День вторгнення 80 - Підсумок
Підсумки 80-го дня російського вторгнення в Україну станом на 22:00 - 14 травня 2022 року (за київським часом).
Підсумки дня:
Українські війська продовжують успішну операцію в районі Харкова, опір слабкий, оскільки більшість російських військ відступили за кордон. Я вважаю, що зараз можна з упевненістю сказати, що битва за Харків, друге за величиною місто України, завершена.
За повідомленнями, російська армія перекидає додаткові сили для захисту острова Зміїний, а також зміцнює вже зайняті позиції.
Примітка: У зв'язку зі зменшенням частоти змін на місцевості, я вирішив перейти на зведення двічі на день і публікувати лише карти в дні, коли немає звітів. Карти будуть публікуватися в Твіттері, а вільний час я буду використовувати для покращення самої карти та інших речей тут, на сайті. Щоденні зведення мають повернутися, якщо ситуація на місцях кардинально зміниться. Наступні зведення будуть опубліковані в понеділок.
Дякуємо за вашу підтримку та щоденне відвідування сайту. Я дуже ціную це.
Харківський фронт
включає територію Харкова та Чугуєва
дощові зливи. ~23 °C
Обстріли: Золочів, Дергачі, Циркуни, Чугуїв, Гусарівка
За повідомленнями, українські війська просунулися до російського кордону і відновили контроль щонайменше над одним населеним пунктом. Однак, ми повинні дочекатися більш детальної інформації. За повідомленнями, сьогодні українська армія почала наступ у напрямку Ізюма з району Чугуєва.
Сіверський Донець
включає територію Слов'янська, Краматорська та Бахмута
невеликий дощ. ~18 °C
Обстріли: Довганка, Долина, Лиман, Олександрівка, Лиман, Золоте
Російські війська вийшли на південні околиці Олександропілля поблизу Попасної. Ситуація на інших ділянках залишається без змін.
Південно-Східний фронт
включає Донецьку та Запорізьку області
дощові зливи. ~20 °C
Донецька область
Обстріли: Новомихайлівка, Мар'їнка, Авдіївка, Кам'янка
Російські війська прорвали першу лінію оборони в районі Авдіївки і змусили українців відступити ближче до міста. Противник також здійснив чергову невдалу спробу захопити Мар'їнку та Новомихалівку.
Запорізька область
Обстріл: Оріхів, Гуляйполе
Українські джерела повідомляють про запеклі бої в районі Гуляйполя, але більше подробиць на даний момент не публікується.
Азовсталь
включає комбінат "Азовсталь" у Маріуполі
дощові зливи. ~20 °C
Тривають бої на околиці комбінату "Азовсталь", а також майже безперервні обстріли самого комбінату.
Херсонський фронт
включає околиці Херсона та Миколаєва
дощові зливи. ~23 °C
Миколаївська область
У Миколаївській області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.
Херсонська область
Обстріли: Олександрівка, Таврійське, Осокорівка
У Херсонській області не відбулося жодних змін на місцях.
Повна мапа
Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.
Карти та стаття базуються на наступних джерелах:
Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні канали українських обласних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Міністерства оборони України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ), прес-релізи російської армії, "ДНР" та "ЛНР" (з певною долею умовності)
Відвідайте наші Карта розгортання за оновлену інтерактивну карту захоплених територій та українських підрозділів.
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Does anyone know how many farm tractors Finland needs to join NATO?
Russia has about 109,000 troops in the Donbas including the DPR, LPR, and mercenaries. Ukraine has some 50,000 soldiers in the Donbas.
You don’t know how many soldiers Ukraine has in the Donbas. And even if your guess was right, an attacking force trying to take thousands of square kilometers needs a much bigger ratio in their favor than that. Russia has lost about 1/3 of the forces they committed to this war, which itself is a major part of the total combat power Putin has at his disposal. And it’s not like the other 2/3 are… Читати далі »
And we should not forget that the Russians have lost most of the well-trained soldiers and command staff, all these behind are just a reserve and are not intended for offensive action.
Thank you so much for keeping us informed and updated daily for so long with such reliable information ! I’m super thankful, what you’ve done so far is super important. Thanks so much for your efforts and dedication !
