Invasion Day 11 – Summary

The summary of the eleventh day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, 6th of March 2022.

Russian forces seem to be gathering forces for a new offensive in the north to capture Kyiv, Sumy and Kharkiv, while other forces are continuing to push towards Zaporizhzhia.

Note: As Russian forces continue to advance, the current division into front lines is no longer suitable. I’ll take a look at the problem tomorrow.

Southern frontline

Mykolaiv area

A small element of Russian Army unsuccessfully attacked Kulbakyne airport near Mykolaiv. Ukrainian forces suspect it was a diversion attack to attract Ukrainian attention to somewhere else, as a large amount of Russian equipment and troops are moving towards Voznesensk. Ukraine suspects Russian forces will try to break through the lines in the north and capture Yuzhnoukrainsk, where the South Ukraine Nuclear Power plant is located.

Tokmak area

The fog of war has been cleared in this area, finally.

Tokmak has been abandoned by Ukrainian forces during yesterday. Russian forces pushed north and captured Polohy. The town is located on the strategically important road H-08, which connects Zaporizhzhia and Mariupol (please check the Donbas frontline map). Ukrainian forces are currently conducting defense operations at Huliaipole, Orikhiv and in the area between Vysilkva-Balabyne.

Northern frontline

Kyiv area

Russian forces continue to shell Irpin’s residential areas, while Ukrainian civilians are being evacuated. The enemy amass a large amount of equipment and troops outside the town. Russian mechanized, and tank battalions are on the move towards Bucha and Irpin.

Chernhiv area

Chernihiv defenses continue to hold on, despite heavy shelling of the area.

Ichnia area

Nova Basan has been confirmed to be under Russian control. Ukraine also reports the enemy is approaching Brovary and Boryspil, probably from the direction of Nova Basan and Bobrovytsia.

Eastern frontline

Sumy area

Sumy remains in Ukrainian hands, there has been no change today.

Kharkiv area

Russian forces continue to shell the outskirts and the city itself. Ukrainian troops await a new ground offensive in upcoming days. We still have no data on the counter-offensive east of Kharkiv. It either didn’t happen or the results are being kept in secret.

Ukrainian forces reported they liberated the town of Chuhuiv (there was no report of being it captured). That means Russian forces have a much larger presence in the area than we originally knew.

Donbas frontline

Izium area

Heavy fighting was reported around the town of Izium. Ukrainian forces successfully continue to hold the town.

Luhansk area

Russian forces tried to break through defense lines near Sievierodnetsk, but the attack was repelled by Ukrainian defenders. Ukrainian 24th Mechanized Brigade continues to hold positions near Popasna and Zolote despite enemy’s superiority.

Donetsk area

Another Ukrainian convoy was ambushed between Nikolske and Rozivka. Russian forces now definitely control the road H-08 between these two towns, and that complicates the situation around Mariupol.

Mariupol continues to be besieged, Nikolske is now besieged as well and Rozivka is about to be as Russian forces captured Polohy. Ukrainian forces counter-attacked near Mariupol, destroying several Russian vehicles, but no other details have been shared. It seems it was a hit-and-run operation instead of a try to lift the siege of Mariupol.

Ukraine and Russia announced evacuation of civilian population from Mariupol in the morning, again. However, the evacuation was cancelled in the afternoon due to ceasefire regime not being respected by Russian side.

Vinnytsia

Russian Army fired 8 missiles at Vinnytsia. The local airport was completely destroyed.


Maps and article are based on the following sources:

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, official channels of Ukrainian regional administrations, Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), press released of DPR and LPR (taken with grain of salt)

Visit our Deployment map for updated interactive map of captured areas and Ukrainian units.

Make sure to follow us on Twitter for the latest updates on Ukraine.

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Anonimo

and how to do it from a smartphone?

@Xsern on Twitter

→ High casualty levels for the Russians.

→ Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) from TikTok, Twitter, Telegram, Facebook, etc. have primacy over the mainstream media which is not a reliable source for the ebb and flow of this invasion.

→ There are three bridges over Irpin River: two close to Irpin and a twin-span railway bridge that connects to Kyiv. The Irpin River is the defensive front-line of Ukraine for Kyiv. By blowing up the bridge, Ukraine stalled the Russian objective which is leading to stationary equipment sinking into mud and burning up fuel and food idling. Once they cross the Irpin, Kyiv will be hard to occupy.

→ Despite what Putin has said, this invasion is not going to plan for Russia.

→ Pentagon claims Russia has deployed 95% of its forces and equipment.

→ The invasion is 50/50 – all to play for.

Yuri

You should add a way to close the window when one clicks on an image. As it is now, you have to refresh the page, which is a bit annoying. Otherwise, thanks for the great coverage!

