День вторгнення 446 - Підсумок
Підсумковий огляд ситуації з російським вторгненням в Україну за останні 48 годин, станом на 15 травня 2023 року - 22:00 (за київським часом).
Слобідський фронт
включає територію між річками Оскіл та Айдар
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Масютівка, Синьківка
Сіверський Донець
оглядова карта околиць Слов'янська, Краматорська, Бахмута та Лисичанська
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Активності не зафіксовано.
Бахмутський фронт
включає околиці Бахмута
- Бійці української 56-ї моторизованої бригади атакували і захопили російські позиції на північ від Богданівки. (джерело)
- Артилерія української 3-ї штурмової бригади обстріляла російські позиції на північний схід від Білої Гори, підтвердивши наші позначки. (джерело)
- За даними російських джерел, противник відійшов з лісу на південний захід від Іванівського. Однак, оскільки немає візуального підтвердження, ліс поки що позначений лише як частково контрольований.
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Григорівка, Богданівка, Бахмут, Іванівське, Передтечине
Місто Бахмут
місто Бахмут
- Найманці "Вагнера" просунулися вглиб останнього підконтрольного Україні житлового району і фактично розрізали його навпіл. (джерело)
Авдіївський фронт
включає околиці Авдіївки
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Активності не зафіксовано.
Донецький фронт
включає центр і південну частину Донецької області
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Маринка
Запорізький фронт
включає Запорізьку область
Український Генеральний штаб повідомляє про відбиті атаки в околицях:
- Активності не зафіксовано.
Каланчацький фронт
включає лівий берег Дніпра на південь від Херсона та Каховки
- Активності не зафіксовано.
Повна мапа
Повна оглядова карта поточної ситуації.
Шукаєте інтерактивну карту? У нас є все, що вам потрібно. Відвідайте наш оригінальний Карта розгортання.
Якщо ви хочете використати наші карти у своєму проекті, відео або будь-якому іншому медіа, будь ласка, відвідайте Карти вторгнення для отримання додаткової інформації.
Ця коротка інформація та детальні карти ґрунтуються на наступних джерелах:
Генеральний штаб Збройних сил України, офіційні медіа-канали обласних державних адміністрацій, Міністерства внутрішніх справ України, Служби безпеки України (СБУ) та геолокаційні відеоматеріали.
Ми також дякуємо наступним користувачам Twitter за їх геолокацію та чудову роботу: @neonhandrail, @auditor_ya та команді @geoconfirmed.
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Since the reply button disappeared. “Tristan, no need to show you pictures. You know what I am talking about and I already know your reply. You said something that looks like Humvee. You deny even the obvious. A man was arrested from the government for posting it, we saw the video of him apologising for the harm he caused and yet you deny everything. There is no basis for discussion with you.”
You claimed that Russians destroy military equipement/ammunition depot with their missile strikes on civilian buildings. Prove it. Show that equipent destroyed. Oryx records about 3200 ukrainian military equipment. How many were destroyed by Russian missiles?
On the other hand, there are hundreds of documented civilian deaths because of those missiles.
Russia is a terrorist state.
The denial that the Russians can actually hit their targets with bombarded is astonishing. It is true that they use more missiles and drones to achieve the hit, however if the Ukrainian claims of 100% interception were true, the Russians would have simply stopped firing them as not need to deplete the arsenal when everything is intercepted. They don’t because obviously they can hit their targets.
Russian missiles can hit their intended targets : hospitals, schools, malls, appartment buildings, etc. We have plenty of examples of those “successful” hits.
I am not going to argue what is hiding in these facilities. We have seen photos and videos from the beginning of the war. From the moment that you agree that they can hit the intended target whatever this target it, then the conversion ends and we reached common agreement. They can hit their target and if that was Patriot, they can hit it.
Stop that BS. Russian deliberately target civilian buildings, without any military inside. That’s just plain terrorism. And they do that because they don’t have the intelligence (or precise weapon) to target military buildings.
Russia is not a military superpower, just a dumb,violent, terrorist state.
Civilian buildings like the megastore in Kiev? The Ukrainians were crying for 2 days, before the video of the armoured vehicles hiding underneath appeared. Or the school which was bombarded after the selfie of the soldiers inside? I am not claiming that there won’t be wrongdoings like NATO bombing the Chinese embassy in Serbia 🙂 but not deliberately all missiles shot to non military targets.
You keep repeating Russian propaganda. There are thousands of photos and videos of the aftermath of those Russian missile strikes: no military equipment destroyed, just civilians killed.
Russia is a terrorist state.
Was the megastore Russian propaganda???
You are justifying bombing schools and malls by using whataboutism. Typical russian shill tactics.
