian MoD obviously knows this situation better than we all do so all we can do is continue to believe in them and contribute as much as we can. Hopefully though, we can start to hear more news of Ukrainian counter offensives from their MoD soon along with the reinforcements of these lines.

Aside from that, also wanted to mention that the work the individuals on this site have done in providing us with substanative and up to date information is greatly appreciated and of great quality. With the limited amount we all know, it is nice to have people collecting this information and presenting it to the masses so we can make better sense of what is going on. Keep up the good work you guys!

Azog

I believe you’re missing the point here. The withdrawal from Kiev wasn’t the faint, the faint was ATTACKING Kiev. The important bit is that as of now Ukraine forces cannot do anything that’s not already counterchecked by Russians. The forces from Mariupol are already in the process of being relocated

TONY

Sorry AZOG, but when you muster half your invasion force to take the enemy’s capital, get bogged down, suffer horrendous losses and after having spent weeks trying to encircle it miserably fail and risk encirclement yourself, that’s not a distraction. That’s your main thrust being utterly defeated.
And again, I must repeat: HALF the whole invasion force was sent for Kyiv, and it was defeated. No commander ever used half his army for a diversion. Such a force is the main thrust, not a side one.

RUSZOG

Why name yourself AZOG? You know that is a myth right?
They are the real deal. Good fighters and recruiting rapidly now.
They aren’t what you suggest based on your username. It is a myth.