Invasion Day 112 – Summary

The summary of the 112th day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 22:00 – 15th June 2022 (Kyiv time).

Day summary:

Russian forces crossed the highway near Bakhmut, putting Ukrainian defenders in the area under more pressure. The enemy also continues to shell border areas of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblast.

Other frontlines remains without change.

Kharkiv Frontline

includes the area of Kharkiv and Chuhuiv

Shelling: Peremoha, Ruska Lozova, Zamulivka, Verkhnii Saltiv, Stara Hnylytsia, Husarivka

  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions near Rubizhne. The attack was repelled.

Siverskyi Donets

includes the area of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk and Bakhmut

Shelling: Hrushuvakha, Virnopillya, Tetyanivka, Mayaky, Zakitne

Slovyansk direction

  • Ukrainian defenders repulsed Russian assault on Dolyna and Bohorodychne. The enemy however remains in control of the north-western outskirts of Bohorodychne.
  • Russian troops attacked Krasnopillya from the direction of Dovhenke, confirming Ukrainian forces lost the control over Dovhenke.
  • There has been no mention of Shchurove, Staryi Karavan, Brusivka and Ozerna for the past few days. I believe it’s safe to assume these tows are under Russian control and Ukrainians fully retreated across the Siversky Donets.

Bakhmut direction

  • Russian forces continue its attacks in the area of Vidrodzhennya and Roty.
  • The enemy bypassed Ukrainian defenders at Vidrodzhennya, crossed the M-03 highway and advanced in the direction of Vershyna.

Lysychansk Area

includes the vicinity of Lysychansk and Sievierodonetsk

Shelling: Sievierodonetsk, Metolkyne, Lysychansk, Bila Hora, Borivske, Ustynivka, Toshkivka, Mykolaivka, Spirne

  • Fighting in Sievierodonetsk continues. The enemy attempts to capture the central district.
  • Russian troops advancing in the direction of Zolote, heavy fighting is reported from the town.
  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions at Vrubivka, Berestove and Yakolivka. All attacks were repelled.

South-Eastern Front

includes Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Donetsk Oblast

Shelling: Antonivka, Novomykhailivka, Marinka, Pisky, Avdiivka, Niu-York

  • There was no change on the ground in Donetsk Oblast.

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Shelling: Orikhiv, Huliaipole

  • There was no change on the ground in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Kherson Frontline

includes the vicinity of Kherson and Mykolaiv

Shelling: Lupareve, Shevchenkove, Posad-Pokrovske, Lepetykha, Kobzartsi, Nova Kakhovka

  • Russian forces have reportedly started to built trenches in the area of Ishchenka and nearby Bezvodne.
  • Ukrainian troops targeted a Russian ammunition depot in Nova Kakhovka.
  • We still have no details regarding the claimed Ukrainian offensive towards Kherson.

Full map

The full overview map of current situation.

Maps and article are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), press released of Russian Army, DPR and LPR (taken with a grain of salt)

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter & Telegram for the latest updates on Ukraine.

 
 
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Xabin

https://www.axios.com/2022/06/15/ukraine-1000-casualties-day-donbas-arakhamia
Interesting interview with a senior Ukrainian official in which he states that Ukraine loses about 1,000 soldiers daily on the Dobas front. He also claims that the sanctions against Russia have a low effect due to high oil prices, that their impact will be in 3-4 years, but the question is… Will Ukraine exist by then and will it be able to enjoy the show?

str

About low effect of sanctions – he refers to total income of russia. This doesn’t include the sanctions that are in effect right now – cutting them off from advanced electronics, closing of business etc. Their new cars won’t have ABS or even airbags, thats how deep in the shit there are now. Of course they can survive as a country, and make money from fossil fuels, but they won’t have ane spare parts for their mining equipment, so in time mining rate will drop. Same goes to any part of their economy.
As to their loses of 1000/day, I haven’t seen it mentioned anywhere else, so for me it’s just an unconfirmed rumour.

Xabin

The effect of those sanctions also includes that Europe is running out of gas, Russia is already turning off the tap, and now we are in summer. For now, Siemens is refusing to send Russia the necessary turbines so that the gas can reach Germany. but now that we are in summer, will Europe be able to endure the winter without heating? Will Europe let thousands of its own die of cold to continue maintaining sanctions against Russia?

Xabin

In my opinion, before winter comes, the war will freeze, Ukraine will be pressured by its partners to come to an agreement, sanctions will largely disappear, and the world economy will return to normal.

Chris

It’s going to be many, many years before (some) of the sanctions disappear and regardless there will a long term, permanent strategy shift away from Russian oil. As long as Putin is there the West will never trust Russia again, nor will any sensible western business thinking to invest in Russia.

Dolgan

The war begin with ” capture kiev in 3 days” , continue with ” sloviansk will fall soon , ukrain have to retreat immediatly to save his army.”

And now : ” please ukrain surrender”

Jaime

>> Will Europe let thousands of its own die of cold to continue maintaining sanctions against Russia?