Luke

Is there still a significant worry that Belarus may invade south from Brest? Or was this merely a false rumor?

Also, something I haven’t figured out. Where does Moldova stand in relation to the Ukrainian situation?

Rheinholt

Hey Luke, re: Moldova, have look online about Transnistria – it is essentially the Donbass of Moldova. Also have a look at the photo taken of Lukashenko briefing the @[email protected] military operation – looks like RUS forces land at Odessa and push forces to that region of Moldova (bottom left of chart).
https://twitter.com/Den_2042/status/1498674777032114184

Matt

I lived in Moldova for a few years on a humanitarian mission and can add my limited understanding. As noted above, there is a small portion on the eastern side of Moldova (southwest Ukrainian border) that essentially does its own thing and is known as Transnistria. I was told this area housed a portion of the former soviet union army back in the 90’s and the soldiers laid down roots and raised families in the area. As the USSR fell, some Russian-native soldiers stayed put in the area, but retained their political allegiance to Russia. There was a conflict between Moldova and the Transnistria breakaway territory, and the two areas operate largely independently today. Transnistria is politically and economically assisted by Russia.

This is important because you have a corridor in Transnistria that is very pro-Russian and would likely favor a reunion with Russia. On the other side of the Dniester river in Moldova you have a very poor and politically divided country. On the whole, Moldova desires to align with the west and enter the EU. The majority of Moldovan citizens would also favor being adopted into Romania, though Romania seems less keen to take on Moldova’s problems.

Long story short, while Moldova would likely resist as it is able against Russian or Belarusian forces (which would likely be minimal at best), Transnistria would likely be helpful and sympathetic to invading forces. Sending Russian troops through a sympathetic Transnistria would allow for unimpeded transport along a portion Ukraine’s western border. Lastly, remember that Moldova formed part of the western border of the former soviet bloc and Putin may consider it part of the “brotherhood” which also needs to be “liberated”.

Luke

Thank you both. I had no idea this was the context of the country. I’m curious to look more into the history of the region now when I am able.

I greatly appreciate this, it clears up many if my questions, although it poses new worries. It hadn’t occurred to me before that many of the eastern nations in Europe have certain pro-Russian factions. I’m glad to know this now, and with future conversations, I might be able to pass it onto my fellow peers.

I assume the pro-Russian sentiment was also garnered when the Soviets annexed the region in 1940. Goodness, subconsciously I knew the conflict had more complicated roots, but there always seems to be another parallel to the modern-day reality. Unfortunately, from what you have told me and my own personal readings, this bitterness and disunity is decades heated.

Somehow, despite all the progress nations make, the ghostly hand of the cold war lingers over. But of course, in one respect, that wasn’t too long ago either. How ghastly are the rivalries and political feuding in these regions, but perhaps, in that way, the struggles and feelings are similar in some ways to those regions of many other places, including my own.

They say you must learn from history or repeat the present, but I always found that a little shallow. I think what your post shows, is rather, the importance of past history in understanding how we got here. But how I wish it wasn’t so in this division.

I have given thought to the Ukrainians, the Russians, and the Belarusians, but here is hope for the people of Moldova; to that I speak, the entirety of it.

How absurd it can be to watch one group pull the strings of destruction. Maybe one day our people may be better united in common good standing.

With Thanks,

Luke

Luke

Thank you for the inclusion of your resources. These are invaluable. I know I have said it again and again, but the quality and clarity of this work compared to professional media is incredible if sobering.

It seems like the Russians are consolidating themselves across the lines. And with it, a relief operation for Mariupol seems increasingly unlikely. But maybe I’m wrong.

You know, in writing these post, I know I have little to add. I’m not an expert, nor even have the full maturity to comment well on the situation, but still, I write, if simply because I truly care and don’t want to forget. I think it’s too easy for certain conflicts to pass into odd obscurity once the headlines’ ink has faded. There are tales of Syria, but here in the States, it is known as that far off war under mysterious context in a strange place. Perhaps that’s not true of all, but I know for myself, that I do not want Ukraine to ever be known as that. Instead, while I am too young to fight there, while I cannot speak the language, and do not have even bare funds to give, maybe I can continue to speak of the war in the suitable presence of colleagues and superiors, if only to start conversation.

I’ve rambled a bit, but my hope, is that not only this war, but the division in Syria, the civil war in Libya, the dictatorship in Ethiopia, and the countless other engagements do not slide into past thought, but remain talked about and recounted. It is not original, but the war is heartbreaking, the deaths unnecessary and cruel, and the decisions irresponsible in the extreme.

So with that, thank you for keeping the conversation and attention alive for all of these years, before even the world finally took attention.

With Hope for Ukraine,

Luke

Nathan

This is such a powerful sentiment, thanks Luke.

Luke

This delights my soul! Thank you humbly, Nathan.