Invasion Day 16 – Summary

The summary of the 16th day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 23:59 – 11th of March 2022.

Russian forces seem to halt all operations to focus on the primary goals – the capture of Mariupol, Mykolaiv, Kyiv, Sumy, Chernihiv and Kharkiv. All initial attempts to break through Ukrainian lines have been denied today.

Polesia Frontline

includes Kyiv and Zhytomyr Oblast

Kyiv Oblast

No new movement reported on the western bank of Dnieper. We still don’t know what, and if, Ukrainian forces gained new ground during the yesterday’s counter-attack in the north. On the eastern bank, Russian forces pushing hard to reach Kyiv outskirts. Ukrainian troops ambushed a Russian convoy on the way towards Brovary and destroyed at least one tank.

Zhytomyr Oblast

Nothing new in this area.


Northern Frontline

includes Chernhiv and Sumy Oblast

Chernihiv Oblast

Russian forces continue to regroup its forces in the north and west of Chernihiv. The enemy attempted to close the gaps and lay full siege on Chernihiv. This move wasn’t successful.

Sumy Oblast

A Russian military convoy was ambushed by local police and Territorial Defense unit near Romny. A dozen of Russian soldiers have been detained as the result. There are reports of ongoing urban combat on the outskirts of Sumy at the time of writing.


Sloboda Frontline

includes Kharkiv and Luhansk Oblast

Kharkiv Oblast

Ukrainian forces conduct defensive operations in the area. A Russian convoy was ambushed near Chuhuiv. The Russian push to the south from Balakliia hasn’t been successful so far. Izium lays in the rubble, but every day of Izium’s defense gives the Ukrainian forces stationed at Slovyansk another day to prepare the defense lines.

Kharkiv has been a target of shelling all day.

Luhansk Oblast

The mayor of Luhansk Oblast stated that Russian forces control 70% of the oblast. Ukrainian forces are currently focusing on the defense of Popasna – Lysychansk – Sievierodonetsk – Rubizhne – Kreminna line.


Pryazovia Frontline

includes Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces concentrate most of its troops towards Mariupol.

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Ukrainian forces ambushed a Russian convoy near Vasylivka and destroyed several trucks. Nothing else has been reported for today in this area.


Mariupol

Russian forces entered the city, but Ukrainian forces are successfully defending all strategically important points. The evacuation of civilians did not happen again.

The status of the northern pocket is unknown at this moment, but it’s very likely not under Ukrainian control. Evacuation of civilians did not happen again.


Southern Frontline

includes Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblast

Mykolaiv Oblast

Russian forces shelled Mykolaiv through the day and have begun the military operation to capture the city. The first attempt to enter the outskirts in the evening wasn’t successful, Ukrainian forces repelled the attack.

Kherson Oblast

Russian force didn’t reach the administration border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. They seem to concentrate most of its units towards Mykolaiv.


Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

Maps and article are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), press released of DPR and LPR (taken with grain of salt)

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter for the latest updates on Ukraine.

 
 
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Timmy Temperance

At this rate Ukraine will lose control of Kherson, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk oblasts. Here is an idea, why don’t you stop thinking you can fight a superpower just because NATO tells you it is possible whilst dangling a carrot in front of you. This is not a game for the civilian population. NATO cares about geopolitical influence and specifically about weapons contracts and money. That is historically verifiable fact. Even so, I quote the BBC which is part of the propaganda machine that keeps inflating your ego: `Without a doubt the Russian armed forces have been operating at half power and half speed’ (Bowen, 2022). Instead of further needless death and destruction why not negotiate with RUssia to bring about an end to the conflict?

Joska

They have tried to negotiate, Russian terms are surrender, lose territory, get rid of the armed forces almost completely ( meaning they will just get invaded easily next time) and agree to not join the bodies that could protect them from being invaded again.

Not only are those terms unacceptable to Ukrainians but Russia’s word means nothing which means any peace agreement with them means nothing too. Ukraine’s only hope of continued existence as a free nation long term is to make the costs of this invasion so high that Russia never tries again and yes that will likely mean losing territory to the army and then fighting a long term bloody insurgency until Russia has to retreat like the USSR did from Afghanista, the US from Vietnam etc.

alf

The biggest puzzle is why Putin thought he could take over the Ukraine with only 1400000 troops, considering that most would have been logistic and support troops. Were his original objective only to bluff the Ukrainians in order to get a negotiated settlement. After all the Russians have an army of 3 million. Were is the Russian air force?

@Xsern on Twitter

– This invasion is like the opposite of World War 2. We had a big initial Russian activity which has now become quiet. Russia has failed in its initial scheduled timetable of objectives.

– However, there is at least some momentum thanks to their shelling of cities.

– Ukraine still engaging in hit-and-run ambushes, which may evolve into a long and grinding war of attrition – which would be bad for Russia.

– Russian columns are overwhelmingly road-bound, making their movement predictable: this has been perfect for Ukraine’s hit-and-run ambushes. They are road-bound because of a lack of a prolonged freeze which has left the countryside muddy and soft.

– The Russians are having issues with logistics and intelligence.

– Likely that Russia will lay a brutal attack on Kyiv within the next week – but holding the city thereafter will be a huge challenge. For example, when the Soviets attacked Berlin in 1945 – that required 2.5 million men and thousands of tanks,
planes, and artillery. Why? Because building to building and street to street fighting is super difficult. Regardless, an increasing number of people now waiting for a final brutal attack on Kyiv coming very shortly by Russia.

– After 2 weeks of invasion, it seems Putin has realised he was misled on the expected timetable by the Russian Operational Information and International Relations Service of the FSB – who simply told him what he wanted to hear and not what he needed to hear. Reports of General Beseda and his deputy being placed under house arrest by Putin because of this. Putin must now be careful not to lose face over this, as this could threaten leadership beliefs.

Cat

Interesting blogg