Turkey is not a founding member of NATO, but it has been in NATO since 1952 and it is not a democratic state. But it is part of NATO for a reason, because it controls the Bosporus. A swap with Finland and Sweden would be a bad deal. And that makes it – as long as it really fulfills its obligations as a member – one of the most important strategic members. In this context,… Читати далі »
It is possible that the U.S. could use the F35 in exchange for Turkey’s willingness to cooperate.
Do Turkey have 100 million dollar for beach jets
The fact that situation on the map hasn’t changed much for a while is a very big deal. The Russian offensive barely burns forward on their most aggressive axis and they’re running out of steam. Ukraine is going to start pushing them now. They got on the right flank of the Izium salient by driving from Kharkiv and now they’re hitting the salient itself on the bet that a lot of what Russia has out… Читати далі »
The US is Nato
The pentagon papers are one of documents,that turn US public against the war in Vietnam,the US government untruthfulness in the war, American general do not like to be lied about thing,the same thing happened in Afghanistan,the Aghanistan government lying to the US government,about the situation on the ground in Afghanistan,the same thing can happen with Ukraine,if the Ukrainlan government is not truthful,the US know, because the have Intel on the government of Ukrainain Google Pentagon… Читати далі »
That’s a key problem for US yes… Russia on the other hand does not have this particular problem at all….
true 😀
are you waiting for tank breakthroughs, like in the second world war? Now positional warfare and the offensive is underway. By the way, Ukraine is divided by the river Dnieper. If the Russians want to, they will simply blow up the bridges across the Dnieper. Then heavy equipment from the west will not come to the east.
“By the way, Ukraine is divided by the river Dnieper. If the Russians want to, they will simply blow up the bridges across the Dnieper. Then heavy equipment from the west will not come to the east.”
The Russians than must not want to then, as the bridges are still not blown.
Russia had no good pretext to occupy large swathes of eastern and southern Ukraine until Zelensky abandoned the agreement reached in Istanbul. The Russian army also had no good reason to expand the scale of the war and push the front to the Dnieper River. If U.S. weapons inflict serious damage on Russian troops, Russia could blow up all bridges and occupy all territory east of the Dnieper River. I think the American knows the… Читати далі »
Isn’t it amazing though that just a couple of months after Russia was sure to roll into Kyiv, people looking on the bright side for them now talk about blowing up bridges to protect themselves. They’ve got that going for them.
For Russia, there is no turning back of an arrow once it is shot. If they were to retreat, the Slavic peoples would disappear into history, although you really want. It is very dangerous to imagine a nuclear state failing, and you should give up this illusion.
Russia is attacking and killing more Slavic people than any other country, excepting perhaps Ukraine killing RA invaders. Also it’s impossible to imagine allowing an invading “nuclear state” rebuilding empire through threat of nuclear conflagration, since empire rebuilders won’t stop until the empire is confronted. Lets confront the empire now rather than later. It will be worse later. If Russia “fails” it fails. If it joins Europe as a peaceful space fairing European nation, then… Читати далі »
It’s Russia bringing shame and destruction on Slavic people right now. Ukraine is rising and will be a powerful prosperous nation once they finally throw off Moscow’s shackles. The hope I have for the people of Russia is that this bloody disaster will serve as the last straw and lead them to throw off the filthy, backwards, authoritarian government that robs them of their freedom and prospects for a better life.
Historically, a rule is that a weak country must not challenge his strong neighbor. The war was too long ago or so far away from Europe that the people in Europe forgot the rule. This rule is not good, but it is realistic. Very sorry to let you know about this. Also, hopefully Ukraine can become rich, strong and beautiful.
Turns out Ukraine wasn’t so weak as Russia imagined. Not sorry to let you know about this. The sooner Putin’s garbage army breaks down and runs for the border the more lives will be saved. Then it’s up to the Russian people to decide what to do with their murderous leaders who have robbed and squandered the nation’s wealth and made them an absolute disgrace to humanity. I wish Russia all the luck in the… Читати далі »
Looking back at history, the Russians have always been like this. For example, in the Franco-Russian war, the German-Russian war, they often did not have enough boots, and the number of guns was not enough. They repeatedly retreated, but in the end they always miraculously survived. Of course, the same goes for Ukraine. Continuing to discuss this war, if the scale and intensity of the war can be expanded without limit, I agree with what… Читати далі »
Thank you for your work！
Combined with the ISW article, the Russian attempt to cross the river must have been a failure. It seems that, at least in the short term, the Russians will only be able to storm Sievierodonetsk.
