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10 липня 2023 року

День вторгнення 502 - Підсумок

Підсумковий огляд ситуації з російським вторгненням в Україну за останні 48 годин, станом на 10 липня 2023 року - 22:00 (за київським часом).

Слобідський фронт

включає територію між річками Оскіл та Айдар

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Активності не зафіксовано.

Сіверський Донець

оглядова карта околиць Слов'янська, Краматорська, Бахмута та Лисичанська

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Шпірне.

Бахмутський фронт

включає околиці Бахмута

  • Українські війська увійшли в селище Берхівка і частково зачистили його. Пізніше російські війська контратакували і відтіснили захисників до західних околиць. Селище залишається спірним. (джерело)
  • Російська артилерія обстріляла свої попередні позиції на захід від Кліщіївки, що свідчить про подальше просування українських військ у цьому районі. Цілком ймовірно, що українські сили контролюють більшість укріплених позицій, що виходять на цей населений пункт. (джерело)

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Дубово-Василівка, Григорівка, Північне

Авдіївський фронт

включає околиці Авдіївки

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Авдіївка

Донецький фронт

включає центр і південну частину Донецької області

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Красногорівка, Мар'їнка, Новомихайлівка

Запорізький фронт

включає Запорізьку область

  • Українські війська на чолі з 47-ю механізованою бригадою продовжили просування в напрямку н.п. Роботине. (джерело)

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Активності не зафіксовано.

Херсонський фронт

включає лівий берег Дніпра на південь від Херсона та Каховки

Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:

  • Активності не зафіксовано.

Повна мапа України

оглядова карта поточної ситуації в Україні

Ця коротка інформація та детальні карти ґрунтуються на наступних джерелах:

Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні медіа-канали обласних державних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ) та геолокаційні відеоматеріали.

Ми також дякуємо наступним користувачам Twitter за їх геолокацію та чудову роботу: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya та команді @geoconfirmed.

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30 Comments
Зворотній зв'язок в режимі реального часу
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Bubochka

faaaaartezia Mahmooood

Max Beckhaus

Bucharest 2.0: No NATO but hey, we will keep giving you weapons, which we allready do since 1,5 years. So basically Ukraine didn’t hear anything new. Same, same but different. Shame on that American weakness.

Max Beckhaus

While I am at it: where are the atacms, the Abrams, the f16s? If I d be china I would smell the fear and decline in the water.

dolgan

China see his potential ally collapse and his potentials ennemy reinforce.

Ukrain will recept more and best material during this year and next year.

Kay

NATO has said since the beginning of the war that no country can be accepted in which there is a conflict. Why should NATO only change its rules for Ukraine. Also, admitting Ukraine now would mean that NATO is actively waging war against Russia, which has the potential for a world war. You would definitely be one of the first to hide in your basement.

dirgela

There is no such a “rule of NATO”, it was mainly repeated by sleepy Biden since the beginning of the war. The Vilnius summit could have decided that Ukraine will get special membership status or some other formulation. The current one is actually just nothing. Damn I’ve just spent 1,5 hours because the traffic was stopped in Vilnius for this senseless summit

Max Beckhaus

And indeed NATO could have invited Ukraine to join as soon as the war is over. But that’s all not the real point, the whole wording is so obviously shady that anyone can see that some wanted opportunities open to never let Ukraine in. And those were the USA and Germany. It is a shame.

Adam Gyenge

And it is not just USA and Germany. Don’t forget that when accepting a new country to the NATO, each old member has veto right. Hungary has declared already in 2015 that it will veto it, because of the suppression of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine.

Востаннє змінено 2 роки тому користувачем Adam Gyenge
COLIN

It only take one NATO country to object to Ukraines membership.
Bit of a Ukranian pipe dream methinks.

dolgan

This question is just not on the table now.

I dont understand why ukrain insist on this useless question. They know that the answer is not now. May be its for internal reason?

But they just lost time and take the risk to obtain less support because of brutal declaration.

COLIN

Yes there is a rule.

Noelle

hmmm Western Germany, mind you?

Though I would read most of these talks differently

Noelle

we are hearing politicians’ statements (who has to please different tribs at once) and have no access to the real documents, have that in mind.
Iwould personally look at the ‘dates of supposed delivery’, which even if infuriating at the 1st glance (because Ukr needs this now) are the info for RU. as: ‘at least until XXXX strategy of waiting us out won’t work’.