Where did you see the whataboutism? Everyone saw the dozens of military vehicles under the mall. Everyone saw the selfies of Ukrainian soldiers in the school before being struck. If they used those facilities from the first day of the war they definitely use them now. There is no whataboutism here! Can mistakes happen and hit civilian targets? Of course!
“Can mistakes happen and hit civilian targets?” When 99% of the missile strikes hit civilian targets “by mistake”, it is not a mistake.
Russia is a terrorist state.
You didn’t answer. Was the megastore Russian propaganda?
Russia bombed dozen of megastores, I don’t know which one you are refering to. If if’s the one in Kremenchuk who got media coverage last year, yes, the russian claims were BS.
I am talking about the one in Kiev at the first days of the war. The one that the Ukrainians were accusing the Russians for hitting civilian targets and 2 days later we saw the pictures of the military vehicles which a Ukrainian citizen took, unaware that they were going to be used from the Russians for verification. No comment for the Ukrainian BS i guess.
Russian claims were BS: they pretend to target a MLRS, but the footage they provided was nowhere near their actual target. The picture you are refering too just showed some humvee-like vehicules parked outside the mall. No military equipment was destroyed by the russian bombing. It was just a terrorist attack on a civilian shopping mall (which was functional, despite Russian claims).
Oh you are funny I don’t even know why I bother replying to you. Some Humvee like vehicles!!! You talk like the cheater who will never admit to his wife that he cheated. It wasn’t me. Someone that looked like me!!
I’m just stating facts.
But please, try to prove your point. Show pictures of Ukrainian military equipment destroyed by those missile strikes.
We have pictures of the killed civilians to prove that Russia is a terrorist state. You have nothing.
In relation to the Kremenchuk one, Russia claimed responsibility officially. And even UK MoD gave explanation why it happened.
Kremenchuk was a terrorist attack
Russia is a terrorist state.
why can’t you acknowledge it ?
Chinese embassy itself was not the target, just the radar and command center in the compound that was being used by the Chinese to identify NATO aircraft to the Serbs military. It was a military target.
Is this why the Americans issued an official apology to China about the bombing?
If the ruzzians think they have destroyed Ukraines air defence try flying a few planes towa3ds Kiev.
yes, ofc. They were able to bomb their own city quite precisely, indeed.
We have seen Ukrainian friendly fire too. I don’t think that anyone can clain that Ukrainians don’t know how to fight so you can make fun that they bombed their own town but the reality is that they most likely bombed that Patriot there.
‘most likely’ is that the debris from a destroyed missle damaged one of the elements of the battery. Possibly launcher (taht’s the latest development sourced from US). And I’d not really call self-harming activities of RuAF any Friendly Fire. They’re note really friendly for themselves. At least according to Murz and similiar, long engaged in this mess characters.
No, I think that most likely they wanted to show that the claim of shooting down the Kinzhal with Patriot was a BS. Thus the direct attack on the system. As I said you can deny it but the fact that it happened just a few days after the claim says a lot.
since the beginning of the war, russians have difficulties to hit their targets. And now its worst because of the lack of kalibr or other good missiles.
100% is not true ofc. but its not important.
The question is to know if the residual ru missiles can have a significativ impact on the war. answer is NO.
Have difficulties hitting their targets according to Ukrainians. Because the videos of the ammo depots blow up, shows that they hit their targets despite the Ukrainian claims.
There are no videos of ammo depot blowing up.
Whatever you say. I don’t want to burst your dream bubble. The repeating explosion sounds at the video is from fireworks and it was a fuel depot with petrol for heating the houses.
Show your video. You never provide anything to back up your claims.
But if you are refering to the ones in Pavlodar and Khmelnitsky, those stories have been debunked already.
It was the video from Khmelnitsky. I tried to upload it 3 times as a response to you on a different day and wasn’t approved. Has been debunked from whom? Analysts that can claim everything? I have seen analysts claiming radioactivity there and analysts claiming there was not. Everyone gives his truth. So since Russia tries to destroy ammo depots and i hear multiple explosions then i think it was.
Fuel storage depot.
Probably the information came too late to You – the Ukrainians approached Kliszcziivka south of Bakhmut. The Russians in the forest south of Krasne were surrounded and surrendered or fled. Regards.
Ukrainian MoD reported Russian artillery system losses in
may (1st till 16th) 229 in 15 days. The previous record was 333 in the whole! month of October. The counteroffensive is on. If I d be Ukraine, I would just keep doing this… They do not even have to attack anymore, to degrade Russia severely.
Trusting the Ukrainian MoD is like trusting the Russian MoD, partisan sources shouldn’t be considered truthful.