Turkey’s attitude to NATO is puzzling. Finland may find it hard to join NATO. Of course, Turkish foreign policy is fluid, and it is impossible to predict What Mr Erdogan will do next.
“Turkey’s attitude to NATO is puzzling” indeed… my guess is RTE wants to bargain something. he was talking about PKK and YPG members living in Finland and Sweden. But problems between Turkey and other NATO members are not missing. Like the F35 bans, issues with Greece, France, etc. and made a lot of trouble with its neighbors (I want to remind here the fact that Cyprus was invaded by Turkey in 1974). Also this: “Turkey… Читати далі »
I’d happily trade Finland and Sweden for Turkey in NATO membership.
Well… In an alliance of 30 members you can’t expect everything to run smoothly. If Turkey was accepted it for it’s strategic position.
Turkey as a key role, I’d rather say I wish a new ruler in Turkey… a ruler more compatible with western values.
And don’t get fooled, if Turkey is out of NATO it could rather improve its relationship with Russia, making things harder for NATO in the black sea and Caucasus…
Western values are very subjective,as an American,our values are enshrined in our Constitution with such values as equal rights for minorities,women and other gender equality and rule of law and other legal protection
@YRRAL “Western values are very subjective” indeed, but we share roots. I won’t go in details because I’m sure you can do a PhD on this topic… Tell me if you think I’m wrong, but one of these roots is to follow the next rule: “All human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights. “, which is the very beginning of Universal Declaration of Human Rights… And with all the respect I… Читати далі »
If you open the world map and look carefully at the location of Turkey, you will find that if Turkey withdraws from NATO, its effect is equivalent to the disintegration of NATO. I think you know this fact too.some deals may be made between the US and Turkey.
NATO won’t disintegrate over Turkey leaving, it will be significantly weaker losing control over the Black sea and influence in the Caucasus, but what else? If anything by losing Turkey NATO would probably be more stable as an alliance, Turkey’s been pissing Italy, Greece and other Med allies for years now.
Yes, Turkey is just like you said. Turkey has shown its force and non-cooperation everywhere. Often harms unity and interests of NATO . His headstrong behavior is precisely because Europe and America need it and can’t kick it out. They can only accept the reality.
Please remember – turkish army is second by number and in the top by force in NATO. No need to push them right into russian arms wide open.
Well…the Turkish army is rubbish. Whatever their numbers are, we’ve seen what this does when an army isn’t fully equipped nor well trained in a war.
Someone has any idea on the amount of troops and equipment each side has on the battleground in Donbass?
I also wonder how the current global economic crisis which is bound to happen soon will affect the war, will Ukraine receive less aid?
“I also wonder how the current global economic crisis which is bound to happen soon will affect the war, will Ukraine receive less aid?” hard to be sure. The US has made a lot of commitments for the coming months, so I don’t expect to see less cash and equipment flowing to Ukraine. Maybe the midterms may impact for 2023 ? I start to think that the bridge bombed close to Odesa and the fact… Читати далі »
I posted a similar comment yesterday, but unfortunately it was deleted. I think Russia deliberately allowed the war to last longer. As the result, inflation in the US and Europe will increase and continue, and the division between the US and the EU(also within the EU) will grow even bigger.
“I think Russia deliberately allowed the war to last longer” not deliberately IMO.
First, Russia does whatever it takes to get something that can be sold as a victory to its people.
Second, Russia started multiple hybrid wars with the western countries for years (pressure on weakness of our societies), inflation is now a part of it. As always, Russia blames the western countries by doing what Russia does for years now…
Let me change the statement and put it another way, Russia is not afraid of the prolongation of the war. And the West fears this prolongation.Russia can fight for a year or ten, while the West can only afford it for a few months. If the war goes on for years，America can survive, Europe must collapse.