This is a non-sense, there are many other ways to get energy for heating (and other countries to get them). Try to be serious, I would accept that it will be hard and more expensive to get the ressources for this situation, but please, don’t use populist expression or the credibility of your future comments will decrease. Thanks for your other contributions to this forum.

Augusto14

You are massively exaggerating the actual situation w/r to gas in C. Europe. Figures below are for Germany:

  1. 55% of 2021 gas imports came from Russia. The remainder was from Norway (30%), the Netherlands (13%), plus some domestic production and pipeline import via Italy, ultimately from Lybia & Algeria. Purchase from Norway has already been increased. In addition, Germany will import LNG from various sources. Unsure about the total effect, but we’re possibly talking about around 50% or slightly less dependency on Russian gas now.
  2. Some 20% of gas consumption go into power generation, and/ or district heating (typically co-generation, i.e. power & heat). Power generation is anyway on the decline (substituted by renewables), and may be easily shifted to coal. The same applies to most of the district heating installations, and respective preparations have been on-going since March. Leaves 30% of total consumption vulnerable to Russia completely cutting the gas supply. Putting it differently: The current supply reduction can be completely covered by substituting gas with coal/ renewables.
  3. Household heating is some 31% of total consumption. Add another 5-6% for office buildings, schools etc. (where, however, temperature reduction might be easier to implement). This is well below what Germany imports from outside Russia.
  4. The issues are industry and agriculture (greenhouses). As to the latter: Possibly German consumers might reduce their consumption of tomatoes and red peppers next winter, and/or pay a bit more for import from Italy, Spain and Greece. That’s manageable. More of an issue is industry, 37% of total consumption. Here, it is unclear how much of that is energy (co-)generation, and can also be substituted by coal, or possibly electricity import (including from Ukrainian nuclear power plants), and how much actually serves as production input, e.g. for plastics or fertilizer. My guess is that most of the industrial consumption serves for power generation, meaning that the 50% or so gas supply from outside Russia will suffice to cover heating and industrial input demand.

So stop trying to put forward scenarios of (German) people freezing next winter. It will rather be about less tomatoes and plastic bags – how scary!

Xabin

really what is scary is that with global warming in full swing, currently suffering a heat wave with record temperatures in Spain, Europe decides to burn coal for energy

Augusto14

True. And avoidable, if Russia hadn’t started this senseless war.
Btw – I am curious how much CO2 has been produced by shelling, and inflicted fires, so far. NASA FIRMS has been showing quite a number of forest fires along the S. Donets over the last weeks, albeit bombed oil refineries, fertilizer plants, fuel depots etc. might have produced even more CO2.

Hotfish

Intercepted call records showed that some russian soldiers from the kuril islands had been sent to ukraine(Not to mention the army from Sakhalin and Kamchatka!),who were reluctant to participate in the operation.Given that the ukrainian army has took a heavy toll on The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation,the Russians are now desperately in short of manpower.

Augusto14

Ukrainian troops (93rd Brigade) seem to make some progress west of Izium:

  1. Here is geolocated footage of fighting slightly NW of Dibrovne BlueSauronhttps://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/13.1.0/svg/1f441.svg on Twitter: “Russian armour destroyed by the Ukrainian 93rd Mechanized Brigade in Izyum axis, Kharkiv Oblast. #Russia #Ukraine https://t.co/G4bgAeW97e” / Twitter
  2. Several sources, a/o ISW, N. Ruser and pro-Russian telegram channel Rybar have reported Ukrainian re-conquest of Zavody and Spikavivka, including possibly a pontoon bridge across the S. Donets river between both villages. Who controls what in the forests W of Izium, however, seems difficult to establish currently.
Ukro

Nice maps, I follow you for map updates and MILITARY LAB on YouTube for daily video updates. I recommend his channel for all interested viewers https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRTq5KxoyKuquatzn2iF0Pg

MeNeutral

Very informative!
I must say of all the maps i look at, these are probably the most reliable ones and possibly even the most neutral ones.

The other ones like deepstatemap are very Pro-Ukraine (it’s a ukrainian site after all), which is not a bad thing since you can be sure if Ukraine lost territory, because you know it’s ukraine. why would you lie about losing territory

The other one i use is defensepoliticsasia but their information is sometimes kinda not trustworthy, but at least they give sources from where they get it.

Dolgan

You have liveupmap who is good to. They generaly wait confirmation and correct mistake.

Noelle

I’d advise to avoid sites with narratives ‘Bucha was staged by CIA and Ukrainians killed themselves” or “Ukraine bombs its own cities, Russia worries about civilians” or the whole “human shields” concept (after Bieslan, Grozny? rly? ) that means: DPA, Military Summary or all these Fix/Redpill/reactionary crowd (Lira, Jacson, etc.) They are full of Russian propaganda and bizzare speculations/theories, not mentioning hateful comments and outright genocidal narratives.