They claim 800k enemy casualties to their 100k so far and that ain’t a low estimate, do you seriously believe that is even a possible ratio of casualties for the whole front of the whole war, not just bakhmut, including counter-offensives?
The equipment numbers of the ukrainian mod are verified by oryx open source pictures. They constantly double the numbers of oryx. Oryx states itself that it underestimates real losses. Therefor they are a consistent roof while oryx is the floor. The russian MoD s reports are jokes. And btw., they claim 200k russian dead. But human losses are a whole different story. Do not mix it.
The Russian MoD stopped reporting casualties early in the war and 800k casualties include 600k woundeds, also, if they lie on human losses and it is obvious why should we trust them on material losses?
where did you see 800k?
We do not know if they lie concerning manpower, but we know they do not concerning equipment, see above.
6 Kinzhals shot down??? Hahaha, TKO for Russia’s deep striking capabilities. The sky above Kiev is officially closed. Wow!
Thirty-two rockets went off like a machine gun. And then two explosions where the Patriot was standing:)
Yes to many missiles in the video you refer to. Probably not a patriot system. another system with bigger launchers.
The strategy is simple: the first wave of UAVs lights up the interceptor positions. Then you need a very fast missile to strike. Kinzhal is suitable 🙂
Russia never managed to hit any moving military target with their “long-range precision missiles” (including the crappy Kinzhal). Only buildings. Almost always civilian buildings. So I doubt they could even target a patriot system.
Almost always civilian buildings in Pavlodar and Khmelnitsky 🙂
Old soviet rocket fuel storages. Nothing russian shall be pround to destroy, since they are not valid military targets (but it make big explosions for their propaganda)
Of course you were there in person at Pavlodar and Khmelnitsky. And you have also seen moving interceptors firing on the move in Kiev. I see
You know you can find reliable information on the internet, if you try. Including OSINT analysis that can determine what was actually hit by those missile strike
For example: Pavlodar
Is CNN a reliable source for you? Read about the Patriots there.
CNN is certainly not reliable.
I see, now CNN is at one with Putin on this issue
No, you don’t understand. It isn’t a matter of being for or against Putin.
CNN reports that one official said that part of the patriot was damaged. Who is this official? Is he or she telling the truth? We don’t know. Thus, it is certainly not reliable.
patriot dont fire on UAV ….
For deutch patriot systèm, he can only fire 16 missiles. For the US patriot systèm, wich version was delivery?
The first wave consisted of UAVs and cruise missiles
that would be a viable tactics (which Ukr used/uses with e.g. HIMARS strikes) if they actually had something able to do the job. ‘Kinzhal’ is an old repurposed stuff (Iskander, just launched from airplane). Somewhat modernised but it did not shine in any way during the last year. It has a good PR, though.
The value of these strikes is mostly in Ru media space “see, we are doing something!”.
Everything in this world has to have good PR. Like the Patriots and Iranian missiles in Saudi Arabia
I dunno, does the ‘SuperCum’ got into your head? Have you actually even googled and use wiki-wisdom to see how the Patriot system looks like and how it is deployed?
this vatnik’s-czay is stronk.
Wow! Haven’t you heard about the Patriots’ fine achievement in repelling the Yemeni missile raid? Need a link?
this one? [ https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/01/24/yemen-houthis-uae-missiles-coalition/ ]
the latest news (CNN quality, that means not very much better than Konashenkov’s) says about unspecified damage to the one of the installations (each contains radar unit, CIC, independend power unit and at least 4 launchers spread in cover cone not counting radar decoys).
Tell me again how many himars ruzzia claims to have destroyed?
I need a laugh today.
Either the Russians destroyed a Patriot; or the Russians are lying. Both cases are plausible, but there is much more precedent for the latter case. So until I see some actual evidence, that’s the one I’m going with.
you know, they already destroyed more HIMARS than there was delivered, so… 😉
Except in Bakhmut, whose fall seems very likely in the short term, the whole front seems to be in expectation. Wait and see …
Probably next week 😉
These conversations have been going on since January, I do not think that Bakhmut will be given away, it is not in the interests of the Armed Forces. The situation is really difficult, but they will hold him until the end as long as there are buildings there will be battles. And for some reason, it seems to me that Wagner will not take this city completely. Because it means too much for Ukrainians
Yes bakmut will fall this week . lol
But now the question is who will control bakmut at the end of the battle.
Ukrainians are willing to fight to the last inch of every floor of every building, combat footage from bakhmut is crazy with people shooting at each other from the top and bottom of a set of stairs being common, it looks like it will fall soon but i mean, it looked like that for the last 5 months and Russians are getting smaller and smaller gains every day.
1,28 sq. km left