Noelle

there was a lot of drama about RU casualities. So here we are. Mediazona&Meduza put out the paper [ENG: https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/07/10/bring-out-your-dead ] collecting the data about that. According to the study ~40k is the absolute floor leaning to ~50k KIA alone.
Study does not aquits for MIA (which is a serious and ever growing black hole) nor WIA.

COLIN

MIA means or not reported means commanders can still claim for soldiers wages.

Triglav

“Waning western support”

Yeah right, as long as Russia doesn’t leave Ukraine Russians will have to keep dying on the front. We’re ready to keep supporting Ukraine as long as it takes. The longer Russia continues this senseless war the more powerful the weapons Ukraine will get, while Europe & North America are increasing weapons production at a staggering rate

Tennie

So what was supposed to be a “special military operation” that was intended to take no more than two weeks to complete has now been dragging on for over 500 days and counting. Regardless of how this war ultimately ends, one thing is for sure: The initial invasion will go down in military history as a major example of what NOT to do when it comes to military planning.

JohnnyBeerGr8

Arestovych claiming they will break through eventually, but remembering his claims during Sievierodonetsk siege makes me cautious. On the other side, committing almost whole VDV corps up north (Bachmut and Kreminna) makes elite reinforcements bolstering rather complicated. Lets see by mid SEP then if Cherson scenario could be replicated in a attrition wise scale while not being backed by the river

Востаннє змінено 2 роки тому користувачем JohnnyBeerGr8
Kay

According to ISW, UKR forces liberated as much territory in 5 weeks that it took the Russians 6 months to conquer.

dolgan

Yes but dont forget, its important.

RU advanced slowly but strongly. And they they still advancing. yes look at novozelike. They took the outdoor wc in the garden of grandpa ivanov. A great strategic progress . No, dont look what happens in other parts of the front.

AFU counter attacks fail. its to slow. And ru have magic defense lign. Its why they counterattacks in defavorable condition.

tom

typical propaganda. I hope you could compare to ru when they took south in 3 days.

Tristan

“Propaganda” is what you write, tom.

The fact that UKR forces liberated as much territory (about 200 km2) in 5 weeks that it took the Russians 6 months to conquer simply means that Russians conquered nothing the last 6 months.

And yes, 200 km2 is nothing. It’s about 1% of the territory Ukraine liberated during its counteroffensive last autumn.

tom

no I write the truth. In five weeks Ukraine moved avarage 6 km in certain places and liberated few villiges. seriously its nothing. but media as you here are making some bullshit comparisons. why you are affraid to say truth? it is the same as rus are doing -keep saying that everything is going as planned. when they hit western tank the same big success when that was nothing.

Tristan

No, I write the truth: In five weeks Ukraine liberated about 200km2. That’s the same aera Russia took in 6 months. And yes, that’s nothing.

Why are you afraid of the truth ? You didn’t realised that Russia 6 month offensive was a complete failure ?

Dolgan

You really want to compare maps after 3 days of war and now?

Its not at russian advantage.

JohnnyBeerGr8

hes just troll simpleton, whatever arguments you make, wont work. He wouldnt even care UA liberated 41% of its occupied teritorry already (counting in Crimea in the total too) and stopped losing territory since then (except Bachmut and Kreminna area), he will be still cocky with 100k km2 that new order USSR still got in possesion. In his mind he will win at any case, just like RU propaganda 😉

Alfred

However, one should also pay attention to which territories it is. On one side Artyomovsk and Soledar, on the other desolate fields and a few tiny insignificant settlements.

Dolgan

Yes, UA are on the way to liberate bakmut and soledar. But its not the major objectiv.

And yes kremina area is desolate after months of war. Here both camp exchange territories regulary. But they are not able to take advantage andcross the river.

Alfred

It was more about things already done, but yes, it shouldn’t be a problem to do this in no time because most fortifications and underground facilities are now destroyed.

MeNeutral

the thing is. Ukraine is a HUGE nation. where it does not matter how much you conquer, but what you conquer. the germans learned that lesson the hard way during WW2.

you can conquer 1000km2 but if you didn’t get that one very important village/city or whatever, your whole advance is useless.

as one UKR sodier said ”it’s like chess, where only villages are traded” (or some in that line)