@XPOINT “Russia is not afraid of the prolongation of the war” I doubt that’s true. Putin knows what happens during the long Soviet–Afghan war and he might be afraid about what came next the war… Russia isn’t ready for a long conflict, nor is Ukraine. But Ukraine gets help from western countries to bolster its army. While Russia is obviously living on its reserves… I won’t bet on the issue of this conflict for one… Читати далі »
We have a covert mobilization going on in Russia. Many men received summons to the draft board.
At the same time, in the regions of Russia, active advertising is being carried out for entering the contract service.
We have nothing to fight with Ukraine and it will only get worse.
Russia wanted to end the war in 72 hours, but the resilience and will of the Ukrainian military made this impossible.
@NICOO
Please do not doubt. For Russia it was a war of defense, not an invasion, even though it took place outside the Russian borders. He defended his country against American intimidation. Above all, the most important, please don’t ignore that Europe is very fragile, as the French presidential election has clearly demonstrated.
@xpoint “Please do not doubt. For Russia it was a war of defense” I don’t doubt that NOT the case, all the story about the defense of Russia is only a lie. 1) NATO doesn’t, and will certainly never, encircle Russia. It’s obvious if you look at a map. 2) Putin is lying when he says that NATO gave is word about the extension to the east. The agreement was only about the eastern part… Читати далі »
@NICOO We show a different understanding of this fact. Even as you say, NATO’s eastward expansion just gives Russia a good pretext for war, doesn’t it? And Russia could convince a lot of people with that reason, even though not including you or your friends. Moreover, the behavior of NATO countries has made the world restless, and they have launched the Bosnian War, the Kosovo War, the Afghanistan War, the Iraq War, the Syrian War,… Читати далі »
@CPOINT “eastward expansion just gives Russia a good pretext for war, doesn’t it? ” no, I said it’s a lie. Using a lie is not a “good pretext”, that’s just a lie. The reason of the war is imperialism. it’s not a defensive war. Putin is a liar who wants to rewrite the history. Russia claims that Ukraine is within it’s sphere of influence. Because of it, Ukraine, should not be free to decide his… Читати далі »
@NICOO I also thank the webmaster for not deleting more of my comments and communicating with you. Usually what I say is not in line with your usual opinion, I need to say that my purpose is only to express the facts I see, and I do not mean to offend you. You say that the purpose of NATO is for defense, I can’t agree with that. NATO is an aggressive organization hiding under defensive… Читати далі »
Russia has little to do with the US economy,our economy is 15 times larger,than Russia,lots of the inflation is cause by companies, over charging , because they can do it,the US government put trillion of dollars in the hands of corporations and the US citizens,I cannot say the Congress will not put another trillion in the economy, Ukraine face a debt crisis,they owe 100 of billion of dollars to creditors,they are losing 170 ,million dollars… Читати далі »
Yeah, because a long-term war against economies far larger and more productive than yours is always a great strategy.
So do you think that roses are blooming in Russia, Russia is already feeling economic blockades and it won’t be long before it declares bankruptcy.
America will always be the Leader of free world warts and all
@XPOINT “half a million Iraqi children have died […] Since NATO is an aggressive organization…” again, this is nothing more than a lie, NATO never got a mandate in Iraq.That said, a dead child is already a tragedy and I am sorry for any victim of war. You mix NATO with US, this is a shortcut that Putin like to do, remember in 2003 the French was against the US intervention in Iraq. In Kosovo,… Читати далі »
@NICOO As you said, because of the existence of NATO, sometimes with good reason and sometimes without reason, the United States has successfully launched wars in many different situations. so in my side, I saw U.S. can do whatever it wants if it wants to attack anyone. He can either take part of the members or lead all members. After killing bin Laden, the US could negotiate with the Taliban to leave Afghanistan, but he… Читати далі »
They say Ukraine has 4O thousands troops Donbass and Russia has 3 times that amount
Everything that comes after ‘they say’ is not worth reading.
Russia offered the Azov injured, safety to Russia as POW,they are then entitled medical treatment and the ability too be seen by a third party,such as the Red Cross
Hmm…. and we all know what the russians do with POW;s and civilians…. Not a good idea to surrender to russian troops.