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1 year of total war in numbers

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(@max-beckhaus)
Posts: 56
Topic starter
 

Equipment losses as researched by open source Oryx with documentation, 24.2.2023:

Oryx Russia

Oryx Ukraine

1 Year of total war Ukraine Russia Ukraine/Russia consolidation*
Tanks 468 1772 26% Tanks
Armoured Fighting Vehicles 266 793 34% APV
Infantry Fighting Vehicles 493 2118 23% APV
Armoured Personnel Carriers 226 298 76% APV
Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Vehicles 42 44 95% vehicles
Infantry Mobility Vehicles 288 180 160% vehicles
Command Posts And Communications Stations 9 233 4% APV
Engineering Vehicles And Equipment 46 283 16%  
Self-Propelled Anti-Tank Missile Systems 21 38 55% APV
Artillery Support Vehicles And Equipment 22 91 24% vehicles
Towed Artillery 103 176 59% Artillery
Self-Propelled Artillery 116 348 33% Artillery
Multiple Rocket Launchers 39 177 22% MRLS
Anti-Aircraft Guns 4 17 24% AA
Self-Propelled Anti-Aircraft Guns 5 23 22% AA
Surface-To-Air Missile Systems 87 95 92% AA
Radars 51 23 222%  
Jammers And Deception Systems 1 25 4%  
Aircraft 59 74 80% Aircrafts
Helicopters 30 78 38% Helicopters
Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles 17 7 243%  
Reconnaissance Unmanned Aerial Vehicles 66 186 35%  
Naval Ships 25 12 208% ships
Trucks, Vehicles and Jeeps 517 2302 22% vehicles

*for consolidation to MoD Ukraine categories

MoD of Ukraine reported losses compared to Oryx, 24.2.2023:

MoD Ukraine 24.2.2023

1 Year MoD Ukr Oryx Russia MoD/Oryx
Personnel 146820    
Tanks 3363 1772 53%
APV 6600 3480 53%
Artillery 2363 524 22%
MRLS 474 177 37%
AA 247 135 55%
Aircrafts 299 74 25%
Helicopters 287 78 27%
UAV 2033    
cruise missiles 873    
ships 18 12 67%
vehicles 5224 2617 50%
special equipment 229    

 

Oryx researchers state, that their numbers will highly underestimate real numbers. IISS estimated tank losses at 2000-2300 at the beginning of february. So the truth will probably lie somewhere between MoD and Oryx.

Oryx shows that MoD of Ukraine numbers are solid.

Concerning personnel losses, UK and US officials stated russian casualties (KIA, WIA, MIA) at about 200k.

 

 
Posted : February 27, 2023 17:37
(@max-beckhaus)
Posts: 56
Topic starter
 

Average daily Russian losses by month as reported by MoD Ukraine:

red: the three highest

green: the three lowest

  February March April May June
Personnel 1428 331 251 232 168
Tanks 50 13 14 11 7
APV 212 26 27 28 13
Artillery 19 6 6 7 5
MRLS 6 2 2 2 1
AA 2 1 1 0 0
Aircrafts 7,25 3,03 2,30 0,52 0,30
Helicopters 7,25 2,65 1,47 0,65 0,37
UAV 1 3 5 9 4
cruise missiles 2 1 1 1 1
ships 0,50 0,13 0,07 0,16 0,07
vehicles 91 27 20 16 11
special equipment 0,75 0,52 0,43 0,55 0,40

 

  July August September October November December January February
Personnel 170 236 375 415 566 557 700 767
Tanks 6 7 12 11 7 4 6 6
APV 9 11 20 18 13 7 10 9
Artillery 4 6 9 11 6 4 6 7
MRLS 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 1
AA 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1
Aircrafts 0,19 0,35 1,00 0,39 0,13 0,10 0,32 0,25
Helicopters 0,13 0,48 0,70 1,00 0,13 0,26 0,48 0,13
UAV 3 4 5 13 5 7 5 3
cruise missiles 1 1 2 5 4 6 2 3
ships 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,03 0,00 0,00 0,06 0
vehicles 10 11 18 12 10 9 11 7
special equipment 0,68 0,71 0,90 0,74 0,30 0,58 0,61 1

 

Some interesting developments:

- personnel per tank increased from 17 in April to 119 in February

- tank per artillery sank from 2,5 to 1 in April to 1 to 1 since October

- personnel lost increases allmost every month since June

 
Posted : February 27, 2023 21:12
(@max-beckhaus)
Posts: 56
Topic starter
 

IISS estimates:

IISS estimated 2000 (59% Ukr MoD numbers) to 2300 (68%) Russian tanks lost and currently 1800 Russian tanks to be operational and about 5000 in storage.

IISS estimated 3300 Russian tanks to be operational at the start of the full scale invasion. That means that Russia was able to produce and pull out of stock about 650 Tanks, less than a third of those lost.

Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-likely-lost-more-than-half-of-its-tanks-in-ukraine-estimates-show-c23dabc2

 
Posted : March 1, 2023 15:18
(@tristan)
Posts: 5
 

@max-beckhaus 

There is also the website of an islandic data scientist who compiled all the data from oryx and compared Ukrainian MoD to Oryx's numbers.

 

 

 
Posted : March 3, 2023 12:07
(@max-beckhaus)
Posts: 56
Topic starter
 

@tristan That sounds very interesting. Do you have a name, or better link?

 
Posted : March 6, 2023 10:43
(@tristan)
Posts: 5
 

@max-beckhaus it's "lookerstudio" made by Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson. Lots of data there.

 
Posted : March 9, 2023